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March 24th Futures News: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 1,964,357 lots, an increase of 687,463 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,008,082 lots, a decrease of 27,726 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 428,868 lots, an increase of 197,686 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 312,147 lots, an increase of 14,555 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 584,140 lots, an increase of 148,258 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,498,754 lots, a decrease of 12,408 lots from the previous trading day.Philippine President: Grounding aircraft is "very likely" due to fuel shortages caused by the war with Iran.Iranian Foreign Minister: During a phone call, the Iranian Foreign Minister and the Egyptian Foreign Minister emphasized the need to continue consultations.On March 24th, Eastspring Investments stated that inflation in major global and Asian economies is expected to rise by an average of 0.4 percentage points due to the impact of the Iran war. Continued increases in energy prices are likely to gradually affect central bank inflation expectations. While most Asian economies are unlikely to cut interest rates in the near term, policy tensions could escalate over time. In the equity market, further corrections are expected as risks shift from inflation to growth. Furthermore, oil price volatility could lead to divergences in industrial production across Asian manufacturing economies; however, strong AI-driven demand supporting North Asian technology exporters should remain robust.Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.9%, FTSE 100 futures fell 0.66%, and DAX futures fell 0.85%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.