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Goldman Sachs downgraded Indonesian stocks to underweight.On January 29th, Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated during an earnings call on January 28th that the company will cease production of the Model S and Model X vehicles next quarter. "Its time to honor the Model S and Model X projects as we truly move towards a future centered on self-driving technology," Musk said. Musk also revealed that Tesla is replacing the Model S and Model X production lines at its Fremont, California factory with Optimus production lines, with a long-term goal of achieving an annual production capacity of one million robots.1. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 6.46% to $5411.00 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 10.06% to $116.62 per ounce. The Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts but released expectations of future easing, coupled with market bets on a dovish Fed chair candidate, highlighting the safe-haven and inflation-hedging properties of precious metals. Meanwhile, the CME Groups adjustment of margin parameters for some precious metals futures may also exacerbate short-term volatility. 2. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed up 1.78% at $63.5 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 1.56% to $67.63 per barrel. Trump warned Iran to reach an agreement as soon as possible, citing potential risks to Iranian oil supply. Meanwhile, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 2.295 million barrels last week, a larger-than-expected decline, tightening supply and supporting higher oil prices. 3. Most London base metals rose, with LME tin up 3.52% to $56,795/ton, LME aluminum up 1.59% to $3,263.5/ton, and LME nickel up 1.12% to $18,440/ton. LME copper and zinc saw slight gains, while LME lead fell slightly. 4. US Treasury yields were mixed. The 2-year Treasury yield was unchanged at 3.596%, the 3-year yield fell 0.56 basis points to 3.640%, the 5-year yield rose 25.90 basis points to 3.828%, the 10-year yield rose 0.20 basis points to 4.243%, and the 30-year yield fell 0.31 basis points to 4.855%. 5. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.02% to 49,015.6 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.01% to 6,978.03 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.17% to 23,857.45 points. Large-cap tech stocks were mixed: the Wind U.S. Tech Giants Index rose 0.19%, Nvidia rose 1.59%, and Google, Microsoft, and Tesla all saw slight gains. Most semiconductor stocks closed higher, with Intel rising 11%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 0.32%. U.S. Treasury yields rose. The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged and raised its assessment of economic growth. The market predicts that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until the end of Powells term. 6. Major European stock indices all fell. Germanys DAX index fell 0.29% to 24,822.79 points, Frances CAC40 index fell 1.06% to 8,066.68 points, and the UKs FTSE 100 index fell 0.52% to 10,154.43 points. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 0.75%. US President Trump again threatened Iran, saying the next strike would be more severe, putting pressure on market risk appetite.Teslas CFO: After utilizing internal resources, the company may finance capital expenditures through further debt or other means.Tesla CFO: As Optimus production and expansion begin, capital expenditures are being invested in computing to train Optimus.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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