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The yield on Japans two-year government bonds rose 0.5 basis points to 1.73%, the highest level since April 1995.Tensions in the Middle East escalated again over the weekend, causing a surge in crude oil prices this morning, which is expected to support a higher market opening this week. If the situation in the Middle East continues with both peace talks and conflict, the market is likely to continue consolidating at high levels this week.SoftBank Group shares fell about 4.8%, and Tokyo Electron shares fell more than 4%.On August 31st, Japans industrial production rose 0.1% month-on-month in July, better than the expected 0.7% decline; retail sales rose 2.4% month-on-month and 4% year-on-year, both significantly exceeding expectations. Manufacturers expect industrial production to grow by 6.4% in August, followed by a 4.2% decline in September. The much stronger-than-expected industrial production data mitigated some short-term downside risks priced into the markets assessment of Japans economic growth prospects. The sharp rebound in retail sales, both month-on-month and year-on-year, indicates that consumer spending performed better than suggested by the decline in June. This is significant for the Bank of Japans ongoing discussion on whether domestic demand can continue to drive inflation. The manufacturers survey indicates that industrial production is expected to grow strongly by 6.4% in August, but will decline significantly in September, suggesting that the current strong performance may be partly due to advance production or a rebound after a previous decline, rather than a genuine acceleration of the industrial cycle. According to the US financial website InvestingLive, combined with US Treasury Secretary Bessants recent remarks that the pace of interest rate hikes is effectively left to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, the resilience of economic growth and consumption further weakens the reasons for the Bank of Japan to postpone further tightening of its policy.The Nikkei 225 index opened down 731.46 points, or 1.10%, at 65,674.10 on Monday, August 31.

S&P 500 (SPY) Declines As Treasury Yields Test New Highs

Alice Wang

Sep 07, 2022 16:27

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Tech stock prices are still quite volatile. As oil markets retreat, energy equities are falling.

Stocks Are Under Pressure As Yields Rise

The S&P 500 is down today as tech companies continue to under intense pressure due to increasing Treasury rates.


While the yield on 2-year Treasuries neared the 3.50% mark, the yield on 10-year Treasuries increased to multi-month highs at 3.35%. The yield curve's inversion suggests that investors in bonds are concerned about a possible recession.


It should be highlighted that European government bond markets are seeing significant movement.


Trading fears that the energy crisis will result in further money printing, which is why UK bonds are touching new lows. Germany's bonds are also under a lot of pressure, and it seems that the ECB may be selling them to support the bonds of other members that are less strong, like Italy or Greece.


While the rates on European bonds do not directly affect American markets, a possible debt crisis in the EU and UK might have a substantial negative influence on the S&P 500. In light of this, traders should keep an eye on these bond markets' movements in the following weeks.


Technically speaking, the S&P 500 keeps trying to settle below the 3915 mark. A successful challenge of this level will indicate that the S&P 500 is prepared to pick up speed on the downside.

Tech Shares Remain Weak

The market as a whole keeps falling due to tech stocks. Other top tech companies like Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and others continue to under criticism.


Today's decline in WTI oil prices has also affected energy equities like Exxon and Chevron.


The safe-haven market has the highest concentration of stock demand. Today, there is some support for stocks including Johnson & Johnson, UnitedHealth Group, and Eli Lilly.


From a broad perspective, it is clear that the S&P 500 will be unable to pick up speed without a significant recovery in the tech stock sector.