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U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: I thank the Bahrainian Minister of Finance and Economy for his coordination in the “economic isolation” action. We will continue to work closely with President Trump to defend the integrity of the global financial system and weaken the threat posed by the Iranian regime.On August 26th, Australias second-largest superannuation fund established its largest overweight position in the yen in years, betting that the market is underestimating the likelihood of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike. Jimmy Louca, senior portfolio manager at the Australian Superannuation Trust, which manages approximately A$370 billion (US$265 billion) in retirement savings, said the fund has been increasing this position over the past six months as the yen weakened to near 160 against the US dollar. This is a rare bullish bet on the yen at a time when many investors are looking to sell it. Louca believes the markets sell-off of the yen is only partly correct—the drag from rising energy prices has already been priced in—but the likelihood of a BOJ rate hike appears to be underestimated. "A reversal of either of these factors should support the yen," he said. He believes the BOJ may raise rates next month and signal two more hikes thereafter. "If they largely deliver on those moves, I think Japanese government bond yields could rise further."On August 26th, the "Work Plan for Strengthening the Cross-Regional Quality Chain of Brain-Computer Interfaces in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region" was issued. It emphasizes strengthening research on common quality technologies. Support will be provided to leading enterprises, universities, research institutes, and medical institutions to conduct quality improvement activities, and joint efforts in quality technology research are encouraged. Common quality pain points will be identified, and landmark projects for strengthening the brain-computer interface quality chain will be promoted. Focusing on key aspects of brain-computer interfaces, such as neural signal acquisition, decoding, control, and feedback, and centering on EEG signal perception and acquisition, human-computer interaction technology, and typical application scenarios of brain-computer interfaces, breakthroughs and practical applications of common quality technologies such as novel dry electrodes, flexible electrodes, brain-computer interface signal acquisition chips, computational decoding chips, integrated whole-machine acquisition systems, and high-performance real-time decoding algorithms will be promoted.On August 26, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," introducing the relevant situation regarding the all-out efforts to implement the 15th Five-Year Plan and accelerate the promotion of new industrialization. Liu Yulin, Director of the Information and Communication Development Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated that efforts will be made to promote the construction of the open-source ecosystem, incubate a number of vibrant open-source projects, especially in the field of artificial intelligence, which will continue to exert its influence, allowing more entities to enjoy the benefits of open-source technology. At the same time, support will be given to high-quality projects such as open-source operating systems and open-source datasets, enabling them to be implemented in more manufacturing scenarios. Strengthening the training of open-source talent will enable more people to understand, use, and utilize open source, fostering a positive atmosphere of co-creation and sharing. A more relaxed and friendly development environment will be created for entrepreneurs and developers in terms of data resources, tools, and application scenarios.On August 26th, international oil prices opened lower. Sources from the Pakistani military and Iranian security services told Sputnik News that the US and Iran had reached an agreement on the terms of a ceasefire, which includes freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. The sources indicated that both sides are expected to release related information in the coming days. According to the Islamabad memorandum, negotiations and a new round of technical meetings will commence. Market focus: The market is watching the developments in the US-Iran situation; media reports indicate that the US and Iran will reach an agreement; Iran and Oman plan to establish a safe maritime passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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