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On August 22nd, it was reported that long-term government bond yields in major global economies have continued to rise recently, increasing selling pressure in the bond market. However, Chinas bond market and exchange rate have remained relatively stable, with Panda bond issuance reaching a record high for the same period. Data shows that as of August 21st, the cumulative issuance of Panda bonds in 2026 reached 209.975 billion yuan, an increase of over 73% year-on-year. Against the backdrop of sharp fluctuations in the global bond market, the increased investment by international institutions in domestic RMB financing has attracted attention. Industry insiders explained, "We and overseas markets are in completely different economic and monetary cycles. Foreign capital accounts for only about 5%-8% of my countrys bond market, while domestic capital holds absolute pricing power. Coupled with our monetary policy adhering to a self-reliant approach, overseas shocks cannot reverse the overall trend of the domestic bond market." Looking ahead, industry insiders believe that overseas bond yields are likely to remain highly volatile, highlighting the investment value of RMB bonds, and potentially leading to continued foreign investment in the medium to long term. However, it should be noted that rising US Treasury yields have raised the return threshold for global investment funds, which may disrupt the willingness of overseas institutions to increase their holdings of RMB bonds. In addition, the rapid rise in bond yields in developed countries overseas may also constrain the valuation of domestic risky assets.On August 22, the U.S. Department of Defense dismissed Eric Slavin, editor-in-chief of the military newspaper Stars and Stripes, publisher Max Laidler, and senior Middle East correspondent Lara Cortt on August 21 for "insubordination." This followed the newspapers recent report on poor working conditions and sailors mental breakdowns aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, sparking renewed criticism within the U.S. regarding the Trump administrations inability to end the conflict with Iran. Slavin stated in an interview on August 21 that he was dismissed for "insubordination." He had previously discussed his disagreements with the Department of Defense in an interview. Cortt wrote on the social media platform X on the same day: "Today, I was informed that the Department of Defense has dismissed me for insubordination."According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian officials have called on Qatar to transfer the detained Iranian pilot to a land-based hospital. Iranian officials stated that the detained pilot is currently on the water and is in "very poor" condition.According to Al Jazeera: Alarms sounded in Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, as the government warned of a possible missile attack.On August 22, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management organized a joint consultation meeting with the China Meteorological Administration, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Transport, and key provinces including Hainan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Heilongjiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian. The meeting assessed the development of Typhoon Saudel (No. 18) and Typhoon Zitan (No. 19), as well as the development of heavy rainfall and the flood control situation in the Heilongjiang River main stream and Taihu Lake basin. The meeting also deployed flood and typhoon prevention work. The State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management maintained a Level IV emergency response for flood and typhoon prevention in Hainan, Guangxi, and Guangdong, and a Level IV emergency response for flood control in Jiangsu.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.