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Futures News, September 15th: London spot gold prices fluctuated higher on September 15th, reaching a new all-time high, up 1.59% on a weekly basis to $3,643.06 per ounce. Gold prices fluctuated at high levels during the week. While inflation data prompted a rate cut, the cut was already largely priced in. Meanwhile, US inflation remained contained, with no reflationary expectations. With the Federal Reserves interest rate cut expected next week, the market may react with caution, with increased short-term volatility and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the market. However, the macroeconomic logic for golds upward trend remains intact, and with renewed geopolitical uncertainty, buying on dips may remain the primary strategy. US Treasury Secretary Bensont stated that the US economy inherited by Trump is in worse shape than reported, and that the Federal Reserve should recalibrate interest rates. Fed Chairman Powell has again become a target of criticism from the Trump administration, with Trump again calling for a swift rate cut. The US August CPI was in line with expectations, while the PPI unexpectedly fell sharply. Combined with the dismal employment data, market expectations of a renewed US recession are swirling, making a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve almost certain. Market focus is on whether the combination of low inflationary pressures and poor employment conditions will lead to more rate cuts, and the market is awaiting comments from Fed officials. Geopolitically, Israel attacked Hamas targets in Qatar this week. Russian government spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated on the 12th that peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have been suspended, but negotiators from both sides remain open to communication through existing channels.A Yomiuri Shimbun poll in Japan showed that in the Liberal Democratic Party election, Sanae Takaichi led with 29% support, while Shinjiro Koizumi had 25% support.1. The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.59%, the S&P 500 down 0.05%, and the Nasdaq up 0.44%, reaching new all-time highs. Merck and Sherwin-Williams fell over 2%, leading the Dow lower. The Wind US Tech 7 Index rose 1.14%, with Tesla up over 7% and Apple up over 1%. Chinese concept stocks were mixed, with JinkoSolar up over 6% and Douyu down over 4%. 2. U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield up 0.99 basis points to 3.549%, the 3-year Treasury yield up 1.94 basis points to 3.527%, the 5-year Treasury yield up 3.81 basis points to 3.633%, the 10-year Treasury yield up 4.57 basis points to 4.070%, and the 30-year Treasury yield up 2.69 basis points to 4.681%. 3. International precious metal futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.19% to $3,680.70 per ounce, a weekly gain of 0.75%. COMEX silver futures rose 1.26% to $42.68 per ounce, a weekly gain of 2.71%. 4. International oil prices rose slightly. The main contract for US crude oil closed up 0.37% at $62.60 per barrel, a weekly gain of 1.18%. The main contract for Brent crude oil rose 0.77% to $66.88 per barrel, a weekly gain of 2.11%. 5. London base metals rose across the board, with LME zinc futures up 1.93% at $2,956.00/ton, up 3.32% for the week; LME nickel futures up 1.52% at $15,380.00/ton, up 0.95% for the week; LME lead futures up 1.13% at $2,019.00/ton, up 1.71% for the week; LME aluminum futures up 1.03% at $2,701.00/ton, up 3.86% for the week; LME tin futures up 0.74% at $34,955.00/ton, up 1.87% for the week; and LME copper futures up 0.13% at $10,064.50/ton, up 1.69% for the week.Market News: South Koreas trade minister will visit the United States on Monday for tariff negotiations.US President Trump: The Federal Reserve is expected to "cut interest rates significantly."

Silver price analysis: XAG/USD declines from a 13-day-old resistance line below $21.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 13, 2023 11:37

 截屏2022-07-29 上午11.05.40.png

 

Silver price (XAG/USD) maintains modest gains near $20.60 as it probes the metal's retreat from a key short-term resistance line on Monday morning. Despite this, the XAG/USD maintains its three-day winning trend and extends yesterday's recovery from the lowest levels since November 4, 2022.

 

Nonetheless, the impending bear cross on the MACD and the bullion's inability to remain above the 200-SMA, not to mention the failure to cross a two-week-old resistance line, give Silver price bears reason for optimism.

 

Consequently, the bullion remains on track to retest the two-week-old horizontal support zone close to $20.40. However, the metal's further decline may make it difficult to break the $20.00 psychological magnet.

 

The focus will then shift to the monthly low of $19.95 and the November 2022 low around $18.85.

 

On the contrary, recovery movements remain elusive unless the XAG/USD remains below the downward-sloping resistance line from late February, around $20.90 at the latest. The $21.00 round number also functions as an upside filter.

 

The previous week's high near $21.30 may serve as the last line of defense for the XAG/USD skeptics if Silver purchasers maintain control above $21.00.