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On January 26th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the Ministry of Commerces work and operations in 2025. The conference introduced that in 2026, the Ministry of Commerce will further implement a special action to boost consumption, focusing on three aspects: policy formulation, event organization, and scenario optimization. First, policy formulation to increase benefits for consumers. This includes optimizing the implementation of the trade-in program for consumer goods to promote consumption of durable goods such as automobiles, home appliances, digital products, and smart devices. Pilot reforms of automobile circulation and consumption will be carried out to further unleash the potential of automobile consumption. The pilot program for prize-winning invoices will be implemented effectively; the list of pilot cities for prize-winning invoices was released last weekend. A series of practical and effective policy measures, such as promoting the first-launch economy, will be introduced. Second, events to create a strong consumption atmosphere. Focusing on three themes—goods consumption, service consumption, and consumption scenarios—more than 20 "Shopping in China" themed events will be organized this year, along with "city-specific" events in 15 pilot cities for internationalized consumption environments, and support for local "local station" events. Through a unified and distinctive event matrix, a strong consumption atmosphere will be created.On January 26, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov stated that President Vladimir Putins current schedule does not include a phone call with US President Donald Trump, but this can be arranged quickly if needed. Peskov indicated that the territorial issue, a matter of principle for Russia, was among the consensus reached by the two leaders in Anchorage, and that corresponding consensus had been reached with the US and its president. Peskov stated that the Kremlin positively evaluated the commencement of constructive trilateral talks between Russia, the US, and Ukraine, but would not publicly discuss the specific terms of the agenda for the Ukraine negotiations. Furthermore, President Putin continues to receive direct briefings from Russian negotiators.On January 26, former European Commission President José Manuel Barroso stated that transatlantic relations are facing their lowest point since NATOs inception, with the United States destructive diplomatic practices forcing allies to re-evaluate the transatlantic relationship. Barroso said that transatlantic relations are increasingly driven by self-interest, gradually deviating from the traditional model based on shared "democratic values," describing the current moment as a "rupture phase." The Greenland dispute has shaken the confidence of European leaders and the public in the United States. Barroso stated that Trump is sometimes "tougher on allies and friends than on adversaries." In the defense arena, Barroso said that as the Trump administration continues to pressure the EU on defense spending, European leaders are also accelerating efforts to promote "European sovereignty." "If you want to preserve NATO, it will be a more European NATO," Barroso added, arguing that Europe should not rely solely on the United States but should prioritize strengthening its own defense capabilities.According to the German business daily Handelsblatt, three senior EU officials revealed that the European Commission will launch an investigation into the AI chatbot Grok on Monday under the Digital Services Act.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially measured a 3.1-magnitude earthquake at 16:07 on January 26 in Diebu County, Gannan Prefecture, Gansu Province (34.09 degrees north latitude, 103.24 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Breaks Through the 200 Day EMA

Cory Russell

Aug 11, 2022 12:08

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After a CPI number that was lower than expected, the S&P 500 has increased. Wall Street is already operating at full throttle in anticipation of receiving sugar from the Federal Reserve.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During the trading session in the E-mini futures market, the S&P 500 broke above the 200 Day EMA, signaling a strong danger to break out above the 4200 level. If we do, then opens the door to a potential move to the 4300 level, which is something that the momentum makes extremely possible.


Having said that, you must exercise caution since there are several crosscurrents present right now. I believe it will be extremely tough to break above the 4300 level, therefore you must think about volatility through the lens of the VIX.


It would be a really bad indicator and may drive this market back down if we did break down below the candlestick's bottom for the impulsive candlestick that we made on Wednesday. There is little doubt that we are reaching a significant turning point on the charts. The market's immediate response to the CPI statistic was favorable, but the issue now is if it can maintain its upward momentum and surge any more. The next fight may occur around level 4300, in my opinion, since it is more probable than not at this time.


Even though the CPI figure was lower than expected, it is still almost three and a half times what the Federal Reserve likes to see, so prepare for very high volatility. In other words, it will probably only take a short while before someone on the Federal Reserve Board attempts to calm things down.