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On April 26, according to the Wall Street Journal, in order to simplify the negotiations on reciprocal tariffs, US negotiating officials plan to use a new framework developed by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), which lists major categories of negotiations, such as tariffs and quotas, non-tariff trade barriers, digital trade, product origin principles, economic security and other commercial issues. In these categories, US officials will put forward specific requirements for individual countries, but people familiar with the matter emphasized that this document may also be adjusted at any time. People familiar with the matter said that the United States initial plan is to negotiate with 18 major trading partners in turn over the next two months. The initial plan is to alternately participate in the talks with six countries per week for three weeks (six countries in the first week, another six countries in the second week, and another six countries in the third week) until the deadline of July 8. If US President Trump does not extend the 90-day suspension period he set by then, those countries that cannot reach an agreement will begin to face reciprocal tariffs.On April 26, after the United States announced additional tariffs on goods from many countries, Peruvian business people expressed concerns that the US governments extreme measures would disrupt the global trade order and may even trigger a global economic recession. Alvaro Barrenechea Chavez, vice president of the Peruvian-Chinese Chamber of Commerce, said that the negative impact of the US tariff policy has begun to emerge and hoped that the US government would rethink. Recognizing the importance of countries working together to promote development, I think this is the best way to become a true "world citizen."Market news: Musks xAI company plans to raise about US$20 billion in a financing round.Conflict situation: 1. Ukrainian top commander: Russia tried to use air strikes as a cover to increase ground attacks, but was repelled by Ukraine. 2. Ukrainian Air Force: Russia launched more than 103 drones in the night attack on Ukraine. 3. Local officials said Ukraine launched an attack in the Belgorod region of Russia, killing two people. 4. The local governor said that Russia launched an attack on the Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine, killing one person and injuring eight people. Peace talks: 1. Trump: ① The situation between Russia and Ukraine is gradually becoming clear, and they are "very close" to reaching an agreement. ② Ukraine is unlikely to join NATO. ③ Ukraine has not yet signed the rare earth agreement and hopes that the agreement can be signed immediately. ④ It is foreseeable that the United States will conduct commercial cooperation with Ukraine and Russia after reaching an agreement. 2. Russian Foreign Minister: Russia is "ready to reach an agreement on Ukraine." 3. Russian Presidential Assistant Ushakov: Russia and the United States will continue to maintain active dialogue. 4. Russian Presidential Assistant: Putin discussed the possibility of resuming direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine with the US envoy. 5. The differences between the United States, Europe and Ukraine are clear. The documents show that European countries and Ukraine have raised objections to some of the US proposals to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. 6. Market news: As part of the peace agreement, the United States asked Russian President Putin to abandon the demilitarization requirement. Other situations: 1. President of Hungarys OTP Bank: We hope to return to all business areas in Russia after the (Russia-Ukraine) conflict ends. 2. Ukrainian President Zelensky: US ground forces are not necessary for Ukraine. 3. Trump said Crimea will remain in Russia, Zelensky: Never recognize it. Agreeing with Trumps view, Crimea cannot be recovered by force. 4. NATO Secretary-General Rutte met with Trump and senior US officials to discuss defense spending, NATO summit, and the Ukrainian conflict.Rising global trade risks, overall policy uncertainty and the sustainability of U.S. debt top the list of potential risks to the U.S. financial system, according to the Federal Reserves latest financial stability report released on Friday. This is the first time the Fed has conducted a semi-annual survey on financial risks since Trump returned to the White House. 73% of respondents said that global trade risks are their biggest concern, more than double the proportion reported in November. Half of the respondents believe that overall policy uncertainty is the most worrying issue, an increase from the same period last year. The survey also found that issues related to recent market turmoil have received more attention, with 27% of respondents worried about the functioning of the U.S. Treasury market, up from 17% last fall. Foreign withdrawals from U.S. assets and the value of the dollar have also risen on the list of concerns.

New Restrictions Test Canadian Shareholder Activism Next Month

Charlie Brooks

Feb 13, 2023 14:04

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A recent rise in Canada's shareholder activism faces a reality check next month when a new law that offers more rights to investors to pick board nominees will be put to the test and could spark more campaigns this year, attorneys warn.


Canada's regulatory climate is ideal for activists, but it has failed to draw large numbers of activists to its shores.


The country has behind the rising trend of activism seen globally, but that could be set to change, lawyers believe. Data from Insightia, a brand of Diligent, revealed that 53 Canadian corporations faced activism campaigns in 2022, a 17.8% increase over the previous year, compared to a 10.6% increase to 511 in the United States.


Last August, Canada updated federal legislation allowing investors to vote 'for' or 'against' any director nominated to a company board. Previously, shareholders could merely vote 'for' a candidate or 'withhold' their vote, meaning a majority was not legally a need.


While not established in law, majority voting was widely implemented by firms in their policy, previous to the change. According to attorneys, directors were not previously required by law to retire if they failed to achieve a majority of "for" votes.


"If I were an activist, this makes things easier," said Heidi Reinhart, partner at Norton Rose Fulbright.


Reinhart said if an investor suddenly calls for a 'against' campaign and collects enough votes, the individual doesn't get elected. "So, I think there will be more focused efforts against specific directors. That gives some leverage to a shareholder," Reinhart remarked.


While the rule change came in August, lawyers note that this is the first proxy season where the amendment will be tested.


Next month, Luxor Capital Group and Sandpiper Group's activist campaigns against Ritchie Bros (NYSE:RBA) Auctioneers and First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), respectively, will be subject to investor scrutiny.


Luxor opposes Ritchie Bros' $6 billion acquisition of IAA (NYSE:IAA) Inc, whereas Sandpiper seeks to restructure the board of First Capital REIT.


After losing an average of 17.23% in 2022, activist hedge funds are expected to be further emboldened after betting on global M&A deals netted them an outsized 8.5% gain in January, making them the best-performing strategy for the month.


When it comes to wins and losses, however, only 22% of public activist demands in Canada were at least partially satisfied in 2022, lower than 26% in the U.S. and 34.1% in Europe, according to Insightia.


Canadian campaigns were more successful in the preceding four years, with a rate of 34% in 2021 and 43% in 2018.


A rise in activism is anticipated to promote deal transparency and boost stock performance.


In the case of Elliott Investment Management asking for a strategic review and board changes at Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU) Inc, for example, the stock has increased by 56% since April, when the activist first revealed its engagement.


In comparison, Canadian energy equities climbed 3.14 percent during the same time period.


And oil and mining corporations could continue to be the industry that faces agitation, warn market participants.


"There are a lot of resource firms (in Canada) and those industries typically face dislocation and they're often encountering issues in their business," said Adam Givertz, partner at legal firm Paul Weiss.


"Those issues, (even) if they're a reputable corporation, can attract the attention of an activist."