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Bank of Japan: We also need to pay attention to the risk that food prices may exceed expectations due to rising raw material market prices.Bank of Japan: Exchange rate fluctuations are now more likely to affect prices than in the past.On April 28th, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept its interest rate unchanged, but three of its nine policy board members proposed a rate hike, reflecting the banks concerns about inflationary pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict. The 6-3 vote was the largest split since Governor Kazuo Ueda took office. The BOJ decided to keep its short-term policy rate at 0.75% at the end of its two-day meeting, in line with market expectations. Board members Hajime Takada, Naoki Tamura, and Junko Nakagawa dissented, advocating for a rate hike to 1.0%. Nakagawa argued that despite the continued uncertainty in the Middle East, price risks were skewed to the upside in a loose financial environment, considering economic developments. Tamura believed that given the significantly upside price risks, the BOJ should set its policy rate as close as possible to the neutral rate. Takada argued that Japans price stability objective had been largely achieved, and that price risks were clearly skewed to the upside due to the secondary effects of price increases caused by overseas developments. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to explain the decision to the media later.The Bank of Japan stated that while strong business fixed investment could drive global economic growth, if corporate profits fail to expand in tandem with such investment, there could be downward pressure and asset prices could change.On April 28th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan." At the conference, a relevant official from the China Meteorological Administration pointed out that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, meteorological service supply will be further optimized, deeply integrated into and empowering the modern economic system, and the strength, depth, and effectiveness of meteorological services will be expanded. Facing key areas such as energy, transportation, and the low-altitude economy, the meteorological department will promote meteorological services to cover the entire industrial chain, focusing on incorporating meteorological standards into infrastructure construction from the outset. For example, in the transportation sector, a threshold triggering mechanism will be explored, linking speed limits, service shutdowns, and equipment reinforcement when key indicators such as forecast visibility and road surface temperature reach thresholds. For different scenarios such as new energy bases in desert areas and offshore wind power, the level of regional and station-level power forecast services will be improved. In the low-altitude domain, flight safety and operational efficiency are significantly affected by meteorological conditions, placing higher demands on meteorological services.

S&P 500 Price Forecast — Stock Markets Wait for Jackson Hole Results

Alice Wang

Aug 25, 2022 15:20

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During the trading session on Wednesday, the S&P 500 briefly declined, but soon began to rebound. The market seems to be attempting to establish a little short-term basis at this time. Therefore, the Jackson Hole Symposium and of course Jerome Powell's address on Friday are expected to be closely watched by the market.


Currently, we are trading above the 50-day EMA and below the 200-day EMA. Since we are squeezed between these two moving averages, it is possible that we will have an explosive move at some point in the future. In the end, the market is trying to determine if the Federal Reserve will start acting aggressively tight or whether it will keep feeding the Wall Street speculators. Looking at this chart, it is clear that the market will likely remain volatile. It is also important to note that we just had a significant decline, so we may need to take a little break.


The chance of a move down to the 4000 level in the E-mini contract, and maybe much lower, arises if we were to break down below the 50-day EMA. Currently, we are attempting to determine if the market is attempting to enter a period of bull market activity or whether we have just corrected the overall image of a downturn. In all likelihood, the next several days will be quiet until we see how the speech was received. It's also important to keep in mind that Wall Street often makes mistakes on the first day before reversing sharply the next day.