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June 28 - Neuberger portfolio manager Joseph Purtell said, "In the short term, the dollar is likely to remain strong due to rising US real interest rates." He believes the dollar is poised to break out of its six- to nine-month range, but added that in the long term, the dollar may weaken given structural issues such as the fiscal sustainability of the US government.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a magnitude 6 earthquake off the east coast of Honshu, Japan.On June 28th, Gavekal Research stated in a report: "In 2025, the market is widely concerned that Trump will weaken the independence of US monetary policy, nominate a political puppet as Federal Reserve Chairman, force the Fed to cut interest rates, and cause inflation to remain persistently above the Feds 2% target." "Developments over the past seven months have made this scenario unlikely." These developments include the appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed and the re-election of 11 of the 12 regional Fed presidents. At Warshs first meeting earlier this month, the Fed emphasized its commitment to price stability, surprising some market participants who had expected a more dovish stance from the new chairman.On June 28, US President Donald Trump nominated Lance Schroyer to be the new Director of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Trump stated that Schroyer, a former Oklahoma State Trooper and US Marine, has extensive experience working with ICE and is adept at combating illegal immigration and deporting undocumented immigrants. Trump also urged the Senate to confirm Schroyers nomination as soon as possible.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a 5.6-magnitude earthquake off the coast of Aragua, Venezuela.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG / USD drops to a four-month low as bears attack $20.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 08, 2023 13:50

Silver price (XAG / USD) remains depressed at the lowest levels in four months as sellers prod the $20.00 psychological magnet to reinvigorate the multi-day low during Wednesday's Asian session.

 

This extends the previous day's break of a six-month-old ascending support line, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the metal's advance from September 2022 to February 2023. The pessimistic MACD signals strengthen the downside bias.

 

It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) is in the oversold territory and hence multiple supports around $19.80 and $19.60 could restrict short-term XAG/USD declines.

 

Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level encircling the $19.00 round number could entice Silver Bears before directing them to the lows marked in October and September of last year, respectively, around $18.10 and $17.55.

 

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, could limit short-term XAG / USD recovery at around $20.25 prior to the support-turned-resistance line from September 2022, which was near $20.60 at the time of publication.

 

In the event that the Silver price remains firmer than $20.60, the 200-day moving average and a one-month-old resistance line near $21.00 and $21.20 may act as the bears' last line of defense.