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On July 22, Japans imports surged 25.4% year-on-year in June, reaching a record 11.3 trillion yen (approximately US$69.25 billion), driven by a weaker yen and soaring oil prices. This increase exceeded market expectations of 21% and was the fastest pace since November 2022, resulting in a trade deficit of 406.9 billion yen (approximately US$2.49 billion) in June, far exceeding the previously predicted 120 billion yen. While crude oil imports declined by 13.7% year-on-year, the import value surged by 59.3%, with yen-denominated unit prices also reaching a record high, highlighting that current inflationary pressures are largely driven by exchange rate factors rather than demand growth. This means that the yens appreciation has a more significant effect on alleviating import cost pressures than potential short-term changes in oil demand. On the export side, the resilience of demand from data centers related to artificial intelligence provides the Bank of Japan with real economic growth support that can be used to offset inflationary risks. This combination of factors suggests that the Bank of Japan is more likely to adopt a cautious, gradual interest rate hike path rather than a sudden and sharp tightening of policy. The market currently expects the Bank of Japan to keep interest rates unchanged next week, but will maintain its tightening policy stance.Malaysias Deputy Finance Minister: If crude oil prices are $90 per barrel, the monthly subsidy program for 95-octane gasoline will be RM2 billion, and the diesel subsidy will be RM1.5 billion.July 22 – According to the Fujian Provincial Bureau of Statistics, based on the unified accounting results for regional GDP, the provinces GDP in the first half of the year reached 2,931.582 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.0% at constant prices. Specifically, the added value of the primary industry was 125.979 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%; the added value of the secondary industry was 1,247.608 billion yuan, an increase of 3.8%; and the added value of the tertiary industry was 1,557.995 billion yuan, an increase of 4.1%.Mitsubishi Electric and Sony Semiconductor Solutions have formed a joint venture to focus on artificial intelligence vision sensors for industrial manufacturing.July 22 – This morning (July 22), the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the implementation of the 15th Five-Year Plan, accelerate the modernization of customs, and contribute to the construction of a strong trading nation. Ports are gateways to the outside world. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, customs will accelerate the implementation of key border port projects under the national 15th Five-Year Plan, simultaneously implement the 57 port facility renovation projects under the 15th Five-Year Plan, and speed up the construction of railway ports such as Turugart and Ganqimaodu. This will help further optimize the layout of port opening.

Silver Prices Continue to Fall as the Dollar and Treasury Yields Extend Their Gains

Drake Hampton

Apr 20, 2022 09:57

Silver prices fell Wednesday as the currency and benchmark rates gained in the face of mounting inflation fears. The ten-year yield hit its highest level since 2018 near 2.93 percent Thursday, owing to a bond sell-off triggered by rising inflation. This circumstance has boosted yields.

 

Gold prices declined as the dollar rose in anticipation of additional Federal Reserve rate hikes to tackle soaring inflation. Oil prices fell in erratic trading despite an ongoing global supply constraint, as the IMF raised inflation concerns and lowered economic growth predictions.

 

Housing starts unexpectedly increased by 0.3% in March to 1.793 million seasonally adjusted units. Last month, building permits increased by 0.4 percent to 1.873 units on an annual basis.

 

Increased mortgage rates and supply chain delays are making it more difficult for buyers to purchase a home. However, the lack of available homes will continue to support housing starts this year.

Technical Evaluation

Silver prices gave back their gains from yesterday, falling to the low $25s. Silver prices are reverting lower despite increased inflation and global supply constraints caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This could be a temporary reversal brought either by investors buying the dip or a change to negative momentum.

 

Support is located near the $24.85 50-day moving average. Near the $26.40 level, resistance is located. Short-term momentum shifted negative as the fast stochastic crossed below the zero line, signaling a sell signal.

 

The medium-term momentum is good, but the histogram prints favorably with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is in positive territory but is trending downward, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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