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On April 26, according to the Wall Street Journal, in order to simplify the negotiations on reciprocal tariffs, US negotiating officials plan to use a new framework developed by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), which lists major categories of negotiations, such as tariffs and quotas, non-tariff trade barriers, digital trade, product origin principles, economic security and other commercial issues. In these categories, US officials will put forward specific requirements for individual countries, but people familiar with the matter emphasized that this document may also be adjusted at any time. People familiar with the matter said that the United States initial plan is to negotiate with 18 major trading partners in turn over the next two months. The initial plan is to alternately participate in the talks with six countries per week for three weeks (six countries in the first week, another six countries in the second week, and another six countries in the third week) until the deadline of July 8. If US President Trump does not extend the 90-day suspension period he set by then, those countries that cannot reach an agreement will begin to face reciprocal tariffs.On April 26, after the United States announced additional tariffs on goods from many countries, Peruvian business people expressed concerns that the US governments extreme measures would disrupt the global trade order and may even trigger a global economic recession. Alvaro Barrenechea Chavez, vice president of the Peruvian-Chinese Chamber of Commerce, said that the negative impact of the US tariff policy has begun to emerge and hoped that the US government would rethink. Recognizing the importance of countries working together to promote development, I think this is the best way to become a true "world citizen."Market news: Musks xAI company plans to raise about US$20 billion in a financing round.Conflict situation: 1. Ukrainian top commander: Russia tried to use air strikes as a cover to increase ground attacks, but was repelled by Ukraine. 2. Ukrainian Air Force: Russia launched more than 103 drones in the night attack on Ukraine. 3. Local officials said Ukraine launched an attack in the Belgorod region of Russia, killing two people. 4. The local governor said that Russia launched an attack on the Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine, killing one person and injuring eight people. Peace talks: 1. Trump: ① The situation between Russia and Ukraine is gradually becoming clear, and they are "very close" to reaching an agreement. ② Ukraine is unlikely to join NATO. ③ Ukraine has not yet signed the rare earth agreement and hopes that the agreement can be signed immediately. ④ It is foreseeable that the United States will conduct commercial cooperation with Ukraine and Russia after reaching an agreement. 2. Russian Foreign Minister: Russia is "ready to reach an agreement on Ukraine." 3. Russian Presidential Assistant Ushakov: Russia and the United States will continue to maintain active dialogue. 4. Russian Presidential Assistant: Putin discussed the possibility of resuming direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine with the US envoy. 5. The differences between the United States, Europe and Ukraine are clear. The documents show that European countries and Ukraine have raised objections to some of the US proposals to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. 6. Market news: As part of the peace agreement, the United States asked Russian President Putin to abandon the demilitarization requirement. Other situations: 1. President of Hungarys OTP Bank: We hope to return to all business areas in Russia after the (Russia-Ukraine) conflict ends. 2. Ukrainian President Zelensky: US ground forces are not necessary for Ukraine. 3. Trump said Crimea will remain in Russia, Zelensky: Never recognize it. Agreeing with Trumps view, Crimea cannot be recovered by force. 4. NATO Secretary-General Rutte met with Trump and senior US officials to discuss defense spending, NATO summit, and the Ukrainian conflict.Rising global trade risks, overall policy uncertainty and the sustainability of U.S. debt top the list of potential risks to the U.S. financial system, according to the Federal Reserves latest financial stability report released on Friday. This is the first time the Fed has conducted a semi-annual survey on financial risks since Trump returned to the White House. 73% of respondents said that global trade risks are their biggest concern, more than double the proportion reported in November. Half of the respondents believe that overall policy uncertainty is the most worrying issue, an increase from the same period last year. The survey also found that issues related to recent market turmoil have received more attention, with 27% of respondents worried about the functioning of the U.S. Treasury market, up from 17% last fall. Foreign withdrawals from U.S. assets and the value of the dollar have also risen on the list of concerns.

Oil Prices Soar on Word That Germany Relaxes Objection to Russian Oil Embargo

Aria Thomas

Apr 29, 2022 09:28

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Traders were reacting to media reports that Germany's Economy Minister Robert Habeck stated Tuesday that the EU's largest economy could survive an EU embargo on Russian oil imports and that Germany hoped to find alternative sources of supplies.


By 1:38 p.m. EDT, Brent crude futures had risen $1.89 to $107.21 a barrel (1838 GMT). West Texas Intermediate crude in the United States increased $2.61, or 2.6 percent, to $104.63.


Germany is significantly reliant on Russian energy supplies and had previously resisted a complete embargo.


Prior to the Ukraine war, Russia supplied nearly a third of Germany's oil. Habeck announced a month ago that the government had reduced its reliance on Russian oil to 25% of imports.


"As a result, oil from the free world will become more expensive, while oil from the Iron Curtain will lose even more value and become more heavily discounted," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC in New York.


Moscow has begun to use energy exports as a stick in reaction to the US and its allies' response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.


Russia has cut off gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria and is attempting to convince the EU to adopt its new gas payment system, which entails creating accounts with Gazprombank and converting payments in euros or dollars to roubles.


Russian oil production could decrease by as much as 17% in 2022, according to a document seen by Reuters from the economy ministry, as the country deals with Western sanctions.


Despite this anticipated shortage, sources told Reuters that the OPEC+ group of producers, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, is set to maintain its modest pace of output growth when it meets on May 5.


The US dollar climbed to its highest level in two decades on Thursday, aided by weakening in the currency's biggest rivals, including the yen and euro. A higher dollar is typically detrimental to oil prices that are denominated in the greenback, as it increases the cost of the commodity to holders of other currencies.


Beijing shuttered certain public venues and increased COVID-19 checks in others as the majority of the city's 22 million citizens conducted additional mass testing in an attempt to avert a Shanghai-style shutdown. The latest shutdown has caused disruptions to industry and supply systems, heightening concerns about the country's economic progress.


Sinopec (NYSE:SHI) Corp, Asia's largest oil refiner, expects demand for refined oil products to recover in the second quarter as COVID-19 outbreaks are gradually brought under control.


Global economy slowing as a result of increasing commodity prices and an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war might exacerbate fears about oil demand.

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