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On September 18th, Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, with the two companies collaborating on the development of customized data center and personal computing products. Shares of European semiconductor companies rose across the board. Dutch chipmaking equipment supplier ASML and its smaller rival ASML International saw their shares rise nearly 8%. Dutch semiconductor packaging equipment supplier Beers Semiconductor Industries saw its share price rise 5.4%. German chipmaker Infineon Technologies saw its share price rise 4.1%. STMicroelectronics, which supplies Elon Musks Tesla and Apple, saw its share price rise 5.2%.On September 18th, Suren Thiru, an economist at the Institute of Chartered Accountants, stated in a report that the Bank of Englands (BoE) future interest rate path has become uncertain following its vote to hold interest rates steady. He noted that policymakers appear to believe that concerns about inflation have outweighed concerns about the economy, leaving the possibility of further rate cuts in the near term "undecided." Thiru stated that rate setters will want to assess the impact of various measures in the governments spending and tax plans, to be announced in November, before considering further easing policy. Therefore, December would be the earliest they might consider a rate cut.AMD (AMD.O)s pre-market losses widened to 5%.On September 18th, Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income at Miton Investors, a London-based investment firm, stated: "Having already cut interest rates five times, the Bank of Englands decision to hold rates steady is unsurprising." Inflation remains stubbornly stubborn at 3.8%, and wage growth, at 4.7%, continues to exert pressure. The UK is now the most severely affected economy in the developed world by stagflation—a severe combination of high inflation, low growth, and rising unemployment. This environment is a testament to the ability of central bankers to perform their duties, but they cannot do it alone. Current government policies, far from curbing stagflation, are actually exacerbating it: rising employer costs and increased taxes are driving up inflationary pressures and slowing economic growth. The next key event for the Bank of England and all sterling asset markets is the Autumn Budget. If, as we expect, the government continues to raise taxes, we fear the Bank of England will have to continue to grapple with this difficult stagflationary situation.ECB board member Escriva: There are signs that the foreign exchange system is becoming less biased towards the single currency.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Running Out of Momentum

Steven Zhao

Oct 28, 2022 15:41


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During the trading session on Thursday, the S&P 500 E-mini contract fluctuated back and forth as it seemed that momentum was beginning to wane. As we ended up producing a significant shooting star during the previous session, the market is now expected to continue to receive a lot of inquiries regarding the probable direction of the stock market. It's probable that we will keep moving down and that the long-term downtrend will continue if we break back down below the 50-Day EMA. I would anticipate losing 3800 at that time and moving on to the 3600 level.


On the other hand, it's possible that the upside will be challenged further into the 4000 level if we were to break above the top of the shooting star from the Wednesday session.


However, I do believe that this is a situation where you should be looking for shorting opportunities as the Federal Reserve will have to continue tightening monetary policy. Of course, there is also the possibility that the market could receive a shock next week as the Federal Reserve returns to the scene with its monetary policy statement and of course the press conference that follows.


Wall Street continues to believe that the Federal Reserve will save it, despite the fact that the Fed has repeatedly said that it wants lower stock prices and to reduce demand.