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S&P 500 Weekly Price Forecast – Stock Market Stall After Momentum Runs Out

Alice Wang

Nov 21, 2022 15:09


Weekly Technical Analysis for the S&P 500

Since the S&P 500 has been fluctuating a lot this week, I believe that this candlestick is quite informative. After all, the previous week had witnessed a significant increase due to the lower-than-expected CPI statistics. But there was no action taken in response. The weekly candlestick reversed direction exactly at the 50-Week EMA. In the end, we are still constructing a descending triangle, so it will be fascinating to see how it develops.


Hopes that the Federal Reserve may back down on tightening and perhaps even start considering turning have contributed significantly to the recent rise. Quite honestly, James Bullard has said it more than once, but the word that keeps coming to mind for me is "higher for longer." This indicates that even if the market succeeds in convincing the Federal Reserve to stop rising rates, those rates will likely remain high for a considerable amount of time.


Of course, the other option is that we surpass the trend line I've drawn on the weekly chart, in which case it's possible that we'll reach the 4250 level. In the end, it appears that purchasers are having less and less of an impact on the market, and with all the potential downside that's coming, I believe it's quite likely that it's simpler to short this market, even though sometimes it seems like things are a little rough around the edges. The US currency and interest rate markets should be closely monitored because there is a negative association between them.

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