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June 17th - The Federal Reserve will announce its first interest rate decision this Wednesday under the leadership of new Chairman Kevin Warsh. What he says and doesnt say will provide clues to the market, offering a glimpse into the Feds communication style he promises to change. Market observers will closely watch the wording of the post-meeting statement and any stylistic adjustments the new chairman may make. They also want to know if Warsh intends to continue holding post-meeting press conferences. Furthermore, it is expected that Warsh will push forward several reforms he has previously promised, including reducing the Feds balance sheet and refocusing the Fed on monetary policy. James Grant, editor of Grant Interest Rate Watch, believes that Warsh should confront and clean up the most unsavory aspects of the Feds own finances. He also suggests storing some gold in the Feds underground vaults to make it look more respectable. The Fed currently does not hold any gold. Grant also stated that if the Treasury stopped covering the Feds losses, it would have gone out of business long ago; the Fed is effectively insolvent. A closer look reveals that the Federal Reserves losses on fixed-income assets and bonds far exceed the amount it lists on its shareholders equity books.On June 17, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that the oil supply shock in the Gulf region is expected to cause a significant drop in global oil demand before oil supplies in the Strait of Hormuz gradually normalize, with supply projected to rebound to 8 million barrels per day by 2027. The IEA noted that while the interim agreement to be signed this week by the US and Iran represents the most significant breakthrough in negotiations since the outbreak of the war, a full restoration of supplies through this vital waterway is expected to take several months. The organization now projects that global oil demand will decline by 1.1 million barrels per day this year due to high oil prices and severe supply disruptions, compared to a previous forecast of a 420,000 barrel per day decline. With the normalization of trade, lower oil prices, and an improved economic outlook, demand is expected to rebound to 2 million barrels per day next year. The IEA stated, "While the details of the agreement are still pending clarification and several issues remain unresolved, this is an encouraging step forward. However, a full restoration will not happen overnight, as mines need to be cleared from major shipping lanes and supply chains will need time to return to normal."On June 17th, the Shanghai Stock Exchange announced that companies producing large-scale AI models will be eligible for the fifth set of listing standards for the Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market). Issuers should hold a prominent and leading position in the field of large-scale AI models, occupy an important position in the industry chain, play a leading and exemplary role in the industry, and gain high recognition from relevant market players. The issuers large-scale AI model business or products should have a clear target market with significant current or potential demand, outstanding competitive advantages in R&D progress and key indicators, a large market space, and strong future growth potential. Issuers should formulate clear commercialization plans for their large-scale AI model business or products. Issuers should not have any matters that could have a significant adverse impact on their ability to continue operating, such as insufficient commercialization expectations for their large-scale model business or products.On June 17, the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) announced that, in order to implement the "Opinions of the China Securities Regulatory Commission on Setting Up a Science and Technology Innovation Growth Layer on the Science and Technology Innovation Board to Enhance the Inclusiveness and Adaptability of the System," further standardize the application of the fifth set of listing standards for science and technology enterprises on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, and support high-quality artificial intelligence large-scale model enterprises that have not yet formed a certain revenue scale to issue and list on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, the SSE has formulated the "Shanghai Stock Exchange Issuance and Listing Review Rules Application Guidelines No. 10 - Application of the Fifth Set of Listing Standards for Artificial Intelligence Large-Scale Model Enterprises on the Science and Technology Innovation Board," which is hereby issued and will take effect from the date of issuance.WTI and Brent crude oil prices are showing little fluctuation in the short term, currently trading at $75.75/barrel and $78.63/barrel respectively.

S&P 500 Tests Resistance At 3885 As Apple Rallies

Alice Wang

Oct 31, 2022 16:25

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Tech Stocks Rise as Apple and Intel Reports Lift Sentiment

After the announcement of the company's quarterly report, Apple shares saw significant support, causing the S&P 500 to rise sharply and move towards the 3885 mark.


Apple surpassed analyst expectations for both profits and sales, reporting revenue of $90.1 billion and earnings of $1.29 per share. Even though Apple's financial numbers weren't great, the price nevertheless rose 8%, suggesting that traders were waiting for an opportunity to purchase the shares.


Results from Apple more than made up for the decline in Amazon shares, which fell by 8%. It should be mentioned that during yesterday's post-market session, Amazon stock fell as much as 19%, therefore Apple's results significantly boosted optimism in the IT sector.


After the publication of the quarterly report, Intel stock also increased. In the instance of Intel, traders praised job-cut plans.


Energy companies including Schlumberger, Pioneer Natural Resources, and Hess sank as oil markets fell over concerns about coronavirus lockdowns in China, while IT stocks saw widespread support. As copper fell below the $3.45 mark, the top copper producer Freeport-McMoran saw its share price fall by 2%.


It's interesting to note that today's S&P 500 was unaffected by the stronger currency and higher Treasury rates. Apple's strong earnings announcement increased traders' willingness to take risks, and investors raced to purchase stocks across a range of sectors.

Tests Multi-Week Highs for S&P 500

The S&P 500 is now attempting to settle above the 3885 resistance level. The RSI is still in the moderate range, and there is still possibility for future trading sessions to see further upward momentum.


The S&P 500 will go toward the next barrier at 3915 if it settles above the 3885 level. The barrier at 3960 might be tested if a price moves over 3915. The S&P 500 will go toward the next obstacle at 4000 if it rises over 3960.


The prior resistance level at 3835 will act as the S&P 500's first support level on the support side. The S&P 500 will move in the direction of the next support at 3805 if it is able to settle below this level. S&P 500 will be pushed toward the support at the 20 EMA at 3760 if a move below the support at 3805 is made.