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February 9th - Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she would communicate with financial markets on Monday, if necessary, to calm market sentiment as soon as possible. However, she also warned of the possibility of intervention in the yens exchange rate at any time. Katayama revealed that she maintains close contact with US Treasury Secretary Bessenter, sharing the responsibility of maintaining the stability of the dollar-yen exchange rate. She explained that Japan and the US have signed a memorandum of understanding stipulating that decisive measures can be taken against rapid fluctuations deviating from fundamentals, which certainly includes intervention. She reiterated that she is closely monitoring financial markets, while emphasizing her commitment to responsible fiscal policy and stressing the governments strong focus on fiscal sustainability and its desire to maintain it.February 9th - According to NHK, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Party won a majority of seats in the House of Representatives election held on the 8th.Musk: Teslas electric semi-truck will begin mass production this year.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.

US Dollar Index Dodges Around 100.60, Eyes More Upside on Hawkish Powell

Larissa Barlow

Apr 22, 2022 09:48

The US dollar index (DXY) is demonstrating casual fluctuations in a modest range of 100.55-100.66 after a robust comeback on Thursday. Since the likelihood of a major rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased, the DXY has exhibited a clear reversal after falling below the psychological support level of 100.00. (Fed). After declaring that investors should brace for a half-percent rate hike in May's monetary policy, Fed chair Jerome Powell's speech boosted the likelihood of a 50 bps interest rate hike.

Fed’s Powell Speech at IMF

The arrival of Fed’s Powell at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) produced a significant reversal in the DXY as Powell repeated that the tight labor market and increasing inflation are driving the Fed to move faster to the neutral rates than to the pace adopted in past raise cycles. Current pricing pressures are damaging the economy, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve System (Fed) to reduce the CPI (Consumer Price Index) down to the targeted 2 percent level.

Key Events Next Week

Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence, Housing Price index, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) statistics, Personal Consumption Expenditure Prices, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) (CSI).

Eminent Issues on the Back Boiler

ECB President Christine Lagarde and BOE Governor Andrew Bailey are all scheduled to speak at upcoming events, including the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and the IMF summit.

Dollar Index Spot

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