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Market news: An earthquake warning has been issued in Mexico City.February 9th - Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she would communicate with financial markets on Monday, if necessary, to calm market sentiment as soon as possible. However, she also warned of the possibility of intervention in the yens exchange rate at any time. Katayama revealed that she maintains close contact with US Treasury Secretary Bessenter, sharing the responsibility of maintaining the stability of the dollar-yen exchange rate. She explained that Japan and the US have signed a memorandum of understanding stipulating that decisive measures can be taken against rapid fluctuations deviating from fundamentals, which certainly includes intervention. She reiterated that she is closely monitoring financial markets, while emphasizing her commitment to responsible fiscal policy and stressing the governments strong focus on fiscal sustainability and its desire to maintain it.February 9th - According to NHK, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Party won a majority of seats in the House of Representatives election held on the 8th.Musk: Teslas electric semi-truck will begin mass production this year.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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