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April 7th - Australian petrol prices have fallen from record levels as government measures have helped mitigate the impact of the Middle East conflict. Data from the Petroleum Institute of Australia shows that the national average petrol price fell by more than 5% to AU$2.40 per liter in the week to Sunday, the first decline since the first week of February. Government measures to ensure supply and lower prices include temporary tax cuts and the release of fuel from the national reserves. Electric vehicle sales surged to a record market share in March, accounting for nearly 15% of total new car sales last month.April 7th - According to a notice from the Shenzhen Semiconductor Industry Association, the 2026 China (Shenzhen) Integrated Circuit Summit (ICS Summit) will be held on June 26th. The summit will include one main forum, and three parallel sub-forums: the Artificial Intelligence and Chip Design Innovation Forum, the Advanced Packaging and Manufacturing Forum, and the Domestic EDA and RISC-V Ecosystem Forum.April 7th - According to China Railway Shanghai Bureau Group Co., Ltd., during the recent Qingming Festival holiday (April 4th to 6th), the Yangtze River Delta railway system transported approximately 12.428 million passengers, averaging 4.143 million passengers per day. This represents an increase of approximately 1.252 million passengers compared to the same period last year, exceeding 11%. Notably, April 4th saw a record high of 4.66 million passengers transported in a single day.April 7th - According to Axios, a US official stated that Irans response was "tough," but the White House views it as a negotiating tactic rather than a rejection. They are currently communicating with the Iranians regarding amendments and redrafting. If Trump believes a deal is possible, he may postpone military action against Iran. Trumps advisors told mediators that the president needs to see positive signs from Iran before considering a delay. One of them said, "We are at a critical moment in negotiations; anything can happen." Two sources indicated that a large-scale US-Israeli bombing plan targeting Iranian energy facilities is ready should Trump issue the order.On April 7th, Michael Wan, senior foreign exchange analyst at MUFG Bank, stated in a research report that shipping volumes through the Strait of Hormuz may be improving. Tankers currently appear to be testing an alternative route that runs close to southern Oman to exit the strait. Furthermore, the analyst stated, "Iran announced last weekend that it would allow Iraq to ship oil through the strait." He added that this could mean an additional 3 million barrels of oil per day entering the market, but "many unknowns" remain regarding how Iran defines "Iraqi oil."

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Market Continues to Rally Toward Jobs Figure

Skylar Shaw

Feb 03, 2023 15:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 has risen a little during Thursday's trading session as it seems we will aim to reach the 4200 mark. At this point, the market will almost certainly experience some selling pressure, but there is also the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payroll report, which is something to keep an eye on. At this point, a pullback would probably be caused by high numbers, as people will start to worry once more about the Federal Reserve and whether or not they will be required to continue tightening the monetary policy.


As the round number is definitely going to draw a lot of attention, the 200-Day EMA is sitting just above the 4000 level, and that is certainly an area that a lot of people would pay special attention to.


The market may very easily challenge the 50-Day EMA if we go below the 200-Day EMA. Much of this depends on whether or not people think that the Federal Reserve will keep its monetary policy tight and cause the economy to grow slowly. The market doesn't seem to be particularly interested in what the Federal Reserve has to say right now, at least not after the announcement on Wednesday.


As we are in the middle of earnings season, there is a lot to keep an eye on, so it makes sense in a certain sense that volatility would likely increase rather than decrease. This will move quickly towards the 4300 level if we can remove the 4200 level following the jobs number.