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According to The Information, OpenAI founder Altman stated that OpenAI plans to postpone other initiatives, such as its advertising business.On December 2nd, Intel announced an additional investment of RM860 million (US$208 million) to make Malaysia its assembly and testing operations hub, a move Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim stated would boost the Southeast Asian nations key role in the global semiconductor supply chain. He added that Intels decision was based on confidence in Malaysias long-term plans. Anwar stated that Intel already has operations in Malaysia, including a RM12 billion advanced packaging plant in Penang, which is 99% complete. In 2021, the US company pledged a US$7 billion investment to establish a manufacturing base in Penang. Malaysia accounts for approximately 13% of the global chip packaging, assembly, and testing (the final step in semiconductor manufacturing) market, an industry that drives 40% of Malaysias export output. As major governments race to strengthen their semiconductor capabilities, Malaysia has been striving to elevate its position in the global supply chain.Futures News, December 2nd: As of December 1st, the mainstream benzene market price in East China closed at 5320 yuan/ton, down 110 yuan/ton from 5430 yuan/ton at the beginning of November. From a fundamental perspective, December arrivals in East China are concentrated, and major ports in East China will enter a period of continuous inventory accumulation. In addition, with the weather turning colder, insufficient end-user orders and low downstream operating enthusiasm continue to put pressure on price recovery across the industry chain. However, on the cost side, geopolitical tensions threaten market supply, and European and American crude oil futures rose 1.3%. Under the interplay of bullish and bearish factors, the benzene market is expected to trade within a range.On December 2nd, futures market news reported that crude oil prices traded higher yesterday, primarily driven by the return of two major geopolitical risk premiums. Firstly, the slow progress of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, coupled with Ukraines attacks on European oil ports and pipelines; secondly, the USs air traffic control over a South American country over the weekend, leading to the breakdown of peace talks and heightened tensions in South America. Zhuochuang Information predicts that the return of geopolitical risks has led to an increase in oil prices. However, whether this upward trend can continue depends on close monitoring of developments. If the conflict escalates, oil prices will continue to rise; otherwise, if the situation remains manageable, oil prices will likely experience wider fluctuations. In the short term, the geopolitical risk premium remains high, and oil prices are expected to remain relatively strong.Fitch: Penalties imposed on South Korean banks highlight non-financial risks.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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