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Samsung Electronics: System LSI business revenue hit a record high in the first half of the year.Samsung Electronics: Profits are expected to continue to grow in the second half of the year.On July 30th, Huatai Macro Research Report stated that the FOMCs decision to hold rates steady in July somewhat eroded the Feds credibility, leading to rising inflation expectations and higher long-term interest rates. We believe the probability of a Fed rate hike in September remains high. The unexpectedly hawkish FOMC meeting in June resulted in tighter financial conditions, lower inflation expectations, and increased Fed credibility. However, with energy prices rising again, the market may have begun pricing in Warshs claim of zero tolerance for inflation as mere rhetoric. The subsequent rise in inflation expectations and long-term yields suggests that the Feds credibility may have been somewhat eroded. We reiterate our baseline forecast of a high probability of a September rate hike, 1-2 rate hikes this year, and 2 rate hikes before mid-next year. The risks remain: ① Warsh may have been merely bluffing; ② The AI boom may abruptly end, leading to tighter financial conditions and making a rate hike unnecessary. Pay attention to the July-August employment/inflation data and Warshs Jackson Hole speech on August 27th.Samsung Electronics reported a net profit of 71.3 trillion won for the second quarter, compared to market expectations of 68.5 trillion won. The chip divisions operating profit for the second quarter was 89.2 trillion won.On July 30th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices rose nearly 7% on Wednesday. As large-scale airstrikes reignited in the Middle East, market hopes for an impending end to the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran were dashed; meanwhile, US government data showed domestic crude oil inventories had fallen to multi-year lows, exacerbating concerns about supply reductions. UBS analyst Giovanni Staúnovo stated that the renewed military strikes in the Middle East and Iranian officials reiterating their intention to control shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz (despite a significant reduction in oil flow through the strait) further pushed up oil prices. On Wednesday, the US and Saudi Arabia launched strikes against Iranian-backed groups in Iraq, accusing them of drone attacks on Saudi oil facilities. Hours earlier, the US military announced it had successfully thwarted an Iranian raid targeting US forces in the region. Iran, in turn, stated it fired on ships in the Strait of Hormuz and US bases in Jordan.

Taiwan Threatens WTO Action As China Suspends Importation of Grouper Fish

Aria Thomas

Jun 13, 2022 11:48

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Saturday, Taiwan's government threatened to take China to the World Trade Organization after China blocked imports of grouper fish from Taiwan, citing the presence of banned chemicals. This is the latest agricultural dispute between the two countries.


Last year, China stopped imports of Taiwanese pineapples, sugar apples, and wax apples, alleging insect problems, which Taiwan vehemently rejected.


Relations between Taipei and Beijing, which claims democratically governed Taiwan as its own territory, are at their lowest level in decades, with China intensifying political and military pressure on the island to recognize its sovereignty.


China's customs department announced late Friday that it had repeatedly identified illegal substances in Taiwanese grouper and would suspend their import beginning Monday "to prevent dangers and protect consumer health and life."


Chen Chi-chung, minister of agriculture for Taiwan's Council of Agriculture, denied the accusation, stating there was nothing wrong with the fish and that Taiwan will supply China with data and request a response.


He told reporters that Taiwan would not rule out pushing the issue to the WTO if China did not reply.


According to Cabinet spokesman Lo Ping-cheng, China has frequently boycotted and blocked Taiwanese agricultural and aquatic exports "in a manner inconsistent with international norms."


This not only damages relations between Taiwan and China, but also increases the Taiwanese public's displeasure with the Chinese Communist Party's arbitrary suppression of Taiwan.


The majority of Taiwanese grouper is consumed domestically, while China accounts for almost 90 percent of exports.