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The main contract of industrial silicon rose by more than 3% and is now quoted at 8,995 yuan/ton.On September 15, the overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; the 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; the 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; the January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; and the March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.According to futures data on September 15, overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.On September 15th, Pop Mart (09992.HK) plunged nearly 9% on Monday, its biggest drop since April, hitting its lowest level in over a month, after JPMorgan Chase downgraded its rating to neutral, citing a "lack of catalysts and unattractive valuation." This followed social media posts pointing to weak demand for its new "SKULLPANDA" product, and JPMorgans downgrade heightened market concerns about waning popularity. JPMorgan analysts Kevin Yin and others stated in a report: "Current valuations already reflect perfect expectations. Any minor fundamental disappointment or negative media coverage (such as falling pre-owned prices or third-party licensing issues) could trigger a share price decline." Although the stock has still risen over 180% this year, its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is now close to 23 times.On September 15th, the market generally expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, but uncertainty remained about the direction of the policy once it was implemented. Marc Giannoni, Barclays chief US economist, stated that with inflation remaining subdued, the FOMC will judge that downside risks to achieving its employment goals are increasing. He added that the Feds economic projections remained largely unchanged, but the dot plot indicated three rate cuts (each 25 basis points) this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term interest rate forecast remained unchanged at 3.0%.

S&P 500 Gains 0.4%, Hits Fresh Three-month Highs Above 4,300 Despite China Growth Worries

Skylar Shaw

Aug 16, 2022 14:58

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Despite concerns about China's growth, indices rise

Major US equity indexes were protected from worries about the future for global economic growth on Monday in the aftermath of dismal July economic activity statistics out of China during the overnight session by a decline in US treasury rates, which boosted rate-sensitive large tech/growth firms. The People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, unexpectedly slashed interest rates to relieve financial conditions in response to the negative economic indicators for China.


A slowdown in China's growth might help quell the inflationary pressures that have compelled the Fed to tighten monetary policy aggressively this year. It could also result in a slowdown in US growth that could discourage future major tightening. Analysts said that recent data that 1) revealed that US pricing pressures had now peaked and 2) indicated that the US economy was still expanding in early Q3 as well as 3) recent better-than-expected company results were all encouraging for stock prices for US equities.


The S&P 500 finished the trading day on Monday up around 0.4%, crossing the 4,300 mark for the first time since May 4 and bringing its run of gains from the lows in the low 3,700s in July to almost 15%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.45% to reach its 200-Day Moving Average for the first time since April 21. The Nasdaq 100 index increased by 0.75% to reach its highest level since late-April in the 13,600s.

Investors Prepare for Heavyweight Retailor Earnings and US Retail Sales Data

Energy, one of the eleven S&P 500 GICS sectors, had the poorest performance, dropping 2.0% after a steep decline in oil prices due to worries about China's consumption. Other than the materials industry, industrial metals prices saw a significant decline. The consumer staples (+1.05%), consumer discretionary (+0.6%), and information technology (+0.6%) sectors outperformed all other sectors in terms of growth. Tesla was the top-performing large-cap stock, gaining 3.1%.


The retail industry will be in the spotlight this week due to 1) the publication of the US Retail Sales numbers for July on Wednesday and 2) the profits from industry giants including Walmart, Target, and Home Depot. Along with a number of other tier 2 data releases this week, including the regional PMIs for August, which will provide an early indication of how the US economy is doing this month, the minutes from the Fed's July policy meeting are also scheduled to be released on Wednesday.

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