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The yield on 20-year Japanese government bonds fell 3.5 basis points to 3.100%.February 6th - A Bank of England survey showed that UK employers expectations for wage growth cooled further in January. The bank is closely monitoring further signs of slowing wage growth to decide when to cut interest rates. The survey showed that, based on a three-month moving average, businesses expectations for wage growth over the next year fell 0.1 percentage point to 3.6% in January, matching the lowest level since the data was first published in 2022. Expectations for price increases over the next year also declined slightly, falling 0.1 percentage point to 3.5% in the three months to January. The Bank of England kept interest rates at 3.75% on Thursday, with the market expecting one or two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2026. Although the UKs overall inflation rate rose to 3.4% in December, the central bank stated that there is still room for further rate cuts this year if the expected sharp decline in inflation since April is sustained. The survey showed that in the three months to January, businesses expectations for overall inflation over the next year were 3.2%, compared to 3.4% in the three months to December. The company also said it expects employment to fall by 0.2% over the next year, compared with a 0.4% decline predicted in a December survey.A chart summarizing the overnight price movements of international spot platinum and palladium.According to the UAEs Al-Nazi newspaper, as the US and Iran prepare for diplomatic negotiations, the White House is secretly consulting with influential Iranian-Americans to develop a transition plan for the potential collapse of the current Iranian regime.February 6th, Futures News – According to foreign media reports, Malaysian crude palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (BMD) are likely to open lower on Friday morning, following the decline in external markets. Affected by the upcoming talks between the US and Iran, international crude oil futures fell nearly 3% on Thursday, coupled with weakness in Chicago soybean oil futures, which will drag down the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. The decline in oil prices has weakened the attractiveness of palm oil as a raw material for biofuels. However, the fundamentals of the palm oil market are positive, including declining production and increased exports, which will provide strong support for the market. Shipping surveyors reported that Malaysian palm oil exports increased by 14.9% to 17.9% in January. Data from the Southern Malaysian Palm Oil Association (SPPOMMA) shows that from January 1st to 31st, 2026, palm oil production in Southern Malaysia decreased by 13.08% month-on-month. The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) will release palm oil inventory data next Tuesday. Analysts expect palm oil inventories to decline at the end of January, ending the previous 10-month streak of increases due to declining production and increased exports.

S&P 500 Weekly Forecast – Stock Markets Threaten Breakout

Alice Wang

Nov 28, 2022 14:24

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Weekly Technical Analysis for the S&P 500

Throughout the trading week, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has climbed a little to test the 50-Week EMA. 


Although the previous week's candlestick indicates that there is considerable resistance just above, it is highly doubtful that things will get any easier from here on out. 


After all, a lot will depend on the jobs report that will be released on Friday as people try to predict what the Federal Reserve will do next. Wall Street has recently been anticipating a slowdown in interest rate increases, but the truth is that they will continue to remain tight for a considerable amount of time.


When examining the chart, you need also keep in mind that Thursday and Friday would have seen, to put it mildly, very little trade, so you can only infer so much from the candlestick. As we wait for the Federal Reserve statement in December, the course of the next few sessions will almost probably define where we go for the following few weeks.


Although I don't believe the market is about to be given the "all clear," there may be a chance for the mythical "Santa Claus rally" at this time, so you should be extremely cautious about the size of your positions. 


Money managers will then exert every effort to begin acquiring assets that will allow them to appear to have performed better than they actually did at the end of the year. With this, we might obtain that tiny bomb, but I have a feeling the merchants will be back in no time.