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Japans total household spending fell 6.4% month-on-month in June, compared with a forecast of -3.1% and a previous reading of 3.7%.Japans total household spending fell 3.3% year-on-year in June, compared with a forecast of 1.00% and a previous reading of -0.40%.Asian stocks are expected to open slightly lower on Friday as renewed geopolitical tensions dragged down both U.S. stocks and bonds. Oil prices jumped, reigniting inflation concerns ahead of a key U.S. jobs report. Market focus now shifts to Fridays U.S. jobs report for new clues about the Federal Reserves policy path. Stronger-than-expected jobs data could reinforce the case for persistently high interest rates, while any escalation of tensions in the Middle East could push up energy prices and exacerbate market volatility. UBS analyst Ulrike Hoffmann said, "Short-term risks remain, especially if U.S. data remains strong, oil prices continue to fuel inflation concerns, or the market continues to price in a more hawkish Fed rate path." José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, said, "Wall Street has once again reversed its recent sharp rise as the lack of clarity surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to question the validity of the strong rally earlier this week."On August 7th, it was reported that the Venezuelan and Chilean foreign ministries issued separate statements on August 6th, announcing the exchange of diplomatic notes and the formal restoration of consular relations. They also decided to establish consulates general in each others capitals. Furthermore, both sides agreed to proceed gradually towards the full normalization of bilateral relations.Federal Reserves Mussalim: Amidst energy market volatility, I am focused on core inflation.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.