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Stock Markets Continue to Threaten a Breakout

Cory Russell

Aug 09, 2022 14:49

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During the Monday trading session, the S&P 500 surpassed the 200 Day EMA, where it is now meeting with a lot of resistance. As a result, things can get intriguing.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

On Monday during trade, the S&P 500 first declined before turning around and resuming its surge. The market had reached the 200 Day EMA at midday and was barely below the critical 4200 level. A rise to the 4300 level is conceivable if the market were to break through the 4200 level. However, bear in mind that the CPI statistic from the United States will be released on Wednesday and will offer traders more to consider on the inflationary outlook.


People tend to place a lot of faith in the Core CPI number since the Federal Reserve does like to pay careful attention to it, particularly if it comes out hotter than expected. Given that, I believe we will be treading a fine line over the next several days. However, if we were to break below the hammer that formed on Friday, it may indicate that the market is eager to sell equities ahead of the number, which I believe to be far more probable than most people know.


After all, there are many worries about future inflation and we are in a recession right now. Given that Wall Street has, very bluntly, made a career not pricing the market in accordance with reality, this does not necessarily imply that it must do so. However, it's clear that there is a lot of technological resistance here, so everything fits together rather well.