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The Eurozones ZEW economic sentiment index for July was 23.4, down from 9.5 in the previous month.Germanys ZEW Economic Situation Index for July was -77.6, compared to a forecast of -77.8 and a previous reading of -81.Germanys ZEW economic sentiment index for July was 26.3, below the expected 17.5 and the previous reading of 10.5.HSBCs chief multi-asset strategist, Max Kettner, stated that a market correction is possible as market sentiment overheats, the effects of fiscal stimulus diminish, and uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections rises. Investors should consider moderately reducing their equity positions after the earnings season ends. Kettner, who has maintained a top-weighted overweight rating on equities since mid-March, noted that current positioning and market sentiment are approaching levels seen during the economic reopening trading period in 2021, while some US credit card data indicates that consumer spending has begun to slow. He pointed out that the fiscal stimulus from the "Big and Beautiful Act" is comparable to that of the 2009 financial crisis, but the stimulus is primarily concentrated in the first half of 2026, with limited incremental support available in the future. Regarding specific midterm election risks, Kettner pointed out that current polls show a close Senate race, increasing uncertainty surrounding AI and data center regulations. This uncertainty could drag down the entire technology sector, not just the divergence between semiconductors and hyperscale cloud service providers; technology stocks as a whole could be affected. However, he also believes that such a correction could present buying opportunities.The ZEW economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone in July will be released in ten minutes.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.