S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 E-mini Testing a Major Trend Line

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Following the release of the PCE statistics, which showed a 0.3% month over month increase, the S&P 500 E-mini contract had some bumpy trading on Thursday. As we test the big downtrend line that we have been heading toward for some time, the market is still still likely to experience significant volatility.

Additionally, you should keep in mind that the Friday release of the jobs report will undoubtedly have an impact on this market and may lead to significant volatility. Pullbacks at this time make some sense, but if that number is a little disappointing, we might potentially see a significant breakout.

The 200-Day EMA, which is currently at the level of 4024, ought to provide dynamic support. I believe it is highly likely that we would decline to the 3950 level if we were to break down below that level.

Remember that we might be witnessing the start of the "Santa Claus rally," which occurs at the end of the year when money managers attempt to sell their books to make up for mistakes made over the year. It is still up for debate as to whether or not it will actually transpire because it is not required.

Jerome Powell played a significant role in yesterday's events because of his speech's balance, which Wall Street naturally saw as being exceptionally dovish. We've seen this before, and usually what happens is that US markets will rise briefly before falling back again.