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Goldman Sachs: We expect Persian Gulf oil exports to recover to pre-war levels by the end of July, up from the previous forecast of the end of August.On June 16th, JPMorgan Chase released a research report analyzing Chinas large-scale AI model industry. The report points out that as the monetization path for large models converges towards enterprise workflows, API consumption, code, and intelligent agents, investors will increasingly focus on the actual capabilities, task completion rates, and pricing power of the models. Given that AI adoption demand still exceeds inference computing power supply, if developers quickly withdraw from premium pricing, it reflects a lack of market recognition of their model capability improvements. The bank is relatively optimistic about Zhipu (02513.HK) within the sector, reiterating its "Overweight" rating. The bank is optimistic about Zhipu AIs pricing power, noting that its ability to double API prices this year while maintaining continuous business growth fully validates the markets recognition of its large-scale model value. The bank raised its revenue forecasts for Zhipu AI by 26% to 42% for fiscal years 2026 to 2030, while lowering its adjusted net loss forecast, significantly increasing its target price from HK$950 to HK$1400.On June 16, Fu Linghui, spokesperson for the National Bureau of Statistics, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the equipment manufacturing industry has played a significant supporting role in industrial production, becoming a crucial force driving accelerated industrial growth. In May, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 9.5% year-on-year, contributing nearly 80% to the growth of the added value of industries above a designated size.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, caustic soda (100% purity) production in May was 3.9 million tons, up 2.2% year-on-year. From January to May, the cumulative production of caustic soda (100% purity) was 19.85 million tons, up 5.1% year-on-year.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, sulfuric acid (100% purity) production in May was 8.37 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%. From January to May, the cumulative sulfuric acid (100% purity) production was 44.29 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.