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Market news: The Trump administration has canceled emissions credits from the Environmental Protection Agency for vehicles equipped with start-stop technology, ending a program designed to incentivize automakers to install fuel-saving systems that shut off the engine when stopped at red lights.February 16th - Analysts predict Asian stocks will rise on Monday after recent selling pressure in US stocks eased and inflation data supported expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this year. Japanese and Australian stock index futures also foreshadow gains. In early Sydney trading, the US dollar was largely unchanged against major currencies. The calm in the market suggests overall risk sentiment is supported after several weeks of declines in the S&P 500, driven by concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence on industries ranging from software to logistics.On February 16th, according to the Financial Times, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer warned Elon Musk and other tech executives that in the UK, "no platform has a passport" when it comes to illegal content. This comes as the Prime Minister is tightening online safety regulations following a scandal involving xAIs Grok chatbot. The government stated it will seek the power to "act swiftly" to close legal loopholes, explicitly bringing AI chatbots such as Grok, Googles Gemini, and OpenAIs ChatGPT under the jurisdiction of the Cybersecurity Act, alongside social media platforms like Instagram and TikTok. Starmer cited Musks AI company xAI and its Grok chatbot (which was used this year to generate pornographic images of women and children, triggering an investigation by the UK communications regulator Ofcom) as an example, saying, "Our actions with Grok send a clear message: no platform has a passport."Conflict Status: 1. A Ukrainian drone strike in Luhansk injured 19 people. 2. Russian forces claim they have taken control of 12 settlements previously held by Ukrainian forces this month. 3. Ukrainian military: Attacked the Taman oil terminal in Russias Krasnodar region. 4. Russian forces stated they have occupied the village of Tsvetkove in Ukraines Zaporizhzhia region. 5. The local governor stated that the port of Taman in Russias Krasnodar region was attacked by drones. Oil storage tanks, warehouses, and the dock at Taman port were damaged in the attack. Peace Negotiations: 1. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister: Russia is willing to discuss with the US and other parties the introduction of an external governance mechanism to Ukraine. 2. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kalas: It seems EU countries are not yet ready to give Ukraine a specific date for joining the EU. February 16th - On February 15th local time, Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó posted on his personal social media that, due to Ukraines continued suspension of transit transport through the "Friendship" oil pipeline, Hungary and Slovakia have sought assistance from Croatia, hoping to transport Russian crude oil via the "Adriatic" pipeline. Szijjártó stated that Hungary and Slovakia had previously secured the right to continue purchasing cheap Russian crude oil through the "Friendship" pipeline, and this sanction exemption also includes the option of purchasing Russian crude oil by sea if transit via the pipeline becomes unfeasible.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 E-mini Contract Sits on 50-Day EMA

Alice Wang

Dec 13, 2022 17:28


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Since a few days ago, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been trading on the 50-Day, and Monday was no exception. We are currently squeezed between the 200-Day EMA above and the 50-Day EMA below. You can see from this chart that the 50-Day EMA might enter the picture and provide some support, but we still need to get through a few big announcements in the coming days.


The Consumer Price Index, which will be released on Tuesday, will be the first one. Inflation is monitored closely by the central bankers in the United States, making it a highly significant indicator. Following that, we have the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, which will undoubtedly have an impact of its own. The ECB must now be taken into consideration, even if it will have less of an impact than the Fed at this stage.


We must now begin to worry about liquidity at this stage. Fund managers may use some window dressing at the end of the year to attempt to convince all of their customers that they possess the proper assets, but there will also be buyback blackouts, which will prevent businesses from repurchasing their own stock. In that case, a significant stock buyer may have just left.


Because of this, I believe that the possibility of a move lower than higher is greater than it is for a move higher. However, as of right now, I don't believe that there will be a significant move between now and New Year's Day.

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