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Samsung Electronics: System LSI business revenue hit a record high in the first half of the year.Samsung Electronics: Profits are expected to continue to grow in the second half of the year.On July 30th, Huatai Macro Research Report stated that the FOMCs decision to hold rates steady in July somewhat eroded the Feds credibility, leading to rising inflation expectations and higher long-term interest rates. We believe the probability of a Fed rate hike in September remains high. The unexpectedly hawkish FOMC meeting in June resulted in tighter financial conditions, lower inflation expectations, and increased Fed credibility. However, with energy prices rising again, the market may have begun pricing in Warshs claim of zero tolerance for inflation as mere rhetoric. The subsequent rise in inflation expectations and long-term yields suggests that the Feds credibility may have been somewhat eroded. We reiterate our baseline forecast of a high probability of a September rate hike, 1-2 rate hikes this year, and 2 rate hikes before mid-next year. The risks remain: ① Warsh may have been merely bluffing; ② The AI boom may abruptly end, leading to tighter financial conditions and making a rate hike unnecessary. Pay attention to the July-August employment/inflation data and Warshs Jackson Hole speech on August 27th.Samsung Electronics reported a net profit of 71.3 trillion won for the second quarter, compared to market expectations of 68.5 trillion won. The chip divisions operating profit for the second quarter was 89.2 trillion won.On July 30th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices rose nearly 7% on Wednesday. As large-scale airstrikes reignited in the Middle East, market hopes for an impending end to the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran were dashed; meanwhile, US government data showed domestic crude oil inventories had fallen to multi-year lows, exacerbating concerns about supply reductions. UBS analyst Giovanni Staúnovo stated that the renewed military strikes in the Middle East and Iranian officials reiterating their intention to control shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz (despite a significant reduction in oil flow through the strait) further pushed up oil prices. On Wednesday, the US and Saudi Arabia launched strikes against Iranian-backed groups in Iraq, accusing them of drone attacks on Saudi oil facilities. Hours earlier, the US military announced it had successfully thwarted an Iranian raid targeting US forces in the region. Iran, in turn, stated it fired on ships in the Strait of Hormuz and US bases in Jordan.

Oil Prices Rise As China Relaxes COVID Controls And Supplies Tighten

Charlie Brooks

Jun 07, 2022 11:04

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China's easing of COVID restrictions and skepticism over the efficacy of a higher production goal by OPEC+ countries contributed to a slight increase in oil prices on Tuesday.


Brent oil futures were up 19 cents, or 0.2 percent , at $119.70 a barrel at 0050 GMT.


Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil increased 25 cents, or 0.2%, to $118.75 a barrel. Monday saw the index reach a three-month high of $120.99.


In the following weeks, researchers at ANZ Research anticipate that easing travel restrictions in China would increase oil consumption.


Beijing and the business capital Shanghai have returned to normal in recent days after two months of harsh lockdowns to prevent the spread of the Omicron strain. In the majority of Beijing on Monday, traffic restrictions were eased and restaurants opened for dine-in service.


Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, increased the official selling price (OSP) for its flagship Arab light crude to Asia by $2.10 from June to a $6.50 premium over Oman/Dubai quotes in July, just below the all-time high recorded in May, when prices reached an all-time high due to fears of disruptions in Russian supplies.


The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners, collectively referred to as OPEC+, voted last week to increase production for July and August by 648,000 barrels per day, or 50 percent more than had been originally anticipated.


All OPEC+ members contributed to the enhanced objective. Nonetheless, several countries, particularly Russia, which faces Western sanctions, have little space to increase production.


"While the new higher monthly objectives continue to be driven by proportionate contributions from all members (including Russia), it is implausible to anticipate an increase close to the headline level," said SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes in a note.


According to a preliminary Reuters poll released on Monday, crude oil stocks in the United States likely declined last week, but gasoline and distillate stockpiles likely rose.