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On May 16th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Stournaras stated that a small interest rate hike by the ECB could curb inflation without causing economic damage. Even if the inflation rate is significantly above the target level for a period of time, as long as it is temporary, future tightening of monetary policy should be more moderate. This would both curb further inflation and avoid excessive shock to economic activity. The duration and intensity of the energy crisis, and its transmission mechanism to the real economy, will also determine the ECBs response. The ECB will continue to closely assess all available data and is prepared to set policy rates at a level consistent with maintaining price stability in the medium term. This typically dovish official emphasized that there is currently no strong evidence of a second round of inflation, but he also warned of rising uncertainty, as damage to energy infrastructure in the Gulf region could prolong inflationary pressures in the medium term. Extended delivery times and rising input costs indicate that supply chains are facing increasing pressure.May 16th - Despite geopolitical tensions and a flood of synthetic diamonds, Zimbabwes main state-owned diamond miner plans to produce 5 million carats of diamonds this year, up from 3.8 million carats in 2025. Douglas Zambangor, CEO of United Diamonds Zimbabwe, told lawmakers in the eastern town of Mutare that the countrys diamond industry has experienced a more severe downturn than the international market due to a series of local problems. While international rough diamond prices have fallen by 26% to 35%, Zimbabwean diamonds have plummeted from a peak of $79 per carat to $22 per carat due to product mix issues, geopolitical tensions, synthetic diamonds, market collusion, and an unfavorable sales framework. The international diamond market remains sluggish, especially for unique rough diamonds, with prices projected to range between $22 and $34 per carat by 2026. In contrast, other producers are averaging $100 per carat for high-quality rough diamonds.May 16th - According to sources, FIFA Secretary General Matthias Grafström will meet with officials from the Iranian Football Federation in Istanbul, Turkey, on the 16th. FIFA will "assure" Iran that it will be able to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. US Secretary of State Rubio previously stated that Iranian footballers will be welcomed at this World Cup, but also warned that the US may still ban Iranian team members with ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps from entering the country.May 16 - According to sources cited by Irans state news agency, Pakistani Interior Minister Naqvi arrived in Tehran a few hours ago to meet with Iranian officials.May 16th - On May 16th local time, in the first round of the WorldSSP class of the 2026 World Superbike Championship (WSBK) Czech Republic, Valentin Debis, the No. 53 French rider from Chinese motorcycle manufacturer "Zhang Xue Motorcycle", won the championship.

Stocks, bonds, cryptos and gold struggle as yields press higher

Skylar Shaw

Sep 26, 2022 15:01

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The same tendencies in the markets continue, where any rallies in major currencies, commodities, shares, and bonds are quickly followed by down. The US dollar continues to rule the foreign exchange market. Due to growing interest rate forecasts and rising bond rates, investors are now finding it difficult to justify purchasing any risky assets. The FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday is the center of attention. You may get all the information you need about it HERE. Trading continues to favor selling into assets with little to no yield, such low-dividend equities and gold, amid a climate of increasing interest rates across the board.

 

The US 10-year burst above the 3.5% barrier today to reach its highest level since February 2011, while the 30-year yield touched 3.61%, its highest level since April 2014. These developments came ahead of the Fed's rate announcement.

 

 

Whenever there is a chance for investors to earn money after a relief rally, they seize it. Given all that is going on in the world right now, why would they not? The economic prognosis is still bleak.


Although inflation may have subsided a little, it is still excessive and may continue to rise for a longer period of time than anticipated. This occurred once more this week. US index futures had risen into Monday's close, but they began to decline after the new day in Asia had begun, and the selling persisted until the US cash markets had opened. As increasing interest rate forecasts continue to put pressure on zero-yielding assets, gold and silver plummeted. The former is still under pressure after breaking to a new low for the year below $1680 last week.


In the future, everything will depend on when interest rate increases are fully priced. The stock market won't be able to shine very brilliantly until this takes place. Incoming data, particularly inflation data, largely determines how quickly the markets will price in rate rises.


Given those longer-term lower lows and lower highs, the Dow Jones is still moving down and is comfortably above the market. The 200-day moving average is now heading lower. Resistance is replacing old supports. One such region is the area around 31000, where the index previously made a reversal. But as of right now, this region has turned into resistance, indicating that sellers continue to have complete influence over price activity. From here, the Dow might decline near its summer low in front of a busy week.