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On September 8th, according to sources, the Guangdong Provincial Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development convened a symposium with real estate companies to understand the impact of the new policies on various projects, the policy support the companies hoped to receive, and their opinions and suggestions on the implementation details in various regions. It is understood that the symposium held by the Guangdong Provincial Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development will investigate the number, area, number of units, and distribution of projects for which real estate companies have acquired land but have not yet obtained construction planning permits, have obtained construction planning permits but have not yet obtained pre-sale permits, and have obtained pre-sale permits but are still on sale. The symposium will also assess the impact of the new real estate development model policies on these three types of projects, including but not limited to the impact on development, sales, delivery, funding, and debt; the plans and measures of real estate companies to implement the new real estate development model policies; the policy support they hope to receive; and their opinions and suggestions on the implementation details in various regions.September 8th - Analyst Robert Howard stated that the US August CPI data could determine whether the Federal Reserve will favor raising or maintaining interest rates at next weeks decision, and will also impact the dollars performance. According to the median forecast in a Reuters poll, the overall CPI is expected to rise 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year; core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-on-month and 2.4% year-on-year. If the data is higher than expected, hawkish voices will rise, calling for a rate hike by the Fed in September, potentially boosting the dollar. Conversely, if the data is weak, doves will advocate for maintaining interest rates unchanged for the sixth consecutive time, which could be detrimental to the dollar. The market currently sees a 57% probability of a Fed rate hike this month, after strong non-farm payroll data last Friday led to a shift in expectations towards a hawkish stance. This shift occurred 24 hours after Fed Governor Waller made dovish comments, which had previously pressured the dollar; seven days earlier, Fed Chairman Warshs hawkish guidance at Jackson Hole had boosted the dollar.September 8 - The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen stated today (September 8) that Houthi rebels attacked civilian and economic facilities in Abha, Khamis Mushait, Najran, and Jizan in southwestern Saudi Arabia, injuring 73 people. The coalition stated that it will respond firmly to the Houthi attacks.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen says the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia have seriously escalated the situation.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said it would respond firmly to the Houthi attacks.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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