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The U.S. Senate will begin its final vote on Milans nomination to the Federal Reserve Board in ten minutes.Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Nvidia is fully shifting its technological development focus to its next-generation product, the SOCAMM2. 2. Micron Technology has suspended NAND flash memory and DRAM pricing for a week, with the market predicting price increases. 3. Nvidia is considering being the first to adopt TSMCs most advanced process, the A16 process, which will enter mass production in the second half of next year. Others: 1. OpenAI released GPT-5-CODEX. 2. Version 2.0 of the "AI Security Governance Framework" has been released. 3. Lei Jun: The Xiaomi 17 series is a comprehensive competitor to the iPhone. 4. The US Secretary of Energy stated that nuclear fusion power generation could be possible within eight years. 5. Nvidia is requiring suppliers to develop MLCP technology, with a unit price 3-5 times that of existing cooling solutions. 6. Xiaomis Lu Weibing: R&D investment will increase to 200 billion RMB over the next five years. 7. Elon Musk: The Samsung factory in Texas will produce AI6 chips, not AI5 chips, and a decision on whether to use high-bandwidth memory (HBM) has not yet been made. Nuanwa Insight, an AI technology company in the insurance industry, has applied for an IPO in Hong Kong.1. All three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.11%, the S&P 500 up 0.47%, and the Nasdaq up 0.94%. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached new all-time highs. Amazon and Apple rose over 1%, leading the Dow. The Wind S7 Index rose 1.53%, with Google up over 4% and Tesla up over 3%. Most Chinese concept stocks rose, with Pony.ai rising nearly 11% and Li Auto up nearly 7%. 2. U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield down 2.30 basis points to 3.526%, the 3-year Treasury yield down 3.32 basis points to 3.494%, the 5-year Treasury yield down 3.30 basis points to 3.600%, the 10-year Treasury yield down 3.64 basis points to 4.034%, and the 30-year Treasury yield down 2.80 basis points to 4.653%. 3. International precious metal futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures up 0.90% at $3,719.50/oz and COMEX silver futures up 0.84% at $43.19/oz. US President Trumps pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has sparked market concerns, and deteriorating US employment data has reinforced expectations of a rate cut. 4. International oil prices rose slightly, with the main US crude oil contract up 0.94% at $63.28/barrel; the main Brent crude oil contract rose 0.69% to $67.45/barrel. 5. Most base metals closed higher in London, with LME copper futures up 1.21% at $10,189/ton, a 15-month high; LME zinc futures up 0.85% at $2,982/ton; LME nickel futures up 0.22% at $15,425/ton; and LME aluminum futures up 0.56% at $2,704.5/ton.September 16th news, in the procedural vote held by the Senate on Monday, the senators cleared the procedural obstacles of Milans confirmation vote with a majority of 50 votes in favor and 44 votes against. The economic adviser of Trump is just one step away from joining the Federal Reserve as a governor. The final vote will be held later on Monday. If confirmed, Milan will be able to walk into the Federal Reserves office in Washington on Tuesday morning and participate in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate policy meeting scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday in time.

The Devil Is In The Details: Gold Analysis - Federal Reserve Minutes

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:33

Analyses of Federal Reserve Minutes 

While both the FOMC statement and Chairman Powell's press conference provide market participants with information about the FOMC's updated and revised monetary policy, it is the release of the minutes that provides investors with significantly greater clarity and understanding. The devil, as they say, is in the details.

 

The Federal Reserve issued the official minutes from its March FOMC meeting today, providing insight into the central bank's current plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet assets. Beginning in March 2020, the Federal Reserve will add around $4.6 trillion to its balance sheet by purchasing $120 billion monthly in mortgage-backed securities ($40 billion) and US Treasury securities ($80 billion), bringing their total to just over $9 trillion.

 

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, the Fed intends to employ a mix of interest rate rises and a quick run-off of the balance sheet to bring US monetary policy closer to neutral later this year.

 

However, the minutes released today imply that the Federal Reserve will unwind around $3 trillion over the next three years, reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet to $6 trillion. While the Fed appears to be indicating a quick runoff of its balance sheet, the reality is that the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will be nearly $2 trillion larger than it was prior to the epidemic.

 

"Participants continued their discussion on plans to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet in a manner consistent with the methodology outlined in the Committee's Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet, announced following its January meeting."

 

Additionally, the minutes stated, "While no decision was made regarding the Committee's plan to reduce the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at this meeting, participants agreed that significant progress had been made on the plan and that the Committee was well positioned to begin the process of reducing the balance sheet's size as soon as after the conclusion of its upcoming May meeting."


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