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August 21 – S&P Global Market Intelligences Deputy Director of Economics stated that Japans private sector continued its strong performance in August, with companies reporting the fastest output growth since February. Growth momentum improved in both manufacturing and services, with manufacturing performing particularly well, showing significant growth in both output and new orders. Furthermore, new export orders in the manufacturing sector recorded their fastest growth in eight and a half years, and the semiconductor and AI-related industries had a substantial backlog of new business. Easing cost pressures in August are a positive sign for Japanese companies. Although input costs still rose sharply due to the impact of the Middle East war on supply chains and energy prices, as well as the weak yen, the overall cost inflation rate has fallen to its lowest level in five months. However, with output price increases still near historical highs, companies may need to see a sustained slowdown in inflation before further reducing product prices. With improved business confidence compared to the previous month, strong sales growth, and continued employment increases, Japans private sector is expected to continue its strong performance, provided that it is not subjected to further shocks in terms of prices or demand.Musk: Reports that SpaceX is seeking to acquire Spectrum at a $6 billion valuation are untrue.August 21 - According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, a 4.2-magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Okinawa Island, Japan, at approximately 9:01 a.m. local time on August 21. The maximum intensity of the tremor was 3, and the focal depth was 40 kilometers.August 21st - Promoting the "long-term investment" of pension funds is both important and urgent. Pension funds correspond to payment needs decades into the future and, theoretically, can withstand higher equity volatility and obtain long-term equity premiums. The key is to "change the benchmark." Accelerate the improvement of long-term performance evaluation mechanisms, incorporating cross-cycle returns and risk control into the evaluation system. Improve relevant supporting measures. Steadily expand investment scale and channels. Continuously promote the expansion of pension fund investment scale in various regions, scientifically optimize asset structure while strictly adhering to the upper limit of equity investment ratio, and strive to improve the level of equity asset allocation, especially increasing investment in national strategic emerging industries. Guide pension funds to actively participate in listed company governance and private placements, promote the improvement of dividend mechanisms, and deeply share the benefits of real economy growth.On August 21st, Galaxy Securities research report stated that the front-end and back-end network architecture of AI-era computing clusters is driving significant demand for switches. 1.6T port switches are expected to see mass production starting in 2027, with WAIC 2026 supernodes playing a leading role. Rapid evolution of internal interconnect bandwidth means that each iteration of port speed increases the value of a single switch, supporting profitability. Simultaneously, the latency requirements of scale-up switches have been reduced from μs to hundreds of ns, making design more difficult and time-consuming than traditional products. This gives existing players continued bargaining power, accelerating the domestic substitution of key components in the industry chain—switch chips. Coupled with the positive performance of overseas switch leaders, the report recommends focusing on leading domestic switch and switch chip companies.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Give Up Early Gains

Cory Russell

Dec 29, 2022 14:37


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Initially attempting to rise during Wednesday's trading session, the S&P 500 eventually gave up gains and lost momentum due to the thin markets' lack of current interest. The 3800 level underneath should be sustained, but if we decline below that, it would be possible to slide considerably lower, maybe as low as the 3700 level.


At this point, rallies ought to be fading, therefore the 3900 level and the 50-Day EMA can serve as a ceiling from which to resume shorting. When signs of fatigue start to surface, they will be pounced on, and I won't think twice about shorting them. Because of this, I believe that the market will continue to be negative, although it's possible that unreliable money managers may attempt to pad their books towards the end of the year. This is a frequent occurrence since they must at least demonstrate to their customers that they possess the "proper stocks."


It appears like Wall Street will sometimes need a reminder that the Federal Reserve is dead serious, which is an issue that the Federal Reserve itself caused by coddling traders for 14 years, so I believe it's just a matter of time until we continue to go lower. In light of this, I am prepared to short this market gradually during rallies and when it begins to show symptoms of tiredness. However, at this time of year, I am not expecting for large swings, so you must see this through the lens of short-term trading.