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On June 10, it was reported that from June 8 to 10, Xian Hui, Vice Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), led a delegation to Vietnam. She met separately with Tran Cam Tu, member of the Politburo and Permanent Secretary of the Secretariat of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV), Bui Thi Minh Hoai, member of the Politburo and Chairwoman of the Central Committee of the Vietnam Fatherland Front, and held talks with Hoang Cong Thuy, Vice Chairwoman of the Vietnam Fatherland Front. Xian Hui stated that recently, Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee and President of China, and To Lam, General Secretary of the CPV Central Committee and President of Vietnam, who was visiting China, had in-depth exchanges on overall and strategic issues of common concern, drawing a blueprint for building a higher-level, strategically significant China-Vietnam community with a shared future. China is willing to work with Vietnam, following the strategic guidance of the top leaders of the two parties and countries, to deepen mutually beneficial cooperation and promote the building of a China-Vietnam community with a shared future in a more profound and practical way. The CPPCC is willing to contribute to this endeavor.On June 10th, TSMC Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Huang Jen-chao stated in a recent interview that inflation is pushing up the companys operating costs, and indicated that a price increase for chips cannot be ruled out. However, Huang also stated that TSMC will not suddenly raise prices "four or five times."1. US May CPI Data Preview: The US will release its May CPI data at 8:30 PM Beijing time on Wednesday. The market widely expects inflation to rise further, with the overall CPI increasing by 0.5% month-on-month and the year-on-year growth rate rising to 4.2% (the first time it has surpassed 4% since May 2023); the core CPI is expected to rise slightly year-on-year to 2.9%. Significant increases in energy costs and service prices are the main drivers, but with the gradual completion of revisions to previous housing data, the May data may fall short of expectations. 2. Interest Rates and Futures Market Pricing: Gennadiy Goldberg, Head of US Interest Rate Strategy at TD Securities, points out that the combination of strong employment data and high inflation has increased the markets perception that the Federal Reserve is forced to tighten policy. Current futures market pricing indicates that investors expect a full 25 basis point rate hike by the end of the year. 3. Gold Market Faces a Key Test: Analysts point out that international gold prices have corrected by more than 22% since reaching their historical highs, and tonights CPI data will determine the short-term direction of gold prices. If the data meets or exceeds expectations, it will strengthen expectations of accelerating inflation and the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates or even raising rates, putting pressure on gold. If it falls short of expectations, it may boost expectations of interest rate cuts, creating conditions for a gold rebound. 4. Everbright Futures view: Geopolitical events are recurring. On the 9th, the US launched a "self-defense" strike against Iran, but the US stated that it would not interfere with the US-Iran negotiations. Considering the support of energy prices and the low base in the same period last year, the market expects that the US May CPI is likely to exceed 4% year-on-year tonight. Coupled with the resilience shown by the non-farm payroll data last Friday, if the CPI rises higher than expected, the expectation of a hawkish monetary policy will be further increased, and gold may be under pressure in the short term. 5. Founder CIFCO Futures view: It is expected that the US May CPI will increase by 4.3% year-on-year and the core CPI will increase by 0.3% month-on-month. If the data exceeds expectations, it will further exacerbate inflation concerns, pushing the US dollar and US Treasury yields to continue to be strong, while precious metals and industrial commodity prices will continue to be under pressure. If the data meets or falls short of market expectations, it is expected to alleviate market concerns about the Feds interest rate hikes, and gold and silver may have a chance for a phased rebound. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market information such as foreign media, TD Securities, and Founder CIFCO Futures, and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice.)On June 10th, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) released data showing that in May 2026, my countrys new energy vehicle market stabilized and rebounded, with production and sales reaching 1.554 million and 1.496 million units respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 22.4% and 14.4%. The proportion of new energy vehicle sales in total new vehicle sales further increased, reaching 56.9%. In May, my countrys automobile production and sales reached 2.616 million and 2.629 million units respectively, showing month-on-month growth but a slight year-on-year decrease, although the decline narrowed further. Overall, in the first five months, automobile production and sales reached 12.235 million and 12.207 million units respectively, of which new energy vehicle production and sales reached 5.841 million and 5.802 million units respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 2.5% and 3.5%.June 10th - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, my countrys automobile exports continued their rapid growth in May. The latest data shows that my country exported 930,000 vehicles in May, a year-on-year increase of 68.7%, marking the second consecutive month that exports have remained above 900,000 vehicles. Among them, exports of new energy vehicles showed a particularly high year-on-year increase, reaching 446,000 units, a 110% increase year-on-year.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Worry About Rates

Jimmy Khan

Feb 22, 2023 16:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 E-mini contract started overnight trading poorly and hasn't been making a lot of sense. Yet, the contract's high level of volatility persists, and as a result, downward pressure is beginning to build. It's important to note that the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA are located immediately below. Given that they are both rather flat, there may not actually be any momentum.


As it is slightly above the psychologically and structurally significant 4000 level, this may pave the way for a support level to develop in that approximate area. You must keep in mind that earnings season is now underway because it could cause the market to fluctuate. The moving averages and the psychologically significant 4000 level, if we were to break down below them, might drive the futures market and the index itself significantly lower.


It thus creates the chance of a decline down to the 3900 level, where we had experienced some buying pressure. Following that, there comes the 3800 level, which is considerably more significant and will get a lot of attention. When it comes to whether or not the market can save itself, we would be in that general area hanging on by a thread.


The previous two candlesticks have undoubtedly looked pretty bearish, and I think that may have some momentum built up in it. If the market were to flip around and bounce, then it may try to move towards the 4200 level. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which are released on Wednesday, will undoubtedly also be relevant. This ought to provide traders a good indication of what the Federal Reserve members discussed during the meeting and whether or not there is an overall hawkish mindset or if there are any ice cracks appearing. This will have a significant impact on the market.