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S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Fails at the 200-Day EMA

Skylar Shaw

Jan 13, 2023 15:57

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Following the release of the consistent CPI statistics, the S&P 500 E-mini contract crossed over the 200-Day EMA during early trading on Thursday. Because the results were as anticipated, speculators are beginning to wager that the Federal Reserve would only increase interest rates by 25 basis points. The looming economic downturn is a fact, therefore over the long run, it is likely to have more of an impact than anything else.


However, the technical barrier has persisted, and traders have responded accordingly. This market is likely to look for the 50-Day EMA, which is close to the 3910 level, if we break down below the daily range. That is highly likely in this situation since volatility is increasing. The 4000 level and the downtrend line just above it will be the next significant obstacles if we do rise from here.


The S&P 500 may very well surge into the 4200 mark if we were to break above that downtrend line.


Although I don't necessarily support it, I can see how it may be done. If everything remained the same, I believe the 50-Day EMA being retested is likely far more probable. The bottom will almost certainly fall out if we break through that level, enabling the S&P 500 E-mini contract to once again dip down to the 3800 level. Giving up on it would obviously be extremely bad and possibly result in a lot of liquidation since that region has had enormous support.

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