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Citigroup has raised its 3-month gold price forecast to $4,500 per ounce and its silver price forecast to $70 per ounce.Citigroup has lowered its oil price forecast to its previous bearish scenario, with updated quarterly oil price forecasts of $75 and $70 per barrel for the third and fourth quarters of 2026, respectively.June 16 – As the Trump administration nears completion of its plan to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to mitigate soaring fuel prices triggered by the Iran war, the U.S. emergency crude oil reserves have fallen to their lowest level since 1983. According to data released Monday by the U.S. Department of Energy, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (established in the early 1970s following the Arab oil embargo) has fallen to approximately 340 million barrels, near its all-time low. If the plan is completed, this will be the second-largest release in the reserves history, leaving approximately 243 million barrels, just about one-third of its statutory capacity. The dwindling inventory reduces the U.S.s flexibility in responding to future supply disruptions. A Department of Energy spokesperson stated that the government is managing the reserve according to its intended purpose: to help stabilize the oil market, protect the U.S. from supply disruptions, and make the U.S. more energy secure.Fitch Ratings: If the agreement fully opens the Strait of Hormuz, the global oil market is expected to return to oversupply within about a month.Fitch Ratings: (Regarding a potential US-Iran deal) believes that Irans nuclear program and capabilities will remain a source of tension in its relations with the US and Israel.

Stock Markets Continue to See Downward Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Jun 15, 2022 14:17

In the futures market, the S&P 500 managed to rebound a little overnight, but it seems that the negative pressure is still there. Stocks seem to be poisonous at this time.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Tuesday's trading session, the S&P 500 attempted to rise but swiftly gave up its gains. That said, the market is expected to continue to suffer a lot of selling pressure if it tries to rise, so we're likely to keep going down and aim to hit the 3700 level. In the end, this is a downtrending market, and I believe the S&P 500 will continue to suffer as long as the Federal Reserve continues to tighten interest rates. Furthermore, since inflation in the United States is now out of control, worry is more likely than not to persist.


Looking at the chart, I don't see any reason to be a buyer of the S&P 500, and even though I anticipated a bigger rally throughout the day, this simply seems like a market that will be pummeled by negative news no matter what occurs. We may eventually witness a large bear market rebound, which is notoriously savage, but at this point, that will simply provide a chance to short this market even more.


Finally, I'm fading rallies as they happen, although to be honest, we haven't had a rally large enough for me to do so yet. This market seems to be on the edge of panic, and it appears that Wall Street has finally realized that the Federal Reserve will not help traders, at least not in the near future.