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Market sources indicate that several senior British and European officials are participating in talks between Trumps special envoy and Ukrainian President Zelensky in Kyiv. British National Security Advisor Jonathan Powell is also involved, along with national security advisors from other European countries.1. Monday: ① Data: Germanys July seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month; UKs August Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Switzerlands August seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones September Sentix investor confidence index, Eurozones final Q2 GDP annual rate, Eurozones final Q2 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate; Chinas August foreign exchange reserves. ② Holiday: US and Canadian stock markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day; gold, silver, and oil trading ends early. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Japans July trade balance; Germanys July seasonally adjusted trade balance; Frances July trade balance; US August NFIB small business confidence index, US August New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Chinas August trade balance in US dollars, Chinas August trade balance. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: Chinas August CPI year-on-year; Frances July industrial production month-on-month; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending August 22. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (to September 9) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (to September 9) - bid-to-cover ratio, US API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4; Germanys final August CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone ECB deposit facility rate (to September 10), Eurozone ECB main refinancing rate (to September 10); US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, US August PPI year-on-year rate, US August PPI month-on-month rate, US August existing home sales (annualized), US July wholesale sales month-on-month rate, US EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending September 4; Chinas August M2 money supply year-on-year rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; Apple holds fall product launch event with the theme "Shine New Chapter"; ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech at the Bundesbank official dinner; TSMC releases August 2026 revenue report; ECB President Lagarde holds monetary policy press conference [simultaneous interpretation]. 5. Friday: ① Data: US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4, US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4, US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending September 4; UK July three-month GDP month-on-month rate, UK July manufacturing output month-on-month rate, UK July seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK July industrial production month-on-month rate; Swiss August consumer confidence index; US August unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US August seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US August seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US August unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate, US September one-year inflation rate expectations preliminary value, US September University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary value. ② Events: A new round of domestic refined oil price adjustments will begin; IEA releases monthly oil market report. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending September 11. ② Events: ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech.US President Trump: The imbalance between the Canadian dollar and the US dollar is unacceptable. This situation has persisted for years, but it can no longer be tolerated!Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: The European security advisor will participate in talks on Sunday in Kyiv with the US envoy to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The meeting has begun.On September 6th, according to the Shanxi Economic Daily, on September 4th, the Shanxi Provincial Development and Reform Commission and the Provincial Private Economy Bureau released the third batch of projects recommended to private capital for 2026. It is reported that this batch includes 30 projects with a planned total investment of 30.4 billion yuan and a planned introduction of 14.4 billion yuan of private capital. The projects cover multiple key sectors, including 12 industrial projects (including key industrial chain and supply chain projects), 11 major engineering and infrastructure improvement projects, 2 user-paid franchise projects, and 5 other types of projects.

New Restrictions Test Canadian Shareholder Activism Next Month

Charlie Brooks

Feb 13, 2023 14:04

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A recent rise in Canada's shareholder activism faces a reality check next month when a new law that offers more rights to investors to pick board nominees will be put to the test and could spark more campaigns this year, attorneys warn.


Canada's regulatory climate is ideal for activists, but it has failed to draw large numbers of activists to its shores.


The country has behind the rising trend of activism seen globally, but that could be set to change, lawyers believe. Data from Insightia, a brand of Diligent, revealed that 53 Canadian corporations faced activism campaigns in 2022, a 17.8% increase over the previous year, compared to a 10.6% increase to 511 in the United States.


Last August, Canada updated federal legislation allowing investors to vote 'for' or 'against' any director nominated to a company board. Previously, shareholders could merely vote 'for' a candidate or 'withhold' their vote, meaning a majority was not legally a need.


While not established in law, majority voting was widely implemented by firms in their policy, previous to the change. According to attorneys, directors were not previously required by law to retire if they failed to achieve a majority of "for" votes.


"If I were an activist, this makes things easier," said Heidi Reinhart, partner at Norton Rose Fulbright.


Reinhart said if an investor suddenly calls for a 'against' campaign and collects enough votes, the individual doesn't get elected. "So, I think there will be more focused efforts against specific directors. That gives some leverage to a shareholder," Reinhart remarked.


While the rule change came in August, lawyers note that this is the first proxy season where the amendment will be tested.


Next month, Luxor Capital Group and Sandpiper Group's activist campaigns against Ritchie Bros (NYSE:RBA) Auctioneers and First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), respectively, will be subject to investor scrutiny.


Luxor opposes Ritchie Bros' $6 billion acquisition of IAA (NYSE:IAA) Inc, whereas Sandpiper seeks to restructure the board of First Capital REIT.


After losing an average of 17.23% in 2022, activist hedge funds are expected to be further emboldened after betting on global M&A deals netted them an outsized 8.5% gain in January, making them the best-performing strategy for the month.


When it comes to wins and losses, however, only 22% of public activist demands in Canada were at least partially satisfied in 2022, lower than 26% in the U.S. and 34.1% in Europe, according to Insightia.


Canadian campaigns were more successful in the preceding four years, with a rate of 34% in 2021 and 43% in 2018.


A rise in activism is anticipated to promote deal transparency and boost stock performance.


In the case of Elliott Investment Management asking for a strategic review and board changes at Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU) Inc, for example, the stock has increased by 56% since April, when the activist first revealed its engagement.


In comparison, Canadian energy equities climbed 3.14 percent during the same time period.


And oil and mining corporations could continue to be the industry that faces agitation, warn market participants.


"There are a lot of resource firms (in Canada) and those industries typically face dislocation and they're often encountering issues in their business," said Adam Givertz, partner at legal firm Paul Weiss.


"Those issues, (even) if they're a reputable corporation, can attract the attention of an activist."