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December 4th - For many emerging market currencies in Asia, the widely anticipated December rate cut by the Federal Reserve may be timely. The Feds easing of monetary policy will help alleviate downward pressure on the Indian rupee and provide a breather for weaker currencies such as Indonesia, South Korea, and the Philippines. This week, the rupee fell below 90 against the dollar for the first time, while the South Korean won has fallen by more than 4% this quarter. Wee Khoon Chong, Asia Pacific market strategist at BNY Mellon, said, "Further easing by the Fed is likely to support Asian currencies overall." He stated that regional currencies with strong growth momentum and sound fiscal policies, such as the South Korean won, are likely to perform best. On the other hand, he noted that the Indian rupee still faces negative factors including high US tariffs and downside risks to growth, while the Philippine peso will be dragged down by the central banks easing bias. TS Lombard strategists Daniel von Ahlen and Andrea Cicione wrote, "Now is the time to go long on Asian currencies."Korean chip stocks were led by Hanmi Semiconductor, with its share price falling 4.4% to 116,100 won.December 4th - According to Reuters, three Japanese government sources said the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to raise interest rates in December, and the government is expected to tolerate this decision. The sources said the BOJ appears prepared to raise its policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, a signal echoed by Governor Kazuo Ueda in his speech on Monday. This would be the first rate hike since January. One source said, "If the BOJ wants to raise rates this month, let them decide. Thats the governments position." He added that a rate hike this month is almost certain. Ueda stated on Monday that the BOJ would consider the "pros and cons" of a rate hike this month, indicating a high probability of a rate increase at its December 18-19 meeting. These comments have led the market to price in an approximately 80% probability of a December rate hike, although some market participants are watching how the dovish government of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi might react. Market focus may shift to the BOJs wording regarding the ultimate extent to which it will raise rates, a topic on which Ueda remains ambiguous.December 4th - Hong Kong Investment Corporation (HKIC) released its 2024 annual report today, showing that as of June 30, 2025, every HK$1 invested by HKIC has attracted over HK$6 in long-term market capital. In the past two years, two of its portfolio companies have already listed in Hong Kong, and more than ten others submitted listing applications earlier this year. Among these companies, five were already unicorns before their IPOs, forming a "tiered reservoir" and achieving a virtuous cycle. HKIC CEO Chen Jiaqi stated that in 2025, the company will further deepen its involvement and progress, including leading new investment rounds, to help these companies seize market opportunities and "go global."Sources say the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in December, and the Japanese government is likely to tolerate it.

Oil Jumps 1% As Libyan Outages Add to Russia Supply Concerns

Charlie Brooks

Apr 19, 2022 09:32

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Libya's National Oil Corp announced Monday that "a painful wave of closures" had started at its facilities and declared force majeure at the Al-Sharara oilfield and other locations, adding to supply strains caused by Russia's sanctions.


"With global supplies becoming more scarce, even the smallest disturbance is going to have a disproportionate effect on pricing," said Jeffrey Halley, an analyst at brokerage OANDA.


Brent oil, the international standard, increased $1.46, or 1.3 percent, to $113.16 a barrel. The contract reached a record high of $114.84 per barrel on March 28.


US West Texas Intermediate crude oil increased $1.26, or 1.2 percent, to $108.21 a barrel. The benchmark price reached $109.81 per barrel, its highest level since March 28.


Further supply losses are possible. Russian output fell 7.5% in the first half of April compared to March, Interfax said Friday, and EU countries announced last week that the bloc's executive was formulating recommendations to ban Russian oil.


These remarks were made prior to an escalation in the Ukraine conflict. Ukrainian officials said that missiles targeted Lviv early Monday and explosions shook other towns as Russian troops continued their bombing campaign after their near-complete control of the Mariupol port.


In a pessimistic warning for prices, China's economy slowed in March, dimming first-quarter growth figures and aggravating an already bleak outlook due to COVID-19 restrictions.


China processed 2% less oil in March than a year before, with throughput dropping to its lowest level since October as rising crude prices pinched profits and tight lockdowns decreased demand.


In March, oil prices soared to their highest level since 2008, with Brent briefly exceeding $134.


"There is still some uncertainty about whether they would reopen their economy, so we are seeing conflicting signals from China this morning," Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn said.