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Futures data from October 21st revealed that as of October 20th, the mainstream benzene market in East China closed at 5,535 yuan/ton, down 220 yuan/ton from 5,755 yuan/ton at the beginning of October. Looking at the post-holiday market, major ports in East China maintained a steady pace of destocking in early October, but concerns about crude oil oversupply intensified, with Brent crude futures falling to a five-month low and weakening market sentiment. Coupled with a lack of downstream market support, exacerbating losses, and a lack of new orders from end users, secondary downstream inventories remained high and difficult to reduce, creating significant price transmission resistance. The market may face downward pressure in late October.Futures News, October 21st: Crude oil prices have recently continued to decline, with overall weakness predominating. Market concerns are mounting about a global oil glut. On the one hand, Saudi Arabia has been increasing crude oil production, albeit at a slower pace, but the cumulative increase has been significant. On the other hand, the US has entered its seasonal off-season, resulting in lower oil demand and significant pressure on oil inventory. Zhuochuang Information predicts that the decline in oil prices reflects the realization of some negative factors. The market is focused on the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations. Current market news suggests expectations for a deal are stronger than previously anticipated, potentially providing support for oil prices. Whether this can stabilize remains to be seen.The Hang Seng Tech Index continued its strong performance, rising over 3%. Tech stocks performed strongly, with Bilibili (09626.HK) rising nearly 10%. The Hang Seng Index is now up nearly 2%.On October 21, it was learned from the Ministry of Natural Resources that due to the influence of strong cold air and this years No. 24 typhoon "Fengshen" (strong tropical storm level), the National Marine Forecasting Center continued to issue an orange alert for waves and a yellow alert for storm surges at 08:00 on October 21 in accordance with the "Marine Disaster Emergency Plan".The Hang Seng Tech Index continued to strengthen, rising by more than 2%. Bilibili (09626.HK) rose by more than 6%, leading the constituent stocks. The Hang Seng Index is now up 1.44%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast — Stock Markets Wait for Jackson Hole Results

Alice Wang

Aug 25, 2022 15:20

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During the trading session on Wednesday, the S&P 500 briefly declined, but soon began to rebound. The market seems to be attempting to establish a little short-term basis at this time. Therefore, the Jackson Hole Symposium and of course Jerome Powell's address on Friday are expected to be closely watched by the market.


Currently, we are trading above the 50-day EMA and below the 200-day EMA. Since we are squeezed between these two moving averages, it is possible that we will have an explosive move at some point in the future. In the end, the market is trying to determine if the Federal Reserve will start acting aggressively tight or whether it will keep feeding the Wall Street speculators. Looking at this chart, it is clear that the market will likely remain volatile. It is also important to note that we just had a significant decline, so we may need to take a little break.


The chance of a move down to the 4000 level in the E-mini contract, and maybe much lower, arises if we were to break down below the 50-day EMA. Currently, we are attempting to determine if the market is attempting to enter a period of bull market activity or whether we have just corrected the overall image of a downturn. In all likelihood, the next several days will be quiet until we see how the speech was received. It's also important to keep in mind that Wall Street often makes mistakes on the first day before reversing sharply the next day.

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