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Microsoft (MSFT.O) shares closed up 15.5% on Thursday, marking the companys fourth-largest single-day gain and the largest single-day market capitalization increase in U.S. stock history. Investors welcomed its strong earnings report, breaking the recent generally sluggish market sentiment towards artificial intelligence-related companies. The stocks year-to-date decline narrowed to 5.8% from approximately 19.3% at Wednesdays close. Data analysis shows that this surge added $450 billion to Microsofts market capitalization, surpassing Nvidias $440 billion single-day gain on April 9, 2025, becoming the largest market capitalization increase in U.S. stock history.US President Trump: The Peace Committee has reached a historic agreement to completely disarm Hamas and all other armed groups in Gaza.Conflict Situation: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russia launched a large-scale attack on Ukraine from the evening of the 29th to the early morning of the 30th. 2. Ukrainian officials: Russian missile and drone attacks killed at least eight people overnight. 3. Sources say the Russian Riyazan oil refinery ceased operations on Wednesday due to a drone attack. 4. Ukrainian military: The commander of the Ukrainian drone force stated that Ukrainian troops hit four Russian oil tankers in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov. 5. Market news: Sources say Ukraine launched a drone attack on Russias Lukoil Perm oil refinery on Wednesday, causing a fire. 6. Market news: Agricultural market sources say a Ukrainian drone attacked a grain export terminal at the Russian port of Taman, causing significant damage. 7. According to CGTN: Local power plant officials stated that a drone belonging to the Ukrainian armed forces attempted to attack critical infrastructure at the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. 8. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russia seized Chernyshevka in the Donetsk region, Malaslobidka and Mokhlitsia in the Sumy region, and Yurchenkov in the Kharkiv region. 9. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Kyiv and several other locations were attacked overnight. Russia used over 70 missiles and more than 280 attack drones in the attack. Over 260 drones were intercepted. Other developments: 1. Russia extends fuel export ban for 6 months. 2. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: Poland may consider providing Patriot missile interceptors to Ukraine. 3. Central Bank of Ukraine: Russian attacks on Ukrainian port infrastructure will result in a $2.5 billion loss of foreign exchange earnings. 4. EU: Has allocated €3.47 billion to Ukraine; the latest funds will be used for drones, missiles, air defense systems, and fighter jets. 5. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Signed a decree appointing Oleksiy Sobolev as Deputy Chief of Staff of the Presidential Office. 6. Latvian Ministry of Defense: Representatives of Ukraine and Latvia signed a memorandum of understanding in Riga on cooperation in the development, production, and testing of unmanned systems. 7. Market news: Sources say Russian oil exports through western ports in July are expected to decline by about 4% compared to June, as the Ukrainian attacks reduced shipments to the Black Sea.Vale (VALE.N) expects its nickel production to be between 185,000 and 200,000 tons in 2026, up from its previous forecast of 175,000 to 200,000 tons.Vale (VALE.N) expects its copper production to be between 360,000 and 380,000 tons in 2026, up from its previous forecast of 350,000 to 380,000 tons.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Worry About Rates

Jimmy Khan

Feb 22, 2023 16:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 E-mini contract started overnight trading poorly and hasn't been making a lot of sense. Yet, the contract's high level of volatility persists, and as a result, downward pressure is beginning to build. It's important to note that the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA are located immediately below. Given that they are both rather flat, there may not actually be any momentum.


As it is slightly above the psychologically and structurally significant 4000 level, this may pave the way for a support level to develop in that approximate area. You must keep in mind that earnings season is now underway because it could cause the market to fluctuate. The moving averages and the psychologically significant 4000 level, if we were to break down below them, might drive the futures market and the index itself significantly lower.


It thus creates the chance of a decline down to the 3900 level, where we had experienced some buying pressure. Following that, there comes the 3800 level, which is considerably more significant and will get a lot of attention. When it comes to whether or not the market can save itself, we would be in that general area hanging on by a thread.


The previous two candlesticks have undoubtedly looked pretty bearish, and I think that may have some momentum built up in it. If the market were to flip around and bounce, then it may try to move towards the 4200 level. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which are released on Wednesday, will undoubtedly also be relevant. This ought to provide traders a good indication of what the Federal Reserve members discussed during the meeting and whether or not there is an overall hawkish mindset or if there are any ice cracks appearing. This will have a significant impact on the market.

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