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Interest Rate Decision: 1. Interest Rate Decision: The Bank of Japan will maintain the policy rate at 1%, in line with expectations. 2. Voting Ratio: 8-1, with member Hajime Takada dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point rate hike. 3. Forward Guidance: The Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates based on economic and price developments and financial conditions. The impact of the Middle East situation on the timing and pace of rate hikes will be assessed. 4. Economic Outlook: GDP growth forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 have been revised upwards, with overall risks to the economic outlook balanced. 5. Inflation Outlook: Core CPI forecasts for fiscal year 2026 have been revised downwards, while those for fiscal year 2027 have been revised upwards. Underlying inflation is approaching 2%, and core inflation may exceed the 2% target. 6. AI Impact: The impact of global AI demand and future foreign exchange developments on the economy and prices must be closely monitored. Kazuo Uedas Press Conference: 1. Interest Rate Outlook: The Bank of Japan expects to continue raising interest rates. Policy will not be delayed until inflation is fully stable at 2%. The Bank will ensure it does not fall behind the current situation. 2. CPI Outlook: There are upside risks to potential CPI, which may exceed the 2% price stability target. CPI growth is expected to decline to around 2% in the latter half of the forecast period. 3. GDP Forecast: Real GDP growth is expected to be roughly in line with the April outlook report. 4. Other: Attention is focused on how higher memory chip prices may push up overall prices. Artificial intelligence spending itself has driven up prices.Note: The press conference of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has ended.Germanys seasonally adjusted unemployment figures and unemployment rate for July will be released in ten minutes.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Committee members have differing views on the inflation outlook, and we hope to reach some conclusion on this starting with the next monetary policy meeting.Goldman Sachs lowered its price target for Apple (AAPL.O) to $360 from $370, but maintained its buy rating.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.