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April 7th - Russias crude oil prices rose to their highest level in over 13 years as the global oil price surge triggered by the situation with Iran. According to Argus Media, on April 2nd, the price of Russias flagship Urals crude reached $116.05 per barrel at Primorsk, Russias largest oil export facility on the Baltic coast. This price, excluding transportation costs, is almost double the average of $59 per barrel assumed in Russias budget this year. Amid the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, substantial oil revenues are easing the Kremlins financial pressure.According to Irans Nour News, power outages have occurred in parts of Karaj, Iran, due to artillery shells hitting power transmission lines.Qatar maintains that the post-war Hormuz Agreement should not exclude any parties in the region.Qatar maintains that the post-war Hormuz Agreement should include international guarantees.April 7th - Shipping data from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) and Kpler showed that crude oil exports from the Saudi Red Sea port of Yanbu fell by approximately 15% week-on-week in the week ending March 30th, averaging nearly 3.9 million barrels per day, compared to an average of nearly 4.6 million barrels per day the previous week. Kpler analyst Johannes Rauball stated, "The decline in exports likely reflects issues with vessel availability and unloading times." A shipping industry source indicated that Houthi statements regarding a possible attack on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait have caused some shipowners to hesitate to send vessels to the port.

Shale firms perceive the U.S. put as inadequate to grow oil output

Skylar Williams

Oct 24, 2022 14:13

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This week, U.S. shale oil CEO Matt Gallagher sponsored a Twitter poll to gauge sentiment over President Joe Biden's suggestion to stock the U.S. emergency oil reserve at roughly $72 per barrel to incentivize companies to drill more.


Nearly 80% of respondents do not anticipate oil futures to fall to a level that would trigger U.S. purchases in the coming year, eliminating any boost from the "U.S. put" or the use of potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve purchases to set a minimum price for new oil production.


The CEO of the consulting firm PetroNerds, Trisha Curtis, slammed the offer, noting that the news created the impression that he was throwing the oil business a bone.


"What if oil prices do not drop to that level? Simply maintain a modest level of reserves? "She inquired.


Biden announced the final sale of 180 million barrels and the repurchase price. "He is aiming to strike a difficult balance between expanding his green constituency and reducing fuel prices. Likewise, he did neither, "said Curtis.


A Department of Energy spokesperson was not immediately available for comment.


Abhiram Rajendran, director of the consultancy firm Energy Intelligence, indicated that a price of roughly $70 per barrel of oil "is a price at which supply does not expand."


According to Hunter Kornfeind, oil market analyst at Rapidan Energy Group, people and equipment shortages and high expenses prevented a production boom despite the fact that U.S. oil prices surpassed $120 per barrel this year.


Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth, noted that projections for oil prices through 2024 had increased due to declining supply. She indicated that this transpired apart from the SPR offer.


According to Kornfeind, oil producers can lock in a sales price for future production similar to the amount specified for SPR purchases, as oil futures until mid- to late-2024 are trading around $72 per barrel.


Frank Macchiarola, senior vice president of the American Petroleum Institute, remarked that if the Biden administration wishes to expand oil supplies, it must "change its policy towards the production of additional oil and gas in the United States."