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June 17th - The Federal Reserve will announce its first interest rate decision this Wednesday under the leadership of new Chairman Kevin Warsh. What he says and doesnt say will provide clues to the market, offering a glimpse into the Feds communication style he promises to change. Market observers will closely watch the wording of the post-meeting statement and any stylistic adjustments the new chairman may make. They also want to know if Warsh intends to continue holding post-meeting press conferences. Furthermore, it is expected that Warsh will push forward several reforms he has previously promised, including reducing the Feds balance sheet and refocusing the Fed on monetary policy. James Grant, editor of Grant Interest Rate Watch, believes that Warsh should confront and clean up the most unsavory aspects of the Feds own finances. He also suggests storing some gold in the Feds underground vaults to make it look more respectable. The Fed currently does not hold any gold. Grant also stated that if the Treasury stopped covering the Feds losses, it would have gone out of business long ago; the Fed is effectively insolvent. A closer look reveals that the Federal Reserves losses on fixed-income assets and bonds far exceed the amount it lists on its shareholders equity books.On June 17, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that the oil supply shock in the Gulf region is expected to cause a significant drop in global oil demand before oil supplies in the Strait of Hormuz gradually normalize, with supply projected to rebound to 8 million barrels per day by 2027. The IEA noted that while the interim agreement to be signed this week by the US and Iran represents the most significant breakthrough in negotiations since the outbreak of the war, a full restoration of supplies through this vital waterway is expected to take several months. The organization now projects that global oil demand will decline by 1.1 million barrels per day this year due to high oil prices and severe supply disruptions, compared to a previous forecast of a 420,000 barrel per day decline. With the normalization of trade, lower oil prices, and an improved economic outlook, demand is expected to rebound to 2 million barrels per day next year. The IEA stated, "While the details of the agreement are still pending clarification and several issues remain unresolved, this is an encouraging step forward. However, a full restoration will not happen overnight, as mines need to be cleared from major shipping lanes and supply chains will need time to return to normal."Intel (INTC.O) shares rose 5.2% in pre-market trading as the companys new manufacturing technology entered the initial production phase.On June 17th, the Shanghai Stock Exchange announced that companies producing large-scale AI models will be eligible for the fifth set of listing standards for the Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market). Issuers should hold a prominent and leading position in the field of large-scale AI models, occupy an important position in the industry chain, play a leading and exemplary role in the industry, and gain high recognition from relevant market players. The issuers large-scale AI model business or products should have a clear target market with significant current or potential demand, outstanding competitive advantages in R&D progress and key indicators, a large market space, and strong future growth potential. Issuers should formulate clear commercialization plans for their large-scale AI model business or products. Issuers should not have any matters that could have a significant adverse impact on their ability to continue operating, such as insufficient commercialization expectations for their large-scale model business or products.The Hang Seng Index closed down 181.79 points, or 0.74%, at 24,312.16 on Wednesday, June 17; the Hang Seng Tech Index closed up 10.42 points, or 0.22%, at 4,669.07 on Wednesday, June 17; the H-share Index closed down 96.02 points, or 1.17%, at 8,144.03 on Wednesday, June 17; and the Red Chip Index closed down 78.32 points, or 1.84%, at 4,171.83 on Wednesday, June 17.

Recognize Fundamental Analysis

Drake Hampton

Mar 23, 2022 18:00

What Is Fundamental Analysis in Forex?

Fundamental analysis is critical in the realm of finance since it is used to value anything from corporate shares to real estate. It is a major technique for currency traders to investigate the underlying causes of seemingly random exchange rate changes.

 

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Fundamental Analysis of the Forex Market

Fundamental analysis is the process of dissecting the influence of political, economic, and social variables on a currency's relative value. Forex traders may therefore make educated trading decisions by recognizing the major drivers of a currency's inherent value.

How To Acquire Knowledge Of Fundamental Analysis

To begin learning fundamental analysis, one must first reduce noise. Concentrate your research on three primary topics.

Economics introductory

Economic variables frequently have an effect on the relative value of foreign currencies. Knowing when official reports are given to the public is crucial to trading forex properly.

Banks centrales

Interest rate modifications, debt purchases, and currency pegs can all have a significant effect on FX prices. If you are going to trade currencies, it is critical to remain current on central bank operations.

Politics

Uncertainty in the capital markets is generated by trade policies, military conflict, and leadership transitions. Taking these difficulties into account when they develop is a critical component of forex fundamental analysis. The cornerstones of forex fundamental analysis include an understanding of how economics, monetary policy, and politics may affect investor confidence. Raising your trading IQ in these areas is an excellent first step toward being a fundamentals proficient trader. 

Analyses Technical vs. Fundamental

Forex market analysis is classified into two types: fundamental and technical. Technical analysis examines how prices move; fundamental analysis examines what causes price movement.

 

When contrasting technical and fundamental analysis, keep in mind that the optimal analytical foundation for your trading techniques is determined by your resources and objectives. Fundamentals are likely to take precedence if you are a long-term investor. On the other hand, if scalping is your game, technical analysis may be more beneficial.

Inflation's Effects

Inflation is a critical factor in determining the value of a currency and the conduct of monetary policy. A price rise is described as an increase in the cost of products and services. Inflationary pressures harm price stability and exacerbate socioeconomic conflicts in impacted regions.

 

To control inflation effectively, it is important to first detect its presence. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index are two of the most often used indicators in this field (PPI). Each research examines inflation from either the consumer or producer perspective.

Fundamental And Technical Analysis Combined To Create A Hybrid Strategy

Combining fundamental and technical data into a hybrid trading approach is one technique to improve success. A hybrid strategy is one that includes both basic and technical aspects into a larger framework.

 

For example, traders frequently integrate leading economic data with market technicals when making trading decisions. The effects can be significant, since well-rounded trading concepts encourage a holistic approach to markets.

Forex Signals - What Are They?

Forex signals are indicators to purchase or sell a certain currency pair at a specified moment. They can be developed from technical or fundamental research and can become an important component of virtually any trading strategy.

 

Forex signals are either freely accessible or purchased from third-party sellers. They can also be custom-built. The primary advantage of adopting forex signals is that it eliminates the guesswork associated with active trading; you buy or sell in response to the signal, without regard for emotion or hesitancy.