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The main contract of industrial silicon rose by more than 3% and is now quoted at 8,995 yuan/ton.On September 15, the overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; the 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; the 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; the January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; and the March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.According to futures data on September 15, overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.On September 15th, Pop Mart (09992.HK) plunged nearly 9% on Monday, its biggest drop since April, hitting its lowest level in over a month, after JPMorgan Chase downgraded its rating to neutral, citing a "lack of catalysts and unattractive valuation." This followed social media posts pointing to weak demand for its new "SKULLPANDA" product, and JPMorgans downgrade heightened market concerns about waning popularity. JPMorgan analysts Kevin Yin and others stated in a report: "Current valuations already reflect perfect expectations. Any minor fundamental disappointment or negative media coverage (such as falling pre-owned prices or third-party licensing issues) could trigger a share price decline." Although the stock has still risen over 180% this year, its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is now close to 23 times.On September 15th, the market generally expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, but uncertainty remained about the direction of the policy once it was implemented. Marc Giannoni, Barclays chief US economist, stated that with inflation remaining subdued, the FOMC will judge that downside risks to achieving its employment goals are increasing. He added that the Feds economic projections remained largely unchanged, but the dot plot indicated three rate cuts (each 25 basis points) this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term interest rate forecast remained unchanged at 3.0%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Wait for the Jobs Number

Alice Wang

Oct 09, 2022 14:31

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As we wait for Friday's employment report, the S&P 500 has been relatively calm throughout the trading session on Thursday. This does make sense in a lot of ways since many individuals won't want to take on a lot of risk before this unpredictable number. After all, the Federal Reserve's decision, which is by far the most crucial item to watch out for right now for most traders, will be greatly impacted by the employment report. Given enough time, I do think volatility will persist and many accounts will lose all of their money. I think the market has gone ahead of itself at this point, and any indication that the Federal Reserve may take a hawkish attitude might have serious consequences for the stock market.


When I look at the S&P 500, I see that the market is having trouble staying above the 3800 level on the E-mini contract, which does indicate that some confidence has been eroded. Since there is nothing that should be seen as optimistic right now, I believe that this market will retest its lows. This is only a result of Wall Street speculators believing that the Federal Reserve would step in to save them.


In actuality, the Federal Reserve no longer actively trades the markets, so they have no incentive to attempt to drive it higher. They will keep tightening monetary policy as long as inflation keeps soaring. Keep in mind that for the last 14 years, the stock market's success has mostly been supported by inexpensive money.

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