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Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry: No final conclusion has been reached on the Iran-US agreement. All matters concerning the agreement are speculation. ② Iranian media: There is a high probability that Iran will approve the text. ③ Iranian Armed Forces: If the US attacks again, it will suffer a more violent response. 2. United States – ① Trump: The agreement is expected to be signed this weekend. The Supreme Leader has agreed to reach an agreement, and all parties in Iran have approved the US-Iran agreement; he refused to set a deadline for the agreement; once the agreement is signed, the US will lift the blockade. ② US media: The three major differences have been narrowed under Qatars mediation. 3. Israel – ① Israel: Trump promised that Iran would limit missile production and stop regional support. ② Israel was surprised by Trumps post. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu learned of this during a cabinet meeting. 4. Others – ① Sources say that dialogue on Lebanon and regional security will continue after the US-Iran agreement is reached. ② Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey gathered to assess mediation efforts regarding the US-Iran situation. Strait of Hormuz 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry: The strait remains closed. 2. The United States—① U.S. Central Command: Since imposing the blockade on April 13, it has crippled 9 ships and forced another 135 to change course. ② Trump: The strait may open on Saturday or next Monday. ③ U.S. military: The Strait of Hormuz remains open to traffic. 3. Others—① Indian Ministry of Shipping: 13 Indian-flagged ships ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz; Indian Ministry of External Affairs: All three ships attacked were carried out by the U.S. Navy. Other situations: 1. Kuwait Civil Aviation Authority announced that flights suspended due to the Iranian attack have resumed. 2. According to Axios: The Israeli government expects to allocate more than $350 million over several years to relocate 61 newly approved settlements. 3. Bessant: Any damage to Gulf allies will be paid for with Iranian funds, and Iran will lose its ongoing zero-sum game. If necessary, the U.S. will withdraw funds from Iranian accounts.On June 12, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae stated on the 11th that all matters concerning the US-Iran agreement were speculation. To date, Iran has not reached a final conclusion on the agreement. Baghae also stated that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz has become more insecure due to US actions. Baghae further stated that Qatar and Pakistan are actively playing a mediating role, but US actions have affected the diplomatic process. He said that Iran was aware of the progress of the negotiations from the beginning, and most of the text of the agreement was completed, but the US has continuously changed its position. Iran has proven that it will never compromise on issues that it considers "red lines."June 12 - According to a report by Iranian state television on the 11th, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that Iran has not yet reached a final conclusion on the Iran-US agreement, and all reports from the outside world regarding the agreement are speculation, with no details yet finalized.Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Once we reach a conclusion that the text of the memorandum of understanding can safeguard the interests of the Iranian people, we will release it.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: If Iran intended to abandon its principled position under pressure and threats, we would have done so a year ago.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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