• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
August 20th - As US government borrowing increases at an unprecedented rate, the total US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion. Despite Trumps promises to control government spending, the ever-expanding debt continues to raise concerns among investors about the state of US public finances. According to data released by the US Treasury Department on Wednesday, the total US federal debt surpassed the $40 trillion threshold on Tuesday. In the past year, its debt has increased by $3 trillion, the fastest growth rate in history excluding the pandemic period. "Its like a huge warning light on a car engine," said Mark Godwin, senior policy director at the Committee on a Responsible Federal Budget. "It doesnt mean the engine will burn out tomorrow, but its a clear signal that things are out of control. The problem isnt just the sheer size of the debt, but the speed at which weve reached this level." Over the past two decades, US national debt has risen dramatically, climbing from less than $6 trillion at the beginning of the century to its current level. Massive public spending during the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated the widening budget deficit. In the past decade alone, the overall debt has doubled. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the ratio of publicly held federal debt to GDP will exceed the historical peak of 106% set in 1946 after World War II around 2030, and will further climb to 120% by 2036.According to Al Jazeera: A U.S. State Department spokesperson said the Trump administration has begun discussions on Syrian sovereignty and Israels right to self-defense.On August 20th, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is soliciting public comments on computing power futures contracts as industry giants begin to accept computing power as a tradable asset. Several exchanges, including the CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and emerging fintech company Architect Financial Technologies, have announced plans to launch related contracts after obtaining regulatory approval. These exchanges stated that establishing a computing power futures market would help end-users and speculators hedge against risks related to energy shortages or other issues that could impact the technological progress of AI developers. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated in a statement on Wednesday, “The U.S. cannot win the AI race without a robust computing power derivatives market. This comment period is the first step in establishing clear rules for the U.S. computing power market.” One of the issues addressed in the CFTCs comment period is how computing power futures differ from other types of derivatives or underlying commodities that the agency already regulates. Allowing computing power futures to be listed on CFTC-regulated exchanges may require further standardization of variables affecting computing power prices, including price indices used for settlement references.On August 20th, OpenAI announced it will enhance its security processes for paid users and begin testing "private security processing." This technology aims to improve security by identifying risk patterns across multiple interactions, rather than simply analyzing single prompts and responses. OpenAI stated that as AI undertakes longer, more autonomous tasks, risks often arise from combinations of multiple interactions. The company stated that the new process is designed to protect against attacks from malicious users and dysfunctional AI agents, while maintaining "zero data retention" compatibility—customer content will still not be accessible to OpenAI. OpenAI expects to launch this feature in September and release a related technical white paper; it is currently testing with early clients such as Microsoft and Databricks.Argentinas Minister of Economy: Argentina has approved a large-scale investment incentive program worth $6.4 billion for TECPETROLs Lostordos Phase II oil project in Huacamurta.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


截屏2022-04-07 上午9.59.45.png