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June 28 - Neuberger portfolio manager Joseph Purtell said, "In the short term, the dollar is likely to remain strong due to rising US real interest rates." He believes the dollar is poised to break out of its six- to nine-month range, but added that in the long term, the dollar may weaken given structural issues such as the fiscal sustainability of the US government.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a magnitude 6 earthquake off the east coast of Honshu, Japan.On June 28th, Gavekal Research stated in a report: "In 2025, the market is widely concerned that Trump will weaken the independence of US monetary policy, nominate a political puppet as Federal Reserve Chairman, force the Fed to cut interest rates, and cause inflation to remain persistently above the Feds 2% target." "Developments over the past seven months have made this scenario unlikely." These developments include the appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed and the re-election of 11 of the 12 regional Fed presidents. At Warshs first meeting earlier this month, the Fed emphasized its commitment to price stability, surprising some market participants who had expected a more dovish stance from the new chairman.On June 28, US President Donald Trump nominated Lance Schroyer to be the new Director of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Trump stated that Schroyer, a former Oklahoma State Trooper and US Marine, has extensive experience working with ICE and is adept at combating illegal immigration and deporting undocumented immigrants. Trump also urged the Senate to confirm Schroyers nomination as soon as possible.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a 5.6-magnitude earthquake off the coast of Aragua, Venezuela.

S&P 500 Analysis: Santa Rally Coming to Town?

Eric Stanberg

Dec 23, 2022 16:20

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A Santa Rally is what?

Market analysts sometimes use the phrase "Santa Rally" to refer to either the full month of December or a much longer time frame.


The last week of December and the first two trading days of the new year are really referred to by this phrase. Markets gain value at that point.


According to research, the S&P 500 has seen a positive return over this particular 7-day span 79% of the time. No other comparable time frame has a greater likelihood of being higher.


It goes without saying that seasonality and calendar theories are not a certain technique to generate money since it is difficult to foresee the market conditions in any particular year.


However, the January impact, in which institutional investors put up positions for the next weeks as they get ready for the new year, may also be advantageous.


These kinds of investors could also rearrange their portfolios in order to close out losses from tax losses in December and then buy again in January.

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