• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
RIA Novosti: Russian troops have taken control of Potapivka in eastern Ukraine.March 22nd - For investors eager to "buy the dip," institutions generally offered cautious advice. "Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have clearly broken through the key support level of the 60-day moving average, meaning further downside potential may be unlocked," one trader advised. Given that negative factors such as the Feds monetary policy and the dollars performance are still unfolding, the short-term downtrend is not yet over, and ordinary investors should not blindly try to catch a falling knife. They should wait for gold prices to consolidate and stabilize within the $4400-$4600/ounce range before gradually accumulating positions for medium- to long-term holding.March 22nd - The markets current focus is on whether gold prices can rebound. Huaxia Fund analysis suggests that gold, considered a safe-haven asset, has been declining since March because its safe-haven appeal stems from the collapse of the US dollars credit and runaway inflation, rather than from liquidity depletion and deflationary risks. The market is currently concerned about marginal deterioration in liquidity, while the impact of geopolitical conflicts has significantly weakened. The institution believes that the monetary tightening impact on gold is more temporary, and the long-term logic of geopolitical conflicts and central bank gold purchases remains unshaken or reversed. Golds medium- to long-term upward momentum continues, but in the short term, it still needs to wait for risk release. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist at Yuekai Securities, points out that the current plunge in gold prices is not a signal of the end of the bull market, but rather a deep correction during an upward trend. In the long term, the normalization of global geopolitical risks, strong gold purchase demand from non-US central banks, and the risk of the global economy shifting from "inflation" to "stagnation" will all provide solid support for gold prices.March 22 – At the China Development Forum 2026 held today (March 22), Finance Minister Lan Foan stated that, in response to the prominent contradiction between strong supply and weak demand in the current economic operation, a comprehensive approach will be taken, utilizing policy tools such as deficit spending, special bonds, and loan interest subsidies to build a strong domestic market. Lan Foan stated that greater efforts will be made to boost consumption and increase the力度 of inclusive policies directly reaching consumers. This year, 250 billion yuan of ultra-long-term special treasury bonds will be allocated to support the trade-in of old consumer goods, and a 100 billion yuan special fund for fiscal and financial coordination to promote domestic demand will be established, providing more substantial financial support for consumption. Simultaneously, efforts will be made to enhance long-term consumption capacity, strengthen support for employment, improve the social security system, strengthen the regulatory role of taxation and transfer payments, and increase residents income through multiple channels.Market news: A British nuclear-powered submarine has arrived in the Arabian Sea.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


截屏2022-04-07 上午9.59.45.png