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According to the Yomiuri Shimbun, the Japanese Prime Minister plans to reshuffle his cabinet in mid-to-late September.On August 21, the Federal Reserves reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility, open to foreign central banks and other monetary authorities, continued to see increased usage, with the balance rising for two consecutive weeks, reflecting that overseas official institutions are continuing to increase their dollar cash reserves. As of August 19, the amount of foreign entities holding funds in the Feds reverse repurchase pool rose to $373 billion, up from $357 billion a week earlier. Since August 5, the usage of this tool has increased by approximately $56 billion, marking the largest two-week increase since October 2022. The market is closely watching changes in the foreign reverse repurchase balance for signs that Japan is rebuilding dollar liquidity after intervening in the foreign exchange market last month to support the yen.Conflict Update: 1. US military updates casualty figures for the Iranian conflict: 18 dead, 757 wounded. 2. Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Houthi forces combat capabilities surge; new war will utilize "more ruthless" weapons. 3. Houthi forces: Successfully attacked Saudi Najran airport and Saudi Aramco facilities in the area. Strait of Hormuz: 1. Negotiations between Iran and Oman on a passage mechanism in the Strait of Hormuz are nearing completion. 2. Oman and Japan emphasize the urgency of opening the Strait of Hormuz. Peace Talks: 1. US officials: The White House believes talks between Iran and Oman broke down weeks ago. 2. Qatar states that current efforts are focused on mediating relations between the US and Iran. 3. Qatar seeks to join forces with Egypt to push for a US-Iran ceasefire, calling for ensuring unimpeded navigation in the strait. Other Matters: 1. Trump announces "the toughest economic action in history" against Iran. 2. Bulgarian Defense Minister: No direct threats from Iran seen. 3. US Treasury Department: The US issues new sanctions related to Iran. 4. Iranian Ambassador: Welcomes Russias assistance in improving relations between Iran and Gulf states. 5. Israeli Defense Minister: Erdogan is dragging Turkey into a dangerous adventure in Syria. 6. Iraq: Construction of new oil export pipelines may take 2-3 years. 7. Iran: The US says Iran is "on the brink of collapse," and those seeking help know who is truly in control. 8. According to CNBC: Irans inflation rate has soared to 89%, with food prices rising by 164%. 9. US Central Command says the USS George Washington aircraft carrier has been deployed to the Middle East. 10. According to CNN: Sources reveal that the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier has begun its return voyage, but remains within the Fifth Fleets operational area. 11. Six countries, including France, Germany, and Italy, issued a joint statement opposing Israels progress on the E1 settlement project. 12. Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Rezaei: Faced with economic pressure from Trump, Iran should withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. 13. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Condemns the USs new economic and trade sanctions against Iran, stating that Iran will use "all tools and capabilities" to safeguard its national interests and the legitimate rights of the Iranian people. 14. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: Many of Trumps remarks are intended to divert the American publics attention from the domestic financial crisis, namely the record US debt and the sharp rise in bank interest rates. 15. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: A report has been received of an incident 136 nautical miles east of Mukalla, Yemen. An oil tanker was approached by an unauthorized vessel while transiting the western Gulf of Aden.On August 21st, sources revealed that artificial intelligence company Anthropic is planning to bring in Citigroup as a lead underwriter for its initial public offering (IPO). If the deal goes through, Citigroup will join Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase as lead underwriters. Anthropic may file for listing with regulators as early as the end of this month. Lead underwriter status for a large IPO not only means substantial underwriting commission income but also helps improve an investment banks ranking in the equity financing market. Citigroup currently ranks among the top IPO underwriters in the US due to its participation in SpaceXs record-breaking $86.2 billion IPO. Sources indicated that Anthropics listing preparations are still underway, and the final underwriting syndicate list may be adjusted, with the possibility of adding other investment banks.Market news: Anthropic plans to add Citigroup (CN) as the lead underwriter in its large IPO.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Worry About Rates

Jimmy Khan

Feb 22, 2023 16:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 E-mini contract started overnight trading poorly and hasn't been making a lot of sense. Yet, the contract's high level of volatility persists, and as a result, downward pressure is beginning to build. It's important to note that the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA are located immediately below. Given that they are both rather flat, there may not actually be any momentum.


As it is slightly above the psychologically and structurally significant 4000 level, this may pave the way for a support level to develop in that approximate area. You must keep in mind that earnings season is now underway because it could cause the market to fluctuate. The moving averages and the psychologically significant 4000 level, if we were to break down below them, might drive the futures market and the index itself significantly lower.


It thus creates the chance of a decline down to the 3900 level, where we had experienced some buying pressure. Following that, there comes the 3800 level, which is considerably more significant and will get a lot of attention. When it comes to whether or not the market can save itself, we would be in that general area hanging on by a thread.


The previous two candlesticks have undoubtedly looked pretty bearish, and I think that may have some momentum built up in it. If the market were to flip around and bounce, then it may try to move towards the 4200 level. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which are released on Wednesday, will undoubtedly also be relevant. This ought to provide traders a good indication of what the Federal Reserve members discussed during the meeting and whether or not there is an overall hawkish mindset or if there are any ice cracks appearing. This will have a significant impact on the market.

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