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On February 5, Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said that the growth rate of the level of activity in the U.S. service sector slowed down in January compared with the strong growth at the end of last year. Taking into account the manufacturing and service PMI surveys, the annualized GDP growth rate in January is expected to reach 1.6%. In contrast, the GDP growth signal for the fourth quarter of 2024 is 2.4%, and official data currently expects GDP growth of 2.3% in the fourth quarter. However, this cooling seems to be at least partly related to the disruption caused by unusually severe weather, suggesting that growth in the service industry may recover in February.The US January ISM non-manufacturing PMI will be released in ten minutes.S&P: The final value of the S&P Global Composite PMI in the United States in January was 52.7, down from 55.4 in December last year, but still showed a strong monthly increase in business activity. Manufacturing production grew again, while service industry activity slowed down. In January, the expansion of new business also slowed down, but the pace of employment growth accelerated, the strongest since June 2022. At the same time, both input costs and output prices grew at a faster pace.S&P: The final value of the S&P Global Services PMI in the United States in January was 52.9, a sharp drop from 56.8 in December, but still showed a strong monthly expansion in business activities in the services sector.Market news: A U.S. Senate panel will investigate whether the U.S. banking industry discriminates for political reasons.

S&P 500 Holds Close to Last Friday’s Highs Above 4,100; Boeing Shares Jump 6.0%

Skylar Shaw

Aug 02, 2022 14:52

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Major Indices Recover With a Slight Pullback

After reaching new multi-week highs in the middle of the session under turbulent, two-way trading circumstances, the major US stock indexes settled somewhat below Friday's closing levels. The most recent set of tier 1 US statistics, the July ISM Manufacturing PMI survey, revealed that the US industrial sector's growth had slowed to its lowest level in more than two years and that indicators of the future, such the New Orders subindex, had moved deeper into contractionary territory.


This increased worries that a recession is either already present in the US economy or is about to start. More encouragingly, however, is the fact that the ISM prices paid subindex, a measure of the inflationary pressures faced by manufacturers, experienced a significant decline in July to its lowest level in two years, suggesting that US inflation has likely peaked at the moment.


Together, the signs of a slowing economy and declining inflationary pressures imply that the US Federal Reserve won't need to raise interest rates as quickly in the next quarters, as markets have begun to bet on recently. Despite the fact that some traders were obviously taking profits last week as US stocks finished their highest month since 2020, confidence about a more dovish Fed tightening outlook is now holding the bears at bay.


The S&P 500 was last trading down around 0.25 percent at 4,120 after flirting with 4,150 earlier in the day. The bulls are still aiming for a test of early June's highs in the 4,170s. For the first time since early May, the Nasdaq 100 index was temporarily able to surge over the 13,000 mark, but it has since fallen back to trade around the 12,900s. The Dow almost missed reaching 33,000 before reversing course and trading largely flat at over 32,800 today.


Equity investors are anticipating the publication of US employment data for July on Friday. This data is anticipated to demonstrate that the US labor market is still strong, despite a little cooling.

Sector Energy Slacks Boeing shares increase as oil prices decline

The energy GICS sector of the S&P 500 fell by approximately 2.0% as a result of a strong decline in global oil prices and bad global manufacturing PMI survey data (from the US, UK, China, and Japan as well as the Eurozone). Thus, the index has given up a significant amount of last Friday's 4.5 percent increase, which was mostly fueled by quarterly earnings records for Exxon Mobil and Chevron.


The majority of the other sector was also in the red, but to a smaller extent than energy, with just Consumer Staples (+1.2%), Industrials (+0.2%), and Consumer Discretionary (+0.6%) showing positive returns. A Reuters story that the US aviation authority had accepted Boeing's inspection and modification plan, allowing it to start deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner plane, caused the share price of Boeing to soar to its highest levels since late April, according to major individual stock articles.