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In early trading, the US dollar fell 0.3% against the Japanese yen (USD/JPY), currently trading at 157.16, down about 30 points from Fridays close.U.S. Senate Minority Leader Schumer: The continuing resolution announced today is a responsible choice.On August 3, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi spoke by phone with the Iraqi Foreign Minister, discussing the latest developments in the region, ways to strengthen bilateral and regional cooperation, and the most important issues of common concern to both countries.On August 3rd, US President Trump stated on Saturday evening (Eastern Time) that he would suspend a new round of attacks on Iran, awaiting the resumption of negotiations to end the war and restore cargo transport halted in the Strait of Hormuz. This is the latest example in a series of US presidents threatening large-scale attacks only to cancel them later. This sudden shift has become a prominent feature of the five-month-long US-Iran conflict. According to statistics, similar "scripts" have played out eight times so far. 1. April 7th: Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran less than two hours before the "deadline." At that time, he demanded Iran submit, or face attacks on bridges and power plants—which he claimed would mean "the destruction of an entire civilization." 2. April 21st: Trump announced an indefinite extension of the ceasefire agreement with Iran, just one day before the agreement expired, the same day the US launched attacks on Iranian oil tankers. 3. May 18th: After issuing harsh threats to Iran over the weekend, Trump stated he was suspending a large-scale military strike plan because "serious negotiations" were underway. By May 27th, the negotiations had broken down, and the US resumed attacks. 4. June 11: After two days of mutual attacks, Trump escalated his threats further, saying the U.S. would "strike hard tonight" Iran and "take full control" of its oil and gas industry. However, hours later, Trump posted on social media that negotiations had made a breakthrough and canceled the strikes. 5. June 17: Trump and Iran signed a preliminary agreement requiring a permanent cessation of hostilities and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, while launching a 60-day countdown to negotiations to reach a final agreement on the future of Irans nuclear program. 6. July 7: Following Iranian attacks on merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Trump launched new strikes against Iran while attending the NATO leaders summit in Ankara, Turkey. He then again threatened to "get the job done," saying he believed the ceasefire was over. 7. July 27: Trump said he had paused two weeks of intensive daily strikes against Iran to give negotiations another chance. During the 13-day strikes, the U.S. military targeted key military and commercial facilities as tensions along shipping routes continued to escalate. 8. August 1: After telling reporters that the United States would strike Iran “severely,” Trump said on social media that he had canceled the planned strike, claiming that Middle Eastern allies had reached a framework agreement to end the war, including reopening the Straits.On August 3, according to US media Semafor, a Senate continuing resolution introduced by Senators Collins and Murray has been passed. The bill would provide government funding until December 11. The bill blocks a new rule that would allow the government to cancel funding to states such as blue states. Collins stated that the bill "prevents the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) from enacting its proposed rule regarding federal financial aid." Murray stated, "This bill blocks the implementation of this corrupt new OMB appropriations rule during the continuing resolutions validity period. This proposed rule would systematically politicize federal funding and allow Trump administration officials to cancel appropriations at any time for any reason."

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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