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Futures News, June 5th: Since May, silver prices have risen and then fallen, with the price trending downwards within a narrow range. As of June 4th, the domestic spot price of #1 silver was 17,711 yuan/kg, a cumulative decrease of 4.41% compared to the beginning of May. In early May, the US and Iran signaled a willingness to negotiate, coupled with Perus energy emergency decree, which raised concerns about mine output, causing silver prices to fluctuate upwards. However, with major consumer India raising import tariffs on silver, the resignation of dovish Fed member Milan, and the stalemate between the US and Iran on key issues, the market traded on interest rate hike expectations, putting downward pressure on silver. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic logic remains focused on the Feds interest rate decision and the US-Iran negotiations. Domestic inventory levels are currently high, and slightly weak consumption has failed to provide fundamental support. In the short term, attention will be focused on the US May non-farm payroll report and CPI data. It is expected that silver prices will lack a clear direction in the short term.June 5th - Thailands inflation unexpectedly slowed in May, remaining within the central banks target range, reducing pressure to implement interest rate interventions. Data released by the Commerce Ministry on Friday showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.79% year-on-year in May, a slowdown from 2.89% in April. The Bank of Thailand has consistently viewed price increases as temporary and has indicated its willingness to ignore any short-term inflation spikes, stating that tightening monetary policy has had little effect on addressing supply-driven shocks. Governor Vitai Ratanakorn stated this week that the current policy rate "remains appropriate for now." The Commerce Ministry expects the inflation rate to reach 3% in June and remain above 3% in the second half of the year.On June 5th, according to Tianyancha App, Anhui Deyi Energy Technology Co., Ltd. recently underwent industrial and commercial changes. The original shareholders, Wuhu Ekotech Powertrain Co., Ltd. and Wuhu Zhenyong Enterprise Management Center (Limited Partnership), withdrew, and Wuhu Qida Power Battery System Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Chery Automobile, became a new shareholder. At the same time, the registered capital increased from RMB 1.8 billion to RMB 2.3 billion, an increase of approximately 28%.On June 5th, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced on Thursday that it will maintain the current eligibility requirements for major benchmark indices such as the S&P 500, rejecting proposals to quickly include mega-cap companies like SpaceX after their IPOs. The index provider stated in its announcement that it will not shorten the current 12-month maturity period for newly listed companies, nor will it exempt existing profitability and public float requirements based on company size. This decision contradicts the broader industry shifts undertaken by its competitors Nasdaq and FTSE Russell. This outcome means that SpaceX, which is preparing for what could be the largest IPO in history, will not be eligible for inclusion in the S&P 500 for at least one year after its listing. The company will also need to meet the indexs existing profitability and public float requirements. ETF analyst James Seifert said, "Im really surprised. But S&P is a market leader, and they can go against the grain."SK Hynix shares continued their decline, falling nearly 8%; Samsung Electronics shares fell 4.8%.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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