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On January 31st, OCBC strategist Christopher Wong stated that golds price action "confirms the adage a sharp rise is inevitably followed by a sharp fall." He believes that while Warshs nomination as Fed Chair was the trigger, a correction was already inevitable. "Its like one of the excuses the market has been waiting for—to liquidate those parabolic price movements." Precious metals had already paved the way for sharp fluctuations, as soaring prices and volatility put pressure on traders risk models and balance sheets. Goldman Sachs noted in a report that the record wave of call option buying also "mechanically reinforced the upward momentum," as sellers of these options hedged against rising prices by buying more metal.On January 31, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grushko stated that the best guarantee for Ukraines security is a concrete guarantee of Russias security, a guarantee that no one in the West has offered. He emphasized, "If we believe that Ukrainian territory will not be used as a bridgehead threatening Russias security, then Ukraines security will also be guaranteed." The Russian Foreign Ministry previously stated that any scenario involving NATO member states deploying troops in Ukraine is absolutely unacceptable to Russia and could lead to a sharp escalation of the situation. The Russian Foreign Ministry also stated that statements from Britain and other European countries regarding the possible deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine are incitement to continue the conflict.January 31st - According to Yahoo Finance, Kevin Warsh, President Trumps nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman, appeared in newly released Epstein case documents released by the US government on Friday. The documents show that Warshs name was listed in the email guest list for the "2010 St. Barths Christmas" event, alongside figures such as Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich; he also attended a dinner hosted by British aristocrat William Astor. This revelation occurred on the same day Warsh was nominated for Fed chairman. His main controversy previously stemmed from his relationship with Republican donor Ronald Lauder, who was accused of influencing Trumps interest in Greenland during his first term and holding business interests there. Warsh may now need to address his relationship with Epstein and his 2010 Christmas trip, and there is also speculation that Trumps nomination is related to their shared social circle.January 31 – With the House of Representatives in recess and unable to consider the appropriations bill, the U.S. federal government entered a technical, partial shutdown at midnight local time on January 31. Analysts point out that although the shutdown is expected to be short-lived, it once again highlights the structural predicament of U.S. fiscal politics. In recent years, temporary funding, short-term extensions, and marginal shutdowns have become the norm in congressional budget battles, with government operations frequently hampered by political disagreements. Currently, the market generally believes that the direct impact of this technical shutdown on financial markets and economic operations is limited, but if subsequent congressional negotiations are again stalled, the risk of a prolonged shutdown and a wider impact cannot be ruled out.January 31st - The US government officially began a partial shutdown early this morning local time. This followed the Senates passage of a spending bill to fund most federal government departments, which was then submitted to the House of Representatives for consideration. However, because House members were not in Washington and would not return until Monday (February 2nd), the Senate vote could not prevent a partial government shutdown.

Oil Continues to Decline as Demand Concerns Outweigh OPEC+ Cut

Aria Thomas

Sep 07, 2022 11:02

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On Wednesday, oil prices declined further, wiping away all of the week's gains, as fears over slow crude demand overshadowed what was viewed as a minimal supply cut by OPEC+.


Brent oil futures traded in London declined 0.5% to $92.39 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures declined 0.5% to $86.41 per barrel as of 20:29 ET (00:29 GMT). On Tuesday, both contracts declined by 3% and 2.4%, respectively.


New COVID lockdowns in China look to be the most worrisome factor for crude consumption, considering China's substantial oil imports. The government just extended the lockdown in Chengdu, a city in the southwest of China.


Later in the day, Chinese trade data is anticipated to shed further light on the nation's crude consumption.


In addition, the strength of the U.S. currency due to rising expectations of additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve weighs on oil prices. A rising dollar increases the cost of importing crude, which has a knock-on effect on demand.


Given the recent fall of the rupee and rupiah, major importers like India and Indonesia are already under pressure to reduce their crude demand.


A 100,000-barrel-per-day production cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) was mostly overshadowed by concerns over sluggish demand and a strong dollar. The number represents 0.1% of daily worldwide demand and was largely regarded as symbolic. Even still, oil prices rose momentarily in response to the cut.


Saudi Arabia, the chairman of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), had pledged to maintain petroleum prices by reducing production.


Additional oil production from Russia, which has pledged to expand exports to Asia in reaction to U.S. and European price limitations, is also anticipated to impact crude prices.


As winter approaches, it is anticipated that the demand for U.S. crude oil would decrease as well. However, gasoline demand in the United States has increased in recent weeks as fuel costs have declined.


After Russia cut off a key gas supply to the European Union, a building energy crisis in Europe is projected to raise oil consumption this winter. In the fourth quarter, several members of the bloc are likely to switch to heating oil.