• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
January 16th - Today, concrete pouring began on the nuclear island of Unit 1 at the Jiangsu Xuwei Nuclear Power Plant, a project of China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC). This marks the start of the main construction phase for the worlds first integrated nuclear energy utilization project that couples the "Hualong One" pressurized water reactor with a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor, officially opening a new chapter in my countrys nuclear energy transformation from primarily power generation to diversified supply.On January 16th, Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan attended a special meeting of the Legislative Councils Finance Committee to discuss whether the government would establish a mechanism to review the stock stamp duty. Chan stated that stamp duty is an important part of government revenue, and the increase in stamp duty this fiscal year mainly came from stocks, while property stamp duty was significantly reduced due to the still unstable market conditions. He believes this must be considered from the perspective of public finance and public interest. At the same time, the government will consider Hong Kongs competitiveness compared to other regions to avoid business losses. Chan reiterated that there will be no further reduction in the stock stamp duty unless the external environment makes Hong Kong less competitive. According to previous research, the current stamp duty level is appropriate in terms of transaction volume and competitiveness. As for new areas such as real estate funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the restrictions will be more lenient, but the bottom line of collecting all due taxes will be upheld, and the feelings of the general public will not be ignored.January 16th - According to the National Healthcare Security Administration, as of now, all 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps have completed the launch of the medical insurance drug price comparison mini-program, achieving full coverage and accessibility for all citizens, allowing insured individuals across the country to enjoy convenient price comparison services. The medical insurance drug price comparison mini-program relies on data resources from designated medical institutions nationwide, ensuring timely data updates, comprehensive functions, and wide coverage, providing a one-stop solution for drug price comparison. Insured individuals can search for their local medical insurance mini-program on WeChat or Alipay, or access the medical insurance app to use the medical insurance drug price comparison mini-program. After entering the drug name, they can instantly obtain core information such as the price range, inventory status, and manufacturer of the drug at designated pharmacies in their region. The mini-program supports filtering and sorting by multiple dimensions, including price level and distance.Australian Treasurer Chalmers: Supports Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullocks signing of a letter supporting Federal Reserve Chairman Powells decision.January 16th - According to sources, some Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymakers believe that an earlier-than-expected interest rate hike is possible, with a high probability of an April rate increase, as the continued depreciation of the yen could exacerbate already widening inflationary pressures. BOJ policymakers face the daunting task of pushing up years of persistently low borrowing costs amid increasing global headwinds and economic pressures, just as the Japanese economy is beginning to recover from prolonged deflation. The central bank just raised interest rates to a 30-year high in December and is expected to keep rates unchanged at its January meeting. However, sources say many BOJ policymakers believe there is room for further rate hikes, with some not ruling out action in April, which would be earlier than the mainstream market expectation (i.e., a rate hike in the second half of the year). Sources indicate that if sufficient evidence emerges that Japan will continue to achieve its 2% inflation target, some within the BOJ are not ruling out the possibility of early action.

Two Trades to Watch: CAC, EUR/USD

Cameron Murphy

Apr 12, 2022 10:49


微信截图_20220408171627.png


The CAC is climbing today, along with its European rivals, despite the fact that the French index has outperformed its peers this week.


The CAC has dropped more than 3% this week, compared to a 2% drop in the DAX and a 0.5 percent increase in the FTSE.


The CAC's weakness might be due to mounting anxieties over the forthcoming French presidential elections, with the market suddenly waking up to the possibility of Marine Le Pen, the far-right contender, winning.


Macron remains the favorite, but the polling margin has narrowed significantly since the two clashed in the last round of the 2017 election.

Where does the CAC go from here?

The CAC continued its rally from its low of 5760 on March 7 until hitting resistance just outside the 200 sma at 6830 and reverting downward.


The price fell below the 50 SMA before finding support around 6450, which is presently acting as a backstop. The RSI is at a neutral level, indicating that the market is consolidating.


Traders may be on the lookout for a breakthrough. Buyers will be looking for a move above the 50 sma of 6650 to expose the 200 sma of 6780 and a retest of the 6830 high to build a new high.


A fall below 6450 might drive a selloff towards 6260, the July 21 low, according to sellers.


For the seventh day in a row, the EUR/USD has fallen.


For the seventh day in a row, the EUR/USD has fallen. Even the ECB's more hawkish minutes from yesterday failed to raise the euro.


The euro is losing ground as investors price in the possibility of a Le Pen victory after she narrowed the deficit in the polls this week.


Today's Eurozone data isn't very noteworthy; nevertheless, ECB President Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak.


The dollar is supported by forecasts of a more hawkish Fed, as well as positive employment data from the previous day.


Unemployment claims dropped to 266k from 171k, the lowest level in 50 years. There is no high-impact data from the United States today.

Where does the EUR/USD pair go from here?

EUR/USD retreated from the 50 sma, dropping below 1.10, a crucial psychological mark as well as the bottom band of a multi-month declining channel.


While it stays outside of oversold territory, the RSI signals to additional falls. 1.08, the 2022 low, provides support ahead of 1.0730, the April 2021 low.


Before reaching 1.10, any recovery would have to surge over 1.0940, the March 28 low.