• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
US President Trump: I did not say that hostilities against Iran are over, but I did say they have been defeated.On May 10, Saudi Aramco President and CEO Amin Nasser stated that global oil supply has decreased by approximately 1 billion barrels over the past two months. In a media interview, Nasser said that even if energy flows return to normal, the entire system will need time to return to normal. Saudi Aramco stated that the East-West pipeline is a vital supply artery, helping to mitigate global energy shocks and providing some assurance to customers affected by shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz.Market news: Microsoft (MSFT.O)’s (MSFT.O) data center site selection in East Africa has been delayed due to a disagreement with the Kenyan government over the company’s demand for guaranteed payments.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas April CPI year-on-year rate, Chinas April M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending); US April existing home sales (annualized). ② Events: US Treasury Secretary Bessenter visits Japan, meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister, Bank of Japan Governor, and Finance Minister. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Germanys final April CPI month-on-month rate, Germanys May ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones May ZEW economic sentiment index; US April NFIB small business confidence index, US ADP employment change for the week ending April 25, US April unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US April seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US April seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US April unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate. ② Events: Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions from April monetary policy meeting deliberation committee members; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams participates in a panel discussion on monetary policy; JD.com earnings call. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (May 12) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (May 12) - bid-to-cover ratio, US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 8; Japans March trade balance; Frances Q1 ILO unemployment rate, Frances final April CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone Q1 GDP annual rate (revised), Eurozone Q1 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate (preliminary), Eurozone March industrial production month-on-month rate; US April PPI annual rate, US April PPI month-on-month rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; Chicago Fed President Goolsby participates in a Q&A session hosted by the local Chamber of Commerce; IEA releases monthly oil market report; Alibaba earnings call; Tencent earnings call; 2028 FOMC voting member and Boston Fed President Collins speaks at the Boston Economic Club. 4. Thursday: ① Data: UK Q1 GDP annual rate (preliminary), UK March three-month GDP monthly rate, UK March manufacturing output monthly rate, UK March seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK March industrial production monthly rate; Canada March wholesale sales monthly rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 9, US April retail sales monthly rate, US April import price index monthly rate, US March business inventories monthly rate, US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending May 8. ② Events: 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participates in a discussion hosted by the local chamber of commerce; Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan participates in a dialogue on the energy industry. 5. Friday: ① Data: US May New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US April industrial production monthly rate; China April total electricity consumption year-on-year (pending), China April total electricity consumption (pending). ② Events: Powells term as Federal Reserve Chairman ends; Cleveland Fed President Hammark, a 2026 FOMC voting member, delivers opening remarks at an online discussion on central bank independence; Fed Governor Barr speaks; and New York Fed President Williams, a permanent FOMC voting member, participates in a discussion. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending May 15.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: I will depart on Monday for a series of brief meetings in Japan and South Korea.

Stocks May See a Reversal As a Result of Bleak GDP Data

Cory Russell

Apr 29, 2022 10:22

Fundamental Analysis of the S&P 500 Index

After rebounding from a fresh low of 4,162.90, the broad stock market index recovered 0.21 percent on Wednesday. The S&P 500 index dropped to its local lows of roughly 4,160 in March. 


Despite quarterly corporate profits disclosures, it continued to fall. There is still a lot of uncertainty about the Fed's tightening monetary policy, as well as the Ukraine crisis. 


Following the publication of Facebook's quarterly earnings report yesterday, the S&P 500 index is predicted to start 1.1 percent higher this morning. However, following significantly poorer than anticipated quarterly Advance GDP figures (-1.4 percent vs. estimates of +1.1 percent), the market retraced some of its overnight gains.

Conclusion

Following recent drops, the S&P 500 index varied on Wednesday. The market ended the day higher, although it remained below the 4,200 level. 


The key Advance GDP announcement today came in substantially lower than predicted. We could see a "sell the rumor, buy the news" scenario here. Investors will also be watching for AAPL and AMZN to deliver their quarterly earnings reports today.

The following is a breakdown:


Yesterday, the S&P 500 index stuck below 4,200; it may seem contradictory, but today's worse-than-expected Advance GDP announcement may cause an upward reversal.