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The SC crude oil futures contract surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 552.10 yuan/barrel. The container shipping index (Europe route) futures contract rose over 3.00% intraday, currently trading at 2884.0 points.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The situation between the US and Iran has become very serious.Futures News, July 22nd: As of the third working day on the 22nd, the change rate was 11.07%, the average price of benchmark crude oil was $86.49/barrel, and domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 580 yuan/ton. The price adjustment window for this round is at 24:00 on July 31st. 1. Shandong Local Refineries: Yesterday, the market lacked positive catalysts, and industry acceptance of high prices decreased significantly. The production-to-sales ratio of gasoline and diesel at local refineries fell to a low level. However, the continued rise in international crude oil prices is expected to boost market sentiment. Overall, with both positive and negative factors combined, the price of refined oil products from Shandong local refineries is expected to fluctuate narrowly and steadily today. 2. East China: On Wednesday, crude oil prices continued to rise, and the news remained positive. It is expected that the prices of gasoline and diesel from major oil companies in East China will remain high today. Downstream demand remains weak, and industry players are only making small, immediate purchases, resulting in a sluggish trading atmosphere. 3. South China: On Wednesday, international crude oil prices continued to rise, supported by positive news. It is expected that gasoline and diesel prices in South China will remain high and stable today. Terminal companies will replenish their stocks appropriately based on existing inventory levels, resulting in a stable buying and selling atmosphere. 4. North China: On Wednesday, the continuous rise in crude oil prices boosted the market, but considering that gasoline and diesel prices have already reached high levels and market acceptance is limited, it is expected that gasoline and diesel prices in North China will remain stable with a slight upward bias. Traders will maintain operations focused on immediate needs, and the market atmosphere will be cautious and weak. 5. Central China: On Wednesday, crude oil prices continued to rise, supported by positive news. It is expected that gasoline and diesel prices in Central China will remain high and stable today. Demand lacks support, market sentiment remains cautious, and transactions will mainly consist of small, immediate-needs orders.Conflict Situation: 1. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Under the leadership of the new Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Ukraine will continue to conduct deep strikes against Russian targets. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops attacked infrastructure used by the Ukrainian military at the port of Odessa. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops have taken control of the settlement of Volkhovskoye in the Kharkiv region. 4. Ukraines state-owned oil and gas company stated that Russia attacked natural gas production facilities in the Kharkiv region on Monday. 5. Zelensky dismissed Commander-in-Chief Sersky and appointed Dragati as Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. 6. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Offered former Ukrainian Defense Minister Fedorov an "important position" to oversee work in the defense science and technology sector. Other Situations: 1. British Defense Secretary: (Regarding Russian military exercises near the British coast) This is irresponsible. 2. Kazakhstan will suspend oil shipments to the Black Sea following the tanker attack. 3. Indian government officials: India summoned senior Russian diplomats regarding the deaths of four Indian crew members near a Ukrainian port. 4. According to the Wall Street Journal: BAE Systems said that Ukraine has reached an agreement to produce its L119 howitzer.The Middle East situation threatens energy security, but the crude oil market still has support? A quick overview of the pre-market crude oil prices (converted between domestic and international markets) in one chart.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Market Continues to Rally Toward Jobs Figure

Skylar Shaw

Feb 03, 2023 15:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 has risen a little during Thursday's trading session as it seems we will aim to reach the 4200 mark. At this point, the market will almost certainly experience some selling pressure, but there is also the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payroll report, which is something to keep an eye on. At this point, a pullback would probably be caused by high numbers, as people will start to worry once more about the Federal Reserve and whether or not they will be required to continue tightening the monetary policy.


As the round number is definitely going to draw a lot of attention, the 200-Day EMA is sitting just above the 4000 level, and that is certainly an area that a lot of people would pay special attention to.


The market may very easily challenge the 50-Day EMA if we go below the 200-Day EMA. Much of this depends on whether or not people think that the Federal Reserve will keep its monetary policy tight and cause the economy to grow slowly. The market doesn't seem to be particularly interested in what the Federal Reserve has to say right now, at least not after the announcement on Wednesday.


As we are in the middle of earnings season, there is a lot to keep an eye on, so it makes sense in a certain sense that volatility would likely increase rather than decrease. This will move quickly towards the 4300 level if we can remove the 4200 level following the jobs number.