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July 14th - According to foreign media reports, South Koreas ruling party is pushing for amendments to relevant laws to make it easier for chipmaker SK Hynix to form joint ventures with external investors to build wafer fabs. Current law prohibits joint ventures between subsidiaries of subsidiaries. If the amendment is passed, SK Hynix will be able to attract external capital for its new wafer fab projects, provided it retains at least a 50% stake in the relevant joint venture. SK Hynix is a subsidiary of SK Square, which in turn is a subsidiary of the SK Group. The lawmakers proposing the amendment stated in the bills explanation that South Korea must "rapidly build wafer fabs to compete with other major countries and companies," as companies can no longer afford such massive investment costs through traditional financing methods alone. The lawmakers also stated that the amendment requires the headquarters or main offices of newly established joint ventures to be located outside the Seoul metropolitan area to align with the governments policy of promoting regional economic development.According to the Financial Times: As Brexit affects Gibraltar, starting this week, British citizens flying from the UK to Gibraltar will have to go through the EUs controversial new electronic border system.According to the Financial Times, U.S. small-cap stocks surged as investors turned their attention away from large-cap tech stocks.July 14th - According to foreign media reports, ahead of escalating tensions and the US announcement of a renewed blockade of Iranian ports, Iran has begun secretly transporting oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz in recent days. Ship tracking data shows that six Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) sanctioned by the US transited the Strait of Hormuz into the Gulf of Oman in the past week, with their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders turned off. These six tankers can collectively carry 12 million barrels of crude oil. These vessels, along with other ships linked to Iran, completed their voyages after the US revoked its temporary permit for Iranian crude oil sales on July 7th. In addition to the aforementioned six Iranian VLCCs, numerous other ships sanctioned by the US and linked to Tehran have also departed the Strait of Hormuz since July 7th. These vessels are part of the 57 million barrels of crude oil that Iran successfully exported between two rounds of US naval blockades.On July 14th, futures market news reported that yesterday, as tensions escalated, including the US continuing its attacks on Iran and reimposing a blockade on Iranian oil exports, oil prices surged. Currently, WTI crude oil has rebounded to around $80 per barrel, and Brent crude has climbed back above $85 per barrel, showing significant gains. Zhuochuang Information predicts that continued attention will be paid to the consequences of the renewed US-Iran attacks. Against the backdrop of heightened tensions, crude oil prices are generally expected to remain strong, but the possibility of Trump resuming peace talks also needs to be monitored. If talks are initiated, oil prices will likely fall rapidly. Therefore, overall volatility is expected to be high.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.

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