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Barclays expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and December, compared to previous forecasts of cuts in March and June.JPMorgan Chase no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026, after previously anticipating a 25 basis point cut in January. JPMorgan Chase now expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points in the third quarter of 2027.January 12th - Driven by strong Black Friday sales, Australian household spending in November 2025 is projected to rise 1.0% month-on-month. Citigroup stated that, given the increased spending, it has revised its fourth-quarter 2025 household consumption growth forecast upwards to 1.5% from 1.0% (the previous forecast was already high). Citigroup economist Faraz Said added that quarterly GDP growth may far exceed the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) expectations. Therefore, Citigroup maintains its previous assessment that the RBA will need to raise interest rates in February and May.The Hang Seng Index rose over 1% in the afternoon session, with Alibaba Health (00241.HK) leading the gains among constituent stocks, rising over 8%. The Hang Seng Tech Index is currently up 2.17%.January 12th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices fell during the session, with the market exhibiting volatile trading as it digests the clearly overbought condition on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), especially given the negative signals from related indicators. Currently, prices are accumulating bullish momentum, which may help prices rise again. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures remain under dynamic support, with prices trading above the 50-day EMA, further enhancing the likelihood of a price rebound in the near future.

Oil declines more as recession fears deepen

Haiden Holmes

Jun 23, 2022 11:28


Oil prices fell 2% in early trade on Thursday, extending losses from the previous session, as investors were concerned that aggressive U.S. interest rate hikes may trigger a recession and cut gasoline use.


U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures declined $2.39, or 2.3%, to $103.80 a barrel at 00:00 GMT. Brent oil prices sank $2.24, or 2.0 percent , to $109.50 a barrel.


On Wednesday, both indexes dropped about 3 percent, reaching their lowest levels since mid-May.


Investors continue to assess the degree to which they should be concerned about the likelihood of a global economic recession as central banks attempt to manage inflation through interest rate rises.


"Oil markets remained under pressure as investors concerned that rising U.S. interest rates will hinder the economic recovery and reduce gasoline demand," said Kazuhiko Saito, head analyst at Fujitomi Securities Co Ltd.


"U.S. and European hedge funds have begun selling their positions ahead of the end of the second quarter, further lowering market sentiment," he continued, predicting that the WTI might go below $100 per barrel before the July 4 holiday in the United States.


Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, emphasized on Wednesday that the Fed is not aiming to engineer a recession in order to battle inflation, but is fully dedicated to bringing prices under control, even if doing so risks a recession.


In the meanwhile, U.S. President Joe Biden urged Congress to suspend the federal gasoline tax for three months to combat record pump prices and provide American customers with temporary relief this summer.


Sato of Fujitomi stated, "Even if the gasoline tax was suspended, retail prices would remain high, making it hard to increase demand."


The U.S. Energy Information Administration has delayed the release of its weekly oil figures until at least the next week due to system issues. Originally, the figures were scheduled to be disclosed on Thursday.