• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
January 12th - Bond investors overall bets on the Federal Reserves policy path and the direction of the US Treasury market in 2026 appear to have room for further expansion. Last Fridays non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, maintaining market expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This result confirms market expectations that short-term Treasury bonds (most sensitive to monetary policy) will outperform long-term Treasury bonds this year, widening the yield spread between the two. This strategy, known as the "steepening trade," was one of the most popular bond trades for most of last year and continues to work at the start of 2026. Pramod Atrouli, fixed-income portfolio manager at Capital Group, stated, "There are many scenarios over the next 12 to 24 months that are very favorable for the yield curve steepening trade." An analysis of 25 of the largest actively managed core bond funds by JPMorgan shows that, historically, these funds still have a high exposure to this trade.According to Iranian state media, Iran summoned the British ambassador after protesters tore down the Iranian flag from the Iranian embassy building in London.Market news: Home Depot and Google Cloud have jointly launched the Agentic AI tool to help customers and employees transform projects from "how to do it" to "completed".Domestic News: 1. The "Tianma-1000" unmanned transport aircraft successfully completed its maiden flight. 2. Shanxi Province issued consumption subsidies for home appliances and digital smart products in 2026. 3. Hong Kongs new budget will be announced on February 25. 4. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC): Focusing on cracking down on major, malicious, and key illegal activities, and severely punishing all kinds of malicious illegal activities. 5. Chinese Embassy: Due to scheduling conflicts, Wang Yis planned visit to Somalia on January 9 has been postponed. 6. Wang Yi held a telephone conversation with the Somali Foreign Minister: Opposing Somalilands collusion with the Taiwan authorities to seek independence. 7. National Business Work Conference: In 2026, efforts will be accelerated to cultivate new growth points in service consumption and optimize the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. International News: 1. A curfew has been imposed in Narathiwat Province in southern Thailand. 2. Israeli forces are reportedly planning a new round of attacks on the Gaza Strip. 3. British officials: The possibility of Britain deploying troops to Greenland cannot be ruled out. 4. South Korean Presidential Office: Will investigate the truth behind North Koreas claim of a "drone intrusion" and release the results promptly. 5. Iranian President: The government endorses peaceful protests and is willing to meet with protest groups. 6. Danish Parliament Chief: It would be "foolish" to go to war over Greenland. 7. Israel demands the EU designate Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." 8. US Media: Trump received a briefing on options for striking Iran but has not yet made a final decision; the government is considering multiple options for intervention in Iran. 9. Trump again pressures Cuba, threatening that if Cuba does not reach an agreement soon, it will face a situation of "zero oil and zero funds" flowing into Cuba. 10. Iranian Parliament Speaker warns Trump that any attack would lead Iran to consider Israel and US bases in the region as "legitimate targets" and strike them.On January 11, Cuban Foreign Minister Rodriguez posted on social media that the United States’ behavior was like “criminal and out-of-control hegemony,” threatening not only the peace and security of Cuba and the Western Hemisphere, but also the entire world.

The EUR/JPY is still firmer at 138.00 despite low rates, with inflation and the economy being the primary concerns

Alina Haynes

Aug 10, 2022 11:35

 截屏2022-08-10 上午10.33.22.png

 

As Tokyo begins on Wednesday, bulls on the EUR/JPY keep the previous day's gains at a two-week high while teasing the 138.00 mark. The cross-currency pair ignores Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) information in the context of falling Treasury yields by doing this. The current lull in the pair's performance may also be attributed to investors' caution ahead of July's critical inflation data from the world's major economies.

 

Japan's PPI for July climbed to 8.6% YoY versus the 8.6% market average but was in line with market expectations of 0.4% MoM. Despite this, 10-year US Treasury rates haven't changed much over the past few days, hovering around 2.79 percent.

 

According to sources familiar with the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) thinking, the BOJ expects prices to rise more quickly than was predicted during the July meeting. This information was reported on by MNI on Tuesday. But according to MNI, "unless it helps to accelerate wages next spring, the rise in inflation to 3% or more by the end of the year will not be sufficient to induce a change in its easy policy stance."

 

The JPY appears to be impacted elsewhere by the political unrest, indicating that Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is willing to replace his cabinet. Shunichi Suzuki, the finance minister, is expected to keep his job, Reuters reports, indicating that there aren't any significant threats to the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) policies regarding easy credit. The same ought to provide confidence in JPY bears.

 

Concerns that the Eurozone may have more problems as a result of Russia's suspension of oil supplies should have had an effect on the EUR/JPY exchange rate, to name one important factor. Reuters reports that due to worries over transit payments, Russia has stopped sending oil through the Druzhba pipeline's southern section.

 

In contrast, EUR/JPY prices appeared to have been driven in recent weeks by expectations of further BOJ easing and low interest rates, as well as preparations for today's crucial CPI data from China, Germany, and the U.S. for July.