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UAE Presidents Foreign Policy Advisor: The UAE is exercising restraint and seeking a way out for Iran and the region.The UAE presidents foreign policy advisor said Irans accusations against the UAE are "part of its unwise and chaotic policy."On March 15, S&P Global Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabias sovereign credit rating, adding that despite disruptions, non-oil growth momentum and related non-oil revenues should help support the economy. S&P stated that Saudi Arabia should be able to withstand the impact of the current conflict with Iran. S&P noted that the country should be able to shift oil exports to the Red Sea, utilize its vast oil storage capacity, and increase oil production post-conflict. The Saudi government should also be able to adjust investment spending related to "Vision 2030," a strategic framework launched by the country in 2016.On March 15th, Matt Reed, Vice President of the geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports, stated that an attack on Kharg Island could trigger Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil-producing countries. He said, "Iran will retaliate in kind." The United States warned on Friday that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Islands oil facilities could become the next target. Reed warned that the longer the conflict continues, the harder it will be to find alternative energy supplies. "At least 10 million barrels of oil are trapped in the Gulf every day, plus more than 4 million barrels of refined petroleum products and tens of billions of cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, with no easy alternatives." The International Energy Agency has announced the largest emergency oil reserve release in history, with 32 member countries planning to release approximately 400 million barrels of oil. However, Reed believes this measure will have limited effect, stating, "By the time the oil gets to the market, it may be too little, too late." He described it as nothing more than a "band-aid."On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.

The international gold price outlook is still looking at $1738

Oct 26, 2021 11:02

On Tuesday (October 12), the international gold price rose because the US dollar index fell. However, under the expectation of soaring energy prices and the Federal Reserve's upcoming debt reduction, the US dollar index still hovered below the one-year high of 94.504 touched last month. The price of gold remains bearish, with support at $1738 below.

At GMT+8 13:42, spot gold rose 0.43% to US$1761.76 per ounce; the main COMEX gold contract rose 0.37% to US$1762.2 per ounce; the US dollar index fell 0.06% to 94.308.


Stephen Innes, managing partner of SPI Asset Management, said: “Gold is relatively elastic, and the market is revolving around stagflation and economic growth prospects (arguments).” However, he also said that investors are reluctant to catch up until the minutes of the Fed’s September meeting are released. .

An analyst from ANZ Research said in a report: “In the context of generally low interest rates around the world, the risks surrounding slowing growth and rising inflation will still prompt investors to continue to strategically allocate gold,” adding that they The price of gold is expected to fall back after rising to US$1850 next year.

Market participants are now waiting for the minutes of the Fed’s September 21-22 policy meeting and the consumer price index, both of which will be announced later this week.

On the daily chart, the price of gold has started a three-wave downward trend from US$1,781, and the support below looks to the 38.2% target of US$1738. Wave 3 is a sub-wave of the downward (3) wave that started at $1834. (3) Lang's 61.8% target is at $1688. (3) Wave is a sub-wave of the downward ((Y)) wave that started from 1917 USD. The ((Y)) wave belongs to the adjusted IV wave that started at $2,075.

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