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August 25th - Even as the European heatwave eventually subsides, fund managers say they are still working to assess how climate change will impact their portfolios. Self, a senior investment manager at Pictet Asset Management, said the company has recently received numerous inquiries from clients regarding the risks and investment opportunities posed by extreme heat. Nuveen stated that the impact of the European drought will soon begin to be reflected in corporate credit spreads. David Harrison, a fund manager at Rathbones Asset Management, said he is optimistic about companies involved in climate solutions and grid infrastructure construction. The impact of climate change is becoming increasingly clear on individual companies. Discussions that previously focused primarily on utilities have now expanded to the financial, industrial, and healthcare sectors. According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance analysis, recent filings by global companies have mentioned extreme heat at a record high, and the number of times companies have mentioned the Rhine River and its water levels during earnings calls has also reached a level not seen since 2018.August 25th - According to foreign media reports, Ukrainian frontline troops may need a completely new drone design within weeks, but the countrys defense industry is facing a severe talent shortage, which could hinder its ability to maintain this pace of innovation. Yurii Faraponov, COO of BlueBird Tech, stated that the company is unable to meet some of the frontline demands due to a lack of sufficient engineers. Sergii Vysotskyi, Vice President of the Ukrainian Defense Industry Association, said that some companies are even seeking retired professionals to return to work. Ukraines working-age population has been declining for decades, and this trend has intensified since 2022. In the defense technology sector, the talent shortage directly impacts Ukraines strategy of compensating for its personnel disadvantage on the battlefield with technology. Several industry insiders stated that as weapon systems become more complex and require more expertise, the talent shortage particularly undermines innovation capabilities.August 25th - According to meteorological forecasts, significant rainfall is expected in Northwest China, Inner Mongolia, and North China over the next three days. Heavy to torrential rain is expected in parts of eastern and southern Qinghai, western Inner Mongolia, central Hebei, Beijing, and Tianjin, with some areas experiencing extremely heavy rain and localized areas experiencing exceptionally heavy rain. In accordance with the "National Flood and Drought Relief Emergency Plan" and relevant regulations, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management decided to activate a Level IV flood control emergency response for Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Inner Mongolia, and Qinghai at 10:00 AM on August 25th.JPMorgan Chase is easing its mortgage lending policy for shares held by employees and early investors of recently listed companies, a policy that typically does not accept shares of companies listed within the past 135 days as collateral. Insiders expect the bank may adopt a similar strategy when Anthropic goes public.On August 25th, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) stated that bank reserves remain higher than potential demand during the transition to the new Ample Reserves Scheme. The RBA added that it will provide banks with sufficient liquidity while ensuring interest rates remain stable near the official cash rate. David Jacobs, RBAs Director of Domestic Markets, stated in a speech on the Ample Reserves Scheme that the new scheme will allow for the flexible provision of any amount of reserves needed by the banking system, while keeping the cash rate close to the target set by the central banks policy committee. The RBA announced in 2024 that it will transition to the Ample Reserves Scheme. Under this scheme, banks demand for reserves will be met through open market repurchase operations at prices close to the cash rate target, a so-called "full-allocation auction."

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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