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July 22nd - Driven by overnight gains in US tech stocks, South Koreas semiconductor sector surged in early trading. As of 9:11 AM local time (8:11 AM Beijing time), Samsung Electronics rose 5.79% to 274,000 won; SK Hynix rose 8.50%, briefly touching 2 million won, its first such move since July 15th. Overnight in the US, Nvidia rose 1.97% as its next-generation AI server platform, Vera Rubin, entered mass production and began supplying major customers; Micron surged 12.17%, and Broadcom rose 2.21%, driving the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up 5.21%. Additionally, SK Hynixs ADR rose 13.75% overnight, closing at $171.94. In terms of fund flows, foreign investors are currently net buyers of 717.6 billion won in the South Korean electrical and electronics sector, while individual and institutional investors are net sellers of 370.6 billion won and 345.8 billion won, respectively.July 22 (Futures News) – Crude oil continued its upward trend, boosting confidence among fuel oil market participants to support higher prices. Refineries increased supply and were reluctant to sell at low prices, but downstream traders moderately replenished their inventories and remained cautious in their purchases. Market buying activity was slow, and fuel oil prices steadily climbed. It is expected that todays trading will see some areas remain stable while others may see slight increases.Futures News, July 22nd - According to foreign media reports, Brent crude oil futures rose on Tuesday, hitting a five-week high, influenced by the US-Iran conflict and the Houthi threat to impose a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia. This will help boost the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. The El Niño phenomenon, which may threaten palm oil production in Southeast Asia, also provides support for prices. The Malaysian Meteorological Department stated that with the strengthening of El Niño, Malaysia will experience record-breaking high temperatures next year, raising concerns about declining palm oil production. However, weak demand for Malaysian palm oil exports will limit the markets rebound momentum.Spot gold touched the $4,100/ounce mark for the first time in a week.July 22 – According to the South Korean media outlet *Chosun Ilbo*, the South Korean government stated that it has held a meeting with major exporters to discuss stabilizing the exchange rate through strengthened government-business cooperation. Heo Jang, the Second Vice Minister of Strategy and Finance, held the meeting on July 21 at the Seoul Government Building with major exporters including Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor & Kia, HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering, Hanwha Marine, and Samsung Heavy Industries. Heo Jang stated that prior to the exporters meeting in June, the Korean won had depreciated to around 1550 won against the US dollar. However, with exporters increasing foreign exchange settlements, shipbuilding companies increasing forward foreign exchange sales, and capital inflows from SK Hynixs ADR issuance, the won has recently fallen back to the high range of 1400 won against the US dollar, alleviating the imbalance between foreign exchange supply and demand. He predicts that with continued strong semiconductor exports in the second half of the year, South Koreas foreign exchange supply and demand situation will further improve. Participating companies stated that they will further cooperate with the government to stabilize foreign exchange supply and demand, promote the continued improvement in the recent supply and demand trend, and contribute to maintaining stability in the foreign exchange market.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Worry About Rates

Jimmy Khan

Feb 22, 2023 16:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 E-mini contract started overnight trading poorly and hasn't been making a lot of sense. Yet, the contract's high level of volatility persists, and as a result, downward pressure is beginning to build. It's important to note that the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA are located immediately below. Given that they are both rather flat, there may not actually be any momentum.


As it is slightly above the psychologically and structurally significant 4000 level, this may pave the way for a support level to develop in that approximate area. You must keep in mind that earnings season is now underway because it could cause the market to fluctuate. The moving averages and the psychologically significant 4000 level, if we were to break down below them, might drive the futures market and the index itself significantly lower.


It thus creates the chance of a decline down to the 3900 level, where we had experienced some buying pressure. Following that, there comes the 3800 level, which is considerably more significant and will get a lot of attention. When it comes to whether or not the market can save itself, we would be in that general area hanging on by a thread.


The previous two candlesticks have undoubtedly looked pretty bearish, and I think that may have some momentum built up in it. If the market were to flip around and bounce, then it may try to move towards the 4200 level. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which are released on Wednesday, will undoubtedly also be relevant. This ought to provide traders a good indication of what the Federal Reserve members discussed during the meeting and whether or not there is an overall hawkish mindset or if there are any ice cracks appearing. This will have a significant impact on the market.

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