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The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 7 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with a bid amount of 7 billion yuan and a winning bid amount of 7 billion yuan. The operation rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung: We must expedite the administrative processes related to the chip industry cluster.According to South Korean media, South Korean prosecutors say oil refining companies are suspected of conspiring to raise prices despite ample oil reserves.July 6 - According to the Ministry of Emergency Management, the State Council Safety Production Committee Office, together with the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission, the Supreme Peoples Court, the Supreme Peoples Procuratorate, the Ministry of Public Security, and the Ministry of Justice, recently issued a notice to deploy all regions and relevant departments to earnestly implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important instructions and directives on work safety, strictly implement the spirit of the National Work Safety Video Conference, and, in conjunction with the three-year action plan for fundamental improvement in work safety and the investigation and rectification of major accident hazards, focus on key industries and fields such as mining, chemical industry, fire protection, and industrial and commercial enterprises to carry out in-depth work on "combating illegal activities and rectifying violations" in work safety.July 6th - Members of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Researchs (NZIER) Shadow Monetary Policy Committee held nearly equal views, reflecting uncertainty about the Reserve Bank of New Zealands (RBNZ) policy outlook ahead of its July meeting. The NZIER Shadow Monetary Policy Committee narrowly supported keeping the RBNZs Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.25% in July, but called it a move roughly equivalent to a 25 basis point rate hike. Those supporting raising the OCR to a neutral level as soon as possible cited rising inflation as the primary reason. Weak demand and high unemployment were considered key reasons for carefully weighing tightening policies. Members differed on the impact of oil prices, with some believing the inflationary impact was temporary and waning, while others warned that price pressures could persist for a longer period. Some members indicated that the next significant policy assessment would be around the time of the second-quarter CPI data release. The committee unanimously agreed that the OCR should rise to 3% to 3.25% over the next year. Several committee members stated that monetary policy needs to gradually return to a neutral level, while also pointing out that weak demand and high unemployment mean the Fed should carefully manage the pace of tightening.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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