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On August 15th, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated in a media interview on August 14th that while mediators Qatar and Pakistan are exchanging information and maintaining contact with Iran, this does not signify ongoing negotiations. Iran has not yet decided whether to resume negotiations with the United States. Araqchi also stated that negotiations between Iran and Oman are ongoing and relate to determining the navigation routes through the Strait of Hormuz for ship passage; this is a completely different issue from the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Araqchi emphasized that Iran will only restore passage through the Strait of Hormuz if the United States complies with certain conditions.August 15th - According to the New York Times, supply problems for the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier began shortly after the first day of the war – when Iranian missiles and attack drones struck a US Navy base in Bahrain. This attack was Iranian retaliation for the US-Israel joint attack on Tehran, and much of the bases infrastructure was destroyed. Along with the smoke, a major logistics hub upon which the Navy relied was also destroyed. The Navy urgently needed backup plans to continue supplying sailors operating around the clock to maintain air support and, later, to maintain the blockade of Iranian ports. The loss of the Bahrain logistics hub led to numerous problem reports on the carrier supporting the war effort against Iran, and Democratic senators expressed concern about the 5,000 sailors on the Lincoln and its nearly nine-month deployment.August 15th - According to Politico, President Trumps demands on the Navy reached their peak this month, threatening to further weaken an already heavily financially and logistically burdened branch of the military. Trumps deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier has set a record, with the ship having been at sea for nine consecutive months, and sailors families warning that the crew is nearing its limit. A government report indicates that Trumps proposed "golden fleet" of new battleships will cost billions of dollars more than expected. Meanwhile, experts have criticized the presidents order to reinstate outdated technology, a move that could completely disrupt ship production. These problems are now compounding, significantly increasing the pressure on the U.S. Navy. The Navy itself is chronically plagued by delays, cost overruns, and a shrinking fleet, all of which could jeopardize its ability to defend the nation. One U.S. official said, "Our warships are exhausted in the Middle East and the Caribbean, with no end in sight. The Navy is really on the line right now."Iranian Foreign Minister: Iran has not yet decided to resume negotiations with the United States.On August 15, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung proposed a "blueprint for inclusive and stable peaceful coexistence with North Korea," indicating that he would begin the process of transforming the unstable armistice regime on the Korean Peninsula into a peace regime.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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