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On June 4th, Investinglive analyst Eamonn Sheridan stated that reports indicate Israel and Lebanon, under US guidance, have reached a framework agreement for a ceasefire, with full-scale talks scheduled to resume the week of June 22nd. However, this is contingent on Hezbollahs complete withdrawal from southern Lebanon. Geopolitical risk premiums in the oil market will likely absorb this headline, largely treating it as already priced in. This Lebanese ceasefire plan, framed by Hezbollahs adherence to the agreement and the establishment of a "pilot zone," is essentially a document aimed at advancing the process, not a final solution. The condition attached to the plan—Hezbollahs complete ceasefire and withdrawal from the Litani River region—is precisely the crux of the failures that led to previous arrangements. The market will note that the next round of substantive negotiations will not take place until the week of June 22nd, three weeks from now. If there is any definite takeaway, it is that this announcement confirms the Lebanese front remains a dynamic and unpredictable factor, rather than a settled situation. At the same time, it does not offer any substantial help in resolving the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, or in alleviating the broader US-Iran conflict that is currently driving up oil prices.U.S. State Department: All parties condemn Irans attacks on countries in the region.On June 4th, US President Trump told reporters at the White House on the 3rd that negotiations between the US and Iran were progressing well and an agreement could be reached by the end of the week. Trump said, "Ive heard the negotiations themselves are going very well, actually quite well… If an agreement is reached, it will likely be announced this weekend." When asked whether the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran would still be in effect after Irans latest attack on Kuwait, Trump said, "Everything happens for a reason," adding that the US military had launched a fairly heavy attack on Iran two nights ago, "so some things happen for a reason, and those reasons usually make some sense." He also said that Irans actions were "not a big deal," and that "we have the situation under control and have quickly nipped it in the bud."According to The Information, Meta Platforms (META.O) plans to charge up to $200 per month for its planned "Hatch" AI agent.Broadcom CEO: The company plans to deliver 10 gigawatts of computing power in 2027, and expects to achieve even greater computing power growth in 2028.

Oil Continues to Decline as Demand Concerns Outweigh OPEC+ Cut

Aria Thomas

Sep 07, 2022 11:02

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On Wednesday, oil prices declined further, wiping away all of the week's gains, as fears over slow crude demand overshadowed what was viewed as a minimal supply cut by OPEC+.


Brent oil futures traded in London declined 0.5% to $92.39 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures declined 0.5% to $86.41 per barrel as of 20:29 ET (00:29 GMT). On Tuesday, both contracts declined by 3% and 2.4%, respectively.


New COVID lockdowns in China look to be the most worrisome factor for crude consumption, considering China's substantial oil imports. The government just extended the lockdown in Chengdu, a city in the southwest of China.


Later in the day, Chinese trade data is anticipated to shed further light on the nation's crude consumption.


In addition, the strength of the U.S. currency due to rising expectations of additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve weighs on oil prices. A rising dollar increases the cost of importing crude, which has a knock-on effect on demand.


Given the recent fall of the rupee and rupiah, major importers like India and Indonesia are already under pressure to reduce their crude demand.


A 100,000-barrel-per-day production cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) was mostly overshadowed by concerns over sluggish demand and a strong dollar. The number represents 0.1% of daily worldwide demand and was largely regarded as symbolic. Even still, oil prices rose momentarily in response to the cut.


Saudi Arabia, the chairman of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), had pledged to maintain petroleum prices by reducing production.


Additional oil production from Russia, which has pledged to expand exports to Asia in reaction to U.S. and European price limitations, is also anticipated to impact crude prices.


As winter approaches, it is anticipated that the demand for U.S. crude oil would decrease as well. However, gasoline demand in the United States has increased in recent weeks as fuel costs have declined.


After Russia cut off a key gas supply to the European Union, a building energy crisis in Europe is projected to raise oil consumption this winter. In the fourth quarter, several members of the bloc are likely to switch to heating oil.