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Frances June industrial production figures will be released in ten minutes.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Geopolitical tensions eased again, and overnight London spot gold rose 0.57%, while SHFE gold closed up 0.87%. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns, causing oil prices to fall rapidly. Additionally, the US June JOLTS job openings fell more than expected. Gold may maintain a bottoming-out trend in the short term, with attention focused on Fridays non-farm payroll data. On the macroeconomic front, US June JOLTS job openings fell to 7.36 million from 7.54 million in May, below the expected 7.45 million, indicating a relatively stable labor market. The president of the Philadelphia Fed, a 2026 voting member of the Federal Reserve, stated that he remains open to the direction of monetary policy, and whether core inflation can continue to decline is a key factor in his judgment. Geopolitically, US-Iran negotiations continued to release easing signals, and expectations for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz increased. While the US-Iran geopolitical situation continued to ease, the US dollar weakened, and although gold performed relatively strongly, it still exhibited a weak bottoming-out trend, failing to give the market stronger confidence. This may stem from investors apprehension about the upcoming non-farm payroll data.Japans Topix index rose 2%.SpaceX shares fell 7% on Tradegate, roughly in line with its after-hours performance on the US stock market.On August 5th, the Shanghai Headquarters of the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) held its 2026 second-half work conference on August 4th. The conference emphasized that the PBOC Shanghai Headquarters should earnestly implement the moderately loose monetary policy and actively encourage financial institutions to tap into effective credit demand. It should make good use of various structural monetary policy tools. It should implement the "Five Major Articles" (1+N) series of financial policies. It should promote the continued effectiveness of the "Technology Board" in the bond market in Shanghai. It should steadily deepen financial reform and opening up, and build a sound foreign exchange management system. It should implement new policies on high-level opening up of cross-border trade and investment financing, overseas lending, and overseas listing. It should enhance the exchange rate hedging capabilities of SMEs. It should coordinate the promotion of cross-border finance and offshore finance, and accelerate the implementation and effectiveness of the comprehensive reform pilot program for offshore business financial services. It should promote the application of digital RMB scenarios and the construction of its ecosystem. It should continue to carry out local legislation in the financial field. It should continuously improve the systemic risk prevention and mitigation mechanism. It should strengthen the crackdown on illegal financial activities. It should continuously improve the macro-prudential management mechanism framework. It should comprehensively improve the level of cross-border financial risk monitoring.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Worry About Rates

Jimmy Khan

Feb 22, 2023 16:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 E-mini contract started overnight trading poorly and hasn't been making a lot of sense. Yet, the contract's high level of volatility persists, and as a result, downward pressure is beginning to build. It's important to note that the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA are located immediately below. Given that they are both rather flat, there may not actually be any momentum.


As it is slightly above the psychologically and structurally significant 4000 level, this may pave the way for a support level to develop in that approximate area. You must keep in mind that earnings season is now underway because it could cause the market to fluctuate. The moving averages and the psychologically significant 4000 level, if we were to break down below them, might drive the futures market and the index itself significantly lower.


It thus creates the chance of a decline down to the 3900 level, where we had experienced some buying pressure. Following that, there comes the 3800 level, which is considerably more significant and will get a lot of attention. When it comes to whether or not the market can save itself, we would be in that general area hanging on by a thread.


The previous two candlesticks have undoubtedly looked pretty bearish, and I think that may have some momentum built up in it. If the market were to flip around and bounce, then it may try to move towards the 4200 level. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which are released on Wednesday, will undoubtedly also be relevant. This ought to provide traders a good indication of what the Federal Reserve members discussed during the meeting and whether or not there is an overall hawkish mindset or if there are any ice cracks appearing. This will have a significant impact on the market.

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