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Both WTI and Brent crude oil opened about 1% higher on Monday, currently trading at $102.57 per barrel and $107.15 per barrel, respectively.On March 30th, Jefferies stated that Australian refineries can only meet a small fraction of domestic fuel demand. The conflict in Iran has led to rising petrol and diesel prices, and Australias competition regulator has expressed concern about supply issues in areas including suburban areas, regional towns, and remote regions. Jefferies estimates that Australian refinery output can meet approximately 37% of petrol demand and about 14% of diesel demand. This conclusion is based on an analysis of Australian oil statistics from last year. "Even in Queensland and Victoria, where Ampore and Viva Energy respectively own refineries, the output of Litton and Geelong is insufficient to meet the states total demand for petrol or diesel," said analyst Michael Simotas.According to Iranian state media, a petrochemical plant in Tabriz, a city in northwestern Iran, was attacked.1. Ukrainian Armed Forces: Russian troops lost approximately 1,360 soldiers yesterday. 2. RIA Novosti: Russia claims to have captured the village of Kivsharivka in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine. 3. Russia warns South Korea that it will retaliate if it provides lethal weapons to Ukraine. 4. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov: Russian-American relations have fallen to a historic low in recent years; Russia is willing to develop relations with the US. 5. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Following the Ukrainian attack, oil refineries in Leningrad Oblast, Russia, are operating at only 40% capacity. 6. Governor of Leningrad Oblast: A fire broke out at the Baltic port of Ust-Luga, Russia, caused by a Ukrainian drone attack; the fire is now under control.On March 30th, economist Rory Robertson stated that the Australian economy may have already experienced a downturn due to the oil price shock and threats to energy supplies. If the economy did not actually contract in March, the constraints imposed on numerous industries by the sudden surge in fuel prices (especially diesel) and reduced supply could force a slight contraction in economic activity in April. Robertson stated that the economic outlook depends on whether the problems can be resolved as quickly as they appeared. He added that historical experience shows that sudden and prolonged oil price shocks often turn into economic disasters.

S&P 500 Price Forecast — S&P 500 Rallies Before Jackson Hole

Alice Wang

Aug 26, 2022 16:48



As we wait for Chairman Jerome Powell's address on Friday morning, the S&P 500 gained a little during the trading session on Thursday in the E-mini contract.

Techniques for the S&P 500

The S&P 500 increased slightly throughout the trading session in the E-mini contract to cross the 200-day EMA on Thursday. You shouldn't be shocked to learn that we have once again found this to be interesting as the 200-day EMA is obviously an indication that many traders pay attention to. At the end of the day, even if we do rise from here, the 4300 level above may serve as a big resistance level.


The 50-day EMA might act as support if we go below the Wednesday candlestick's bottom. The S&P 500 drops significantly if it breaks down below that level. Additionally, you should pay particular attention to the fact that people will either believe that the Federal Reserve will change its stance or stay hawkish as a result of Jerome Powell's speech on Friday. It's probably better to wait and see how the week ends because, at this point, I believe it's quite risky to be in the market on Friday. You must also bear in mind that the market often responds in one manner, only to change its course the next trading session. Because we have the full weekend to discuss what Jerome Powell means, this will also be intriguing.


We are in the middle of the 50 and 200-day EMA indications, which does imply that we will be compressing before we can move in a more positive or negative direction. On Friday, I will just be watching; the danger is simply too great for me to do anything else.