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Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Overnight, COMEX gold weakened amid fluctuations. After opening today, overseas gold prices rebounded somewhat, with a gain of approximately 0.45% as of this writing. Market sentiment remains volatile. 1. On the policy front, the remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh at his Senate confirmation hearing last night exerted some downward pressure on gold prices. Warsh stated that he is "committed to ensuring that the implementation of monetary policy remains strictly independent," emphasizing that interest rate decisions "must be strictly independent of political considerations," and pointing out that Trump never asked him to commit to rate cuts. The market interpreted this statement as a hawkish signal, coupled with his call for a "new inflation framework and communication method" from the Fed, further strengthening market expectations that monetary policy is unlikely to shift to easing in the short term, thus putting pressure on gold. 2. On the geopolitical front, a dramatic reversal occurred. Earlier today, Trump publicly stated that he did not intend to extend the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran, which expires on the evening of the 22nd, and threatened to resume bombings against Iran after the ceasefire expires, triggering a rise in market risk aversion. However, hours later, Trump announced on social media that, at Pakistans request, he agreed to extend the ceasefire, pending Irans submission of a negotiating proposal. He also instructed the US military to continue its naval blockade of Iran and maintain a state of readiness. This fluctuating stance caused market sentiment to waver. 3. In summary, the obstruction of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed up oil prices and inflation expectations, coupled with persistent expectations of Fed tightening, becoming the core factor suppressing gold prices. The US-Iran negotiations have been repeatedly uncertain, increasing short-term market divergence. Before the negotiations become clearer, traders are advised to control their positions and wait for confirmation of direction. However, given the current US stance of still favoring a negotiated solution, traders may consider buying on dips during periods of volatility.Market news: Japans finance minister will meet with the banking sector to discuss the threat posed by Anthropics Mythos model.On April 22, the highest 7-day annualized yield of Tencent Wealth Managements "Current Account +" was 1.3380%, and the lowest was 0.8440%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of WeChat Pays "Lingqian Tong" was 1.0670%, and the lowest was 1.0030%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of Alipays "Yuebao" was 1.1550%, and the lowest was 1.0000%.Boeing has begun formal certification testing of the engine anti-icing design repair for its 737 MAX series aircraft.Hong Kong-listed AI concept stocks fell in early trading, with Paradigm Intelligence (06682.HK) down 10.38%, Kingsoft Cloud (03896.HK) down 4.67%, and Qunhe Technology (00068.HK) down 2.54%.

Stocks And Bonds Fall As Germany's Surprise Raises Inflation Concerns

Aria Thomas

May 31, 2022 11:35

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After a high inflation data in Germany heightened concerns about the pace and magnitude of upcoming interest rate hikes, stocks and bonds in Asia fluctuated and the dollar strengthened on Tuesday.


Increasing energy costs heightened concerns about the permanence of consumer suffering. Brent crude futures reached a two-month high of $122.43 a barrel after the European Union pledged to reduce its oil imports from Russia by the end of the year.


Returning from the U.S. holiday on Monday, U.S. treasuries declined, driving the yield of the 10-year bond up nearly 10 basis points (bps) to 2.8405 percent.


German consumer prices grew at their highest pace in half a century overnight, bolstering the case for an outsized European Central Bank interest rate hike in July. German bund rates increased by 8.1 basis points overnight.


Tuesday afternoon will feature Eurozone inflation figures.


Chinese Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures showed another month of contraction in services and manufacturing activity, though at a reduced pace of decline.


In the stocks market, S&P 500 futures reversed early gains to trade flat at the start of the Asian session, while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities outside Japan lost a two-day gaining streak and fell 0.2%. Japan's Nikkei dipped 0.1 percent. (T)


According to Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ Bank in Singapore, the current focus is on the U.S. economy and China.


The fact that the world's two largest economies are slowing for separate reasons is not good for the global growth trajectory.


Data released on Tuesday revealed that factory output in the world's third-largest economy, Japan, declined substantially in April as Chinese demand waned.


China's official PMI in May was 49.6, showing a decline in industrial activity, but at a slower rate than in April, when it was 47.4.


Growth fears have halted a two-week advance for exporter currencies worldwide and have stabilized the U.S. dollar as investors have resumed their flight to safety. 


Governor of the U.S. Federal Reserve Christopher Waller's hawkish comments further diminished recent hopes that the Fed would take a breather after the June and July rate hikes.


"I advocate putting 50 (basis point increases) on the table at each meeting until we observe a significant decline in inflation. I don't see why we should stop until we obtain it "Waller remarked.


Fed Funds futures plummeted, particularly those for the early months of next year, as investors braced for persistent interest rate hikes that would drive the benchmark rate to 3 percent by mid-2023.


The dollar traded on Tuesday at $1.0744 per euro, up 0.3%, and 128.16 per JPY, up around 0.4%.


The trade-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars declined, with the Australian dollar down 0.2% to $0.7180 and the New Zealand dollar falling 0.4% to $0.6530.


After the European Union agreed to reduce its oil imports from Russia by the end of 2022, oil prices increased.


U.S. crude futures increased to $117.70 a barrel.


The strengthening dollar pulled the spot price of gold down to $1,848 per ounce. Overnight, Bitcoin surged over 8 percent and above $32,000 for the first time in three weeks. Early in the Asian session, the price was barely below $31,540.