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February 16th - Some staunch gold bulls are unfazed by the historic pullback in the precious metal, still anticipating a renewed surge to unprecedented levels. In late January, New York gold futures prices briefly broke a record high of $5,600 per ounce, only to suffer an unprecedented plunge the following day. During this period, one or more investors began buying December-expiring call option spread contracts with strike prices of $15,000/$20,000 on the COMEX division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Even after gold prices consolidated around $5,000, this position continued to grow, now reaching approximately 11,000 contracts. "Its truly surprising to see so many deep out-of-the-money call option spread open interest after a technical pullback," said Akash Doshi, global head of gold and metals strategy at State Street Investment Management. "Some traders may see this as a cheap lottery opportunity."Country Garden (02007.HK): The High Court dismissed the winding-up petition for Country Garden.Market news: According to Bank of Americas latest foreign exchange and interest rate sentiment survey, market sentiment towards the US dollar in February was at its most negative level in 14 years. Currently, short positions in the US dollar have reached their highest level since January 2012.February 16 – Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stated on February 16 local time that the Russian delegation will travel to Geneva on the evening of the 16th (Moscow time) to participate in the Geneva negotiations on the Ukraine issue, in accordance with the consensus reached during the meeting between Russian and US leaders Anchorage. Russia believes that any agreement reached on the Ukraine issue must be lasting and guarantee the elimination of the root causes of the conflict. He also pointed out that the main security threat to Russia at this stage comes from European countries holding a confrontational stance.February 16th - With the Federal Reserve poised to release a highly anticipated bank capital proposal related to Basel III, U.S. lending institutions may face new mortgage requirements. Michelle Bowman, the Federal Reserves chief banking regulator, stated that this new measure related to residential real estate will consider increasing the "risk sensitivity" of mortgage capital requirements on banks books. One approach is to use loan-to-value ratios to determine the applicable risk weights for residential real estate exposures, rather than using a uniform risk weight. "This change could better align capital requirements with actual risk, support on-balance-sheet lending by banks, and potentially reverse the trend of mortgage activity shifting to non-bank institutions over the past 15 years," Bowman said.

S&P 500 Tests Support At 4000 As Risk Appetite Declines

Jimmy Khan

Dec 06, 2022 15:39

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As the ISM Services PMI Report exceeded analyst expectations, stocks are under heavy pressure.


As traders' risk appetite decreased following the release of the better-than-expected ISM Services PMI report, the S&P 500 fell toward the 4000 mark. The unexpected report caused the 10-year Treasury bond yield to increase to 3.60%, which was negative for stocks.


Energy equities, which fell lower as a result of the sell-off in the oil markets, were the main drivers of today's decline. In the energy sector today, Halliburton, Marathon Petroleum, and Marathon Oil were among the greatest losers.


Tech companies, which are sensitive to yield swings, are also under a lot of pressure right now. The heavily tech-focused NASDAQ Composite fell by more than 2%.


Following allegations that the business might reduce manufacturing in China, Tesla's stock fell by 6%. Despite Tesla's denial of the reports, the stock was still under a lot of stress.


Looking at the big picture, the strong PMI report caused a second wave of profit-taking following the robust rise, which drove the S&P 500 from 3500 to 4100.


On Friday, speculators who were ready to wager that the robust rally would continue promptly purchased the retreat. However, the ISM Services PMI report added to stock market pressure, and there are currently no signs of any purchasing activity.

Tests Support At 4,000 for S&P 500

The S&P 500 will advance toward the support at the 20 EMA at 3975 if it is able to settle below the 4000 mark. The S&P 500 will be pushed toward the support of 3960 if it moves below the 20 EMA. The next support level, at 3940, will be reached if the S&P 500 declines below this level.


The prior support level at 4015 will act as the first resistance level for the S&P 500 on the upside. In the event that the S&P 500 returns to being above this point, it will move toward the resistance at 4040. If the resistance at 4040 can be tested successfully, the resistance at 4070 can be tested after that.