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Gold prices dipped slightly in early trading on Wednesday, impacted by profit-taking and a stronger dollar, but remained near record highs ahead of the Federal Reserves interest rate decision. Investors widely expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but attention will be focused on Chairman Powells speech for clues on the pace of future monetary easing. "The market has priced in a deep easing path, and a failure of the Fed to meet expectations could spark disappointment," said Pepperstone analyst Ahmad Assiri. Meanwhile, retail sales grew for the third consecutive month in August, suggesting that consumer spending remains healthy despite concerns about persistent inflation and a weak job market.Governor of Bank Indonesia: Interest rate decision takes into account the possibility of a Fed rate cut.On September 17th, Deutsche Bank analyst Sanjay Raja noted that the UK inflation rate, which remained at 3.8% in August, was a positive sign for the market. Core inflation was in line with expectations at 3.6%, while services inflation fell to 4.7% from 5.0% in July. Raja stated, "The good news is that the August data corrected some of the unexpected upward movement in July." However, the bad news is that inflation will still edge up before peaking—food inflation reached 5.1% in August and continues to rise. He added that the Bank of England may need to wait for more evidence before easing its restrictive policy again.The Indonesian rupiah fell slightly against the US dollar and is now trading at 16,440.September 17th News: Wu Yuetao, Director of the Employment, Income Distribution, and Consumption Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, stated at a State Council Information Office press conference on September 17th that the next step will be to further implement the "Artificial Intelligence Plus" initiative, promote the accelerated application of artificial intelligence in service consumption and other fields, and empower all types of service enterprises, large, medium, and small. Deepen the integration of online and offline consumption, and across multiple business, travel, culture, sports, and fitness formats, and encourage enterprises to create new consumption scenarios, expand new consumption experiences, and tap into new consumer demands. Solidly advance the construction of a unified large market, remove and rectify market access barriers, and create a fair market access environment for all types of enterprises, especially small and medium-sized enterprises. Leverage regular communication and problem-solving mechanisms with private enterprises, continue to listen in depth to their opinions and suggestions, and help them resolve difficulties and achieve healthy development.

Silver Gaps Higher to Start the Trading Week

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:57

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As the $19 level is under threat, silver prices have gapped upward to start the trading week on Monday. Nevertheless, given the strong resistance in the region, I wouldn't be at all surprised if sellers jumped into the market and underpriced it. The $20 level may be the next objective, even if we break above the $19 level. Since silver is more of an industrial metal than a precious metal, the market will likely continue to view it with distrust.

 

The current state of the world economy is fraught with uncertainty, which is not the best atmosphere for rising silver prices. As a result, I believe we will keep looking for rallies you may join and then start fading. I think that sector is also another spot where you might see sellers reappear because the 50 Day EMA is now around the $21 level and declining fairly swiftly.

 

Breaking down below the $18 mark below would allow for new selling that might take us much lower. In the end, I believe that this market will continue to exhibit "fade the rally" characteristics, barring a significant shift in the Federal Reserve's attitude on monetary policy. I just don't see it occurring anytime soon, therefore from what I can see, the silver market is still in dire straits. In reality, the majority of commodities appear to be seriously in danger.