• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On August 25th, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Collins stated that she currently supports maintaining interest rates, but this stance depends on seeing further progress in inflation declining and gradually moving towards the Feds 2% target. Collins wrote, "To maintain the current target range for the interest rate, we need to continue to see evidence that inflation is indeed declining. If this evidence of a sustained decline in inflation does not emerge, I think monetary policy should be tightened as soon as possible." She stated that recent inflation data showed underlying price pressures were moderate, which was "somewhat encouraging," but added that monthly data could be volatile. "Whether the recent improvements can be sustained remains to be seen." Collins said that tighter interest rates, coupled with rising long-term yields, should alleviate some of the inflationary pressures from strong household and business consumption. She added that the impact of previous tariffs is expected to have largely subsided, and the impact of rising oil prices on inflation should also begin to weaken.Canadian Finance Minister: U.S. tariffs will have a real impact on Canada, and we must respond.On August 25th, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced retaliatory measures against the new tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump over the weekend, along with a support plan to help Canadian businesses impacted by the escalating trade war. Canada will double its existing retaliatory tariffs on US steel and aluminum products to 50%. The 50% tariff will also apply to US-made furniture, clothing and apparel, video game consoles, smartphones, and other electronic products. Overall, these retaliatory tariffs will affect approximately $20 billion worth of US imports, roughly equivalent to the tariffs Trump imposed on Canadian products on Saturday under a previously unused provision of the Tariff Act of 1930. This represents about 6% of Canadas total imports from the US last year. 1. According to the London Metal Exchange (LME) Commitment of Traders report, as of the week ending August 21, 2026, investment funds held 48,700 net long positions in LME copper, a decrease of 3,625 contracts from the previous week; 142,400 net long positions in LME aluminum, an increase of 306 contracts from the previous week; 55,000 net long positions in LME zinc, a decrease of 448 contracts from the previous week; 14,400 net long positions in LME nickel, an increase of 1,581 contracts from the previous week; 23,700 net short positions in LME lead, an increase of 3,299 contracts from the previous week; and 2,660 net long positions in LME tin, a decrease of 39 contracts from the previous week. 2. Data released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) shows that private exporters reported sales of 132,000 tons of soybeans to unknown destinations, all for delivery in the 2026/2027 marketing year. 3. Federal Reserves Collins: Inflation remains too high, expressing concern about the Feds responsibility to maintain price stability. 4. In the absence of evidence of a sustained decline in inflation, it is appropriate to raise interest rates "as soon as possible." Given the limited additional tariffs and progress in reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a decline in inflation is the most likely outcome. 5. According to the latest investor relations activity record disclosed by Zhongkuang Resources, the company has actively overcome difficulties such as tight land transport capacity in Africa and port congestion, and its transportation capacity continues to improve. As of the date of this report, the transportation of lithium concentrate from Bikita has returned to normal, and the supply of lithium concentrate can meet the raw material needs of the companys domestic smelting capacity. 6. Three industry sources indicated that Russia plans to extend its diesel export ban until the end of September, given the continued fuel shortage in the country and the fact that many refineries remain shut down after multiple attacks by Ukrainian drones. 7. According to foreign media reports, the impact of El Niño on commodity crop production, especially palm oil, typically only becomes apparent after several months of sustained high temperatures and reduced rainfall. Dr. Mohd Hisham Mohd Anip, Director of the Malaysian Meteorological Department, recently pointed out that the probability of an El Niño event reaching an extremely strong level (i.e., a "super El Niño") between October and December is currently over 90%. 7. US President Trump: (Regarding Iran) He has been notified by the US Navy that all mines in international waters of the Strait of Hormuz have been removed and/or detonated. Iran has been notified that any ships or small boats placing new mines will be destroyed immediately and systematically. 8. As of August 25, the national soybean oil port inventory was 973,000 tons, compared to 985,000 tons on August 18, a decrease of 12,000 tons week-on-week. 9. US ADP employment change for the week ending August 8 was 11,750, compared to 9,500 previously. Private sector employers added an average of 11,750 jobs per week. Business hiring increased for the second consecutive week.OpenAI plans to begin deploying Jalapeno chips in its computing infrastructure by the end of 2026.

The EUR/JPY is still firmer at 138.00 despite low rates, with inflation and the economy being the primary concerns

Alina Haynes

Aug 10, 2022 11:35

 截屏2022-08-10 上午10.33.22.png

 

As Tokyo begins on Wednesday, bulls on the EUR/JPY keep the previous day's gains at a two-week high while teasing the 138.00 mark. The cross-currency pair ignores Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) information in the context of falling Treasury yields by doing this. The current lull in the pair's performance may also be attributed to investors' caution ahead of July's critical inflation data from the world's major economies.

 

Japan's PPI for July climbed to 8.6% YoY versus the 8.6% market average but was in line with market expectations of 0.4% MoM. Despite this, 10-year US Treasury rates haven't changed much over the past few days, hovering around 2.79 percent.

 

According to sources familiar with the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) thinking, the BOJ expects prices to rise more quickly than was predicted during the July meeting. This information was reported on by MNI on Tuesday. But according to MNI, "unless it helps to accelerate wages next spring, the rise in inflation to 3% or more by the end of the year will not be sufficient to induce a change in its easy policy stance."

 

The JPY appears to be impacted elsewhere by the political unrest, indicating that Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is willing to replace his cabinet. Shunichi Suzuki, the finance minister, is expected to keep his job, Reuters reports, indicating that there aren't any significant threats to the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) policies regarding easy credit. The same ought to provide confidence in JPY bears.

 

Concerns that the Eurozone may have more problems as a result of Russia's suspension of oil supplies should have had an effect on the EUR/JPY exchange rate, to name one important factor. Reuters reports that due to worries over transit payments, Russia has stopped sending oil through the Druzhba pipeline's southern section.

 

In contrast, EUR/JPY prices appeared to have been driven in recent weeks by expectations of further BOJ easing and low interest rates, as well as preparations for today's crucial CPI data from China, Germany, and the U.S. for July.