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With the US-Iran negotiations still unresolved, international oil prices remain high. A quick overview of the pre-market conversion prices of crude oil between domestic and international markets is provided in this chart.According to Futures News on August 10, as of 20:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 2.88% and US natural gas futures rose 4.17%.According to A95 Consulting, gasoline imports in Ukraine increased by 34% in July.Iranian President: The meeting with the Supreme Leader lasted 7-8 hours.On August 10th, according to Kyodo News, several Japanese government officials revealed that the Japanese and US governments conducted an unusual joint intervention to buy yen on July 31st (US Eastern Time), the first such action in 28 years. The decisive factor was that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda strongly hinted at a press conference that day (July 31st) that policy interest rates would be raised as soon as possible, in September or later. Ueda explicitly stated that if necessary, the pace of interest rate hikes would be "accelerated." The US side gave a positive assessment, and both sides were aligned in preventing excessive yen depreciation. This is because the US is concerned that Japans slow pace of interest rate hikes has led to excessive yen depreciation, which could trigger further price increases and a rise in long-term interest rates, potentially impacting global financial markets. A senior Japanese government official revealed: "Governor Uedas statement was very persuasive to the US. At the same time, this also means that the Bank of Japan has no choice but to raise interest rates at its next policy meeting (September 17-18)."

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Worry About Rates

Jimmy Khan

Feb 22, 2023 16:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 E-mini contract started overnight trading poorly and hasn't been making a lot of sense. Yet, the contract's high level of volatility persists, and as a result, downward pressure is beginning to build. It's important to note that the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA are located immediately below. Given that they are both rather flat, there may not actually be any momentum.


As it is slightly above the psychologically and structurally significant 4000 level, this may pave the way for a support level to develop in that approximate area. You must keep in mind that earnings season is now underway because it could cause the market to fluctuate. The moving averages and the psychologically significant 4000 level, if we were to break down below them, might drive the futures market and the index itself significantly lower.


It thus creates the chance of a decline down to the 3900 level, where we had experienced some buying pressure. Following that, there comes the 3800 level, which is considerably more significant and will get a lot of attention. When it comes to whether or not the market can save itself, we would be in that general area hanging on by a thread.


The previous two candlesticks have undoubtedly looked pretty bearish, and I think that may have some momentum built up in it. If the market were to flip around and bounce, then it may try to move towards the 4200 level. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which are released on Wednesday, will undoubtedly also be relevant. This ought to provide traders a good indication of what the Federal Reserve members discussed during the meeting and whether or not there is an overall hawkish mindset or if there are any ice cracks appearing. This will have a significant impact on the market.

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