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The Hang Seng Tech Index has turned positive after falling more than 2% earlier; the Hang Seng Index is currently up 0.1%.On July 14, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on social media saying that it had attacked multiple weapons support warehouses, a satellite communications center, and a U.S. military base in Bahrain with missiles and drones.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds fell 1.0 basis point to 1.435%. The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds fell 4 basis points to 3.705%.July 14th Futures News Commentary by Guangda Futures: On July 13th, COMEX gold prices plummeted during the session, closing at $4008.7 per ounce, a drop of 2.55%. Domestic SHFE gold prices fluctuated and declined in the night session, closing at 873.26 yuan per gram, a drop of 2.12%. 1. The market refocused on Middle East geopolitics. With the resumption of hostilities between the US and Iran and no signs of cessation, the risk of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz is increasing. Oil prices rebounded rapidly, and the market returned to trading based on the simultaneous rise in inflation stickiness and interest rate expectations, further suppressing precious metals. According to a report in the New York Times on the 13th, Trump stated on Monday that he had notified Congress of the renewed outbreak of hostilities with Iran and that the US would resume its naval blockade against Iran. Market risk appetite was suppressed, and gold prices continued to fall. Furthermore, the weakening AI narrative further compressed market liquidity, suppressing gold price movements. 2. Regarding the Federal Reserve, Fed Governor Waller stated that if core inflation remains high, the Fed may need to raise interest rates, with the probability of a July rate hike slightly increasing. This week will see the release of US June CPI and PPI data, coinciding with Warshs first congressional appearance. The market is concerned that stronger-than-expected data could reinforce Warshs hawkish rhetoric. Overall, golds price action has been characterized by a weak decline and subsequent correction, indicating that its current bottoming-out consolidation is not stable. With geopolitical factors and Fed policy repeatedly intertwined, there is significant divergence between bulls and bears, requiring continued caution.The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference in ten minutes on the import and export situation in the first half of 2026.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Get Sold to Kick off the Week

Alice Wang

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

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The 200-Day EMA was breached by the S&P 500 during the trading session after a steep decline. At this point, the Jackson Hole Symposium this week is still causing a lot of fear in the market.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As there is still a lot of pessimism, the S&P 500 has dropped significantly in the E-mini contract during the trading session on Monday. The central bankers' blather will ultimately draw a lot of attention to this week's Jackson Hole Symposium, and people will be curious about whether or not they will continue to be active in battling inflation. It does make some sense that equities would suffer as long as there is a central bank that is prepared to battle inflation, so a retreat this week is probably to be anticipated.


Along with the 50-Day EMA below, the 4113 level is a region where I anticipate seeing a lot of support. Clearing all of that would be a really unfortunate turn of events, and this market would undoubtedly fall below the 4000 level as a result. The stock market surge, in my opinion, may be almost done at this point, and the direction we go over the following few days' larger move will almost probably be determined by those events.


Sadly, much of this will depend on how the markets understand the statements made by central bankers, which implies that they "may get it wrong" once again. However, by the end of the week, we should see a lot of the momentum that traders have exhibited in one way or the other. On the upside, I believe there is still resistance in the area around the 4300 mark, which may have been the peak.