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According to the Axios website: JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) has launched a geopolitical consulting unit for its clients.On January 24, U.S. President Trump questioned Federal Reserve Chairman Powells interest rate decision on Thursday local time and said he planned to talk to Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "at the appropriate time." Trump told reporters in the Oval Office: "I think I know more about interest rates than they do, and I think I certainly know more about interest rates than the people who are primarily responsible for making interest rate decisions." He was obviously referring to Powell. "If I disagree, I will let everyone know." When asked if he believed that Federal Reserve officials would listen to him, Trump replied: "Yes." Although presidents traditionally avoid directly commenting on central bank policy making, Trump said during the campaign that he should be able to tell Powell how he thinks interest rates should change.On January 24, according to CMEs "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 99.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.5%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by March is 71.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 28.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.1%.Market news: Indian businessman Ambani is buying Nvidias (NVDA.O) powerful artificial intelligence semiconductors and building a data center in the town of Jamnagar.Boeings (BA.N) defense, space and security unit had revenue of $5.4 billion in the fourth quarter.

The Release of U.S. Petroleum Reserves Decreases Oil Prices

Aria Thomas

Feb 14, 2023 16:50

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Oil prices dipped on Tuesday as the U.S. government announced it will release extra petroleum from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in accordance with a congressional mandate, contrary to some traders' predictions that the delivery would be canceled or postponed.


By 07:30 GMT, Brent crude futures had dropped by 43 cents, or 0.5%, to $86.18 per barrel, while U.S. crude futures had decreased by 71 cents, or 0.85%, to $74.33 per barrel.


After the conclusion of the previous session, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) announced that it will sell 26 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, a move that would likely reduce the reserve to its lowest level since 1983.


Edward Moya, an analyst at OANDA, stated, "Energy markets expected to hear news about restocking the SPR and not tapping them for fresh supplies."


The DOE contemplated canceling the fiscal year 2023 sale after the government of former U.S. President Joe Biden sold a record 180 million barrels from the reserve in fiscal year 2018. However, this would have necessitated congressional action to alter the mandate.


January's critical consumer price index (CPI) statistics for the United States will be released on Tuesday. In the previous two months, monthly consumer prices in the United States grew instead of declining, increasing the likelihood of greater inflation readings in the coming months.


Tina Teng, an analyst at CMC Markets, stated, "Any data that exceeds expectations may prompt a fresh sell-off in risk assets, particularly oil."


After the Energy Information Administration projected record March production from the seven largest U.S. shale basins, supply fears also diminished. A significant Turkish port restarted crude shipments after a severe earthquake shook the area.


"Oil is on the defensive, and things might get worse if inflation proves more difficult to control," said Moya of OANDA.