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Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures group: There seems to be some profit-taking in the oil market due to concerns that OPEC will increase production by more than expected.July 5, Swissquote senior market analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya: The preference for the US dollar is weakening. First, concerns about US debt are rising, and second, the preference for US debt is facing risks. Another reason is that the tariff situation and trade disruptions will have a negative impact on US economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may not be able to support the economy when inflation risks rise.July 5th news: On July 4th local time, a federal judge in the United States briefly halted the Trump administrations plan to deport eight immigrants to South Sudan in order to buy time for their lawyers to state their claims in a Massachusetts court.On July 5, institutional analyst Javier Blas said that OPEC+ representatives are discussing a fourth consecutive increase of 411,000 barrels per day, but there is also the possibility of a "slightly larger" increase. According to the increased UAE quota, OPEC+ will return about 2.5 million barrels per day of production to the market. So far, about 1.4 million barrels per day have been returned (one increase of 138,000 barrels per day and three increases of 411,000 barrels per day). Next, the remaining increase may be divided into three monthly increases (two 411,000 barrels per day and one about 275,000 barrels per day). But it is also possible to accelerate the increase in production and make two increases of about 550,000 barrels per day.French President Emmanuel Macron: Airbus and Malaysia Airlines have reached a "historic" cooperation agreement. (Previously, AirAsia Bhd. reached a preliminary agreement with Airbus to purchase up to 70 Airbus SE extended-range jets, a transaction valued at $12.3 billion.)

Oil Jumps 1% As Libyan Outages Add to Russia Supply Concerns

Charlie Brooks

Apr 19, 2022 09:32

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Libya's National Oil Corp announced Monday that "a painful wave of closures" had started at its facilities and declared force majeure at the Al-Sharara oilfield and other locations, adding to supply strains caused by Russia's sanctions.


"With global supplies becoming more scarce, even the smallest disturbance is going to have a disproportionate effect on pricing," said Jeffrey Halley, an analyst at brokerage OANDA.


Brent oil, the international standard, increased $1.46, or 1.3 percent, to $113.16 a barrel. The contract reached a record high of $114.84 per barrel on March 28.


US West Texas Intermediate crude oil increased $1.26, or 1.2 percent, to $108.21 a barrel. The benchmark price reached $109.81 per barrel, its highest level since March 28.


Further supply losses are possible. Russian output fell 7.5% in the first half of April compared to March, Interfax said Friday, and EU countries announced last week that the bloc's executive was formulating recommendations to ban Russian oil.


These remarks were made prior to an escalation in the Ukraine conflict. Ukrainian officials said that missiles targeted Lviv early Monday and explosions shook other towns as Russian troops continued their bombing campaign after their near-complete control of the Mariupol port.


In a pessimistic warning for prices, China's economy slowed in March, dimming first-quarter growth figures and aggravating an already bleak outlook due to COVID-19 restrictions.


China processed 2% less oil in March than a year before, with throughput dropping to its lowest level since October as rising crude prices pinched profits and tight lockdowns decreased demand.


In March, oil prices soared to their highest level since 2008, with Brent briefly exceeding $134.


"There is still some uncertainty about whether they would reopen their economy, so we are seeing conflicting signals from China this morning," Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn said.