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December 11th - According to monthly data released by OPEC on Thursday, Russias crude oil production rose slightly to 9.367 million barrels per day in November, an increase of 10,000 barrels per day from October, but still below its OPEC+ quota of 9.532 million barrels per day. OPEC+ has cumulatively increased its crude oil production target by more than 2.7 million barrels per day this year, equivalent to about 2.5% of global oil demand. This policy shift ended years of production cuts aimed at regaining market share. However, at its meeting at the end of November, OPEC+ decided to maintain current production levels until the first quarter of 2026 to address market concerns about potential oversupply. The report also showed that Kazakhstans crude oil production increased by 36,000 barrels per day month-on-month in November, reaching 1.745 million barrels per day, continuing to exceed its quota.On December 11th, OPEC stated in its monthly report that OPEC+ slightly increased crude oil production in November as eight member countries continued to pursue their planned production increases. OPEC also maintained its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026, noting that the global economy remains on a solid track. The report showed that OPEC+ crude oil production in November was 43.06 million barrels per day, an increase of 43,000 barrels per day from October. Looking ahead, OPEC+ crude oil demand is projected to average 42.6 million barrels per day in the first quarter of 2026, with an annual average demand of 43 million barrels per day, indicating a basic balance between supply and demand in the market. Furthermore, the organization did not adjust its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026, reflecting continued confidence in the energy consumption outlook.According to CNBC, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter will push for looser regulations and a more liberal approach.1. Algerias crude oil production increased by 10,000 barrels per day (bpd) in November to 965,000 bpd. 2. Congos crude oil production decreased by 10,000 bpd in November to 254,000 bpd. 3. Guineas crude oil production decreased by 3,000 bpd in November to 45,000 bpd. 4. Gabons crude oil production decreased by 8,000 bpd in November to 217,000 bpd. 5. Irans crude oil production decreased by 19,000 bpd in November to 3,221,000 bpd. 6. Iraqs crude oil production decreased by 21,000 bpd in November to 4,077,000 bpd. 7. Kuwaits crude oil production increased by 13,000 bpd in November to 2,565,000 bpd. 8. Libyas crude oil production increased by 4,000 bpd in November to 1,285,000 bpd. 9. Nigerian crude oil production decreased by 11,000 barrels per day (bpd) in November to 1.486 million bpd. 10. Saudi Arabian crude oil production increased by 54,000 bpd in November to 10.053 million bpd. 11. The UAEs crude oil production increased by 16,000 bpd in November to 3.378 million bpd. 12. Venezuelan crude oil production decreased by 27,000 bpd in November to 934,000 bpd. 13. OPECs crude oil production decreased by 1,000 bpd in November to 28.48 million bpd.OPEC Monthly Report: OECD oil inventories fell by 32 million barrels in October to 2.83 billion barrels.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.