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January 14th - A growing number of options traders are ruling out a 2026 Federal Reserve rate cut and instead betting that the Fed will keep rates unchanged throughout the year. This trend can be traced back to at least last Friday, when US employment data showed an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate. Market pricing suggests this virtually eliminated the possibility of a Fed rate cut this month, prompting more traders to postpone their expectations for rate cuts in the coming months. David Robin, interest rate strategist at TJM Institutional Services, noted, "From a data perspective, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until at least March has increased, and the likelihood of stable rates increases with each meeting." Recent options flows for the covered overnight funding rate, which is closely linked to the Feds short-term benchmark rate, have sent a more hawkish signal. New options positions are primarily concentrated in March and June contracts to hedge against a continued delay in the Feds next rate cut. Other positions targeting longer-term contracts are expected to profit from the Feds stance of keeping rates unchanged throughout the year. Robin stated that regardless of whether the market believes the Fed will hold rates steady, these trades are low-cost, and as a prudent risk manager, you would want to hold these positions.On January 14th, according to futures market news: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 1,698,750 lots, an increase of 633,450 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,018,272 lots, an increase of 19,747 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 322,400 lots, an increase of 118,072 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 231,565 lots, an increase of 869 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 620,866 lots, a decrease of 256,129 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,635,714 lots, a decrease of 7,021 lots from the previous trading day.ECB Governing Council member Kazak: The uncertainty and risks of nonlinear shocks remain high, and the outlook faces risks from two aspects.ECB Governing Council member Kazak: The ECB is currently in a good position.ECB Governing Council member Kazak: The Fed’s actions are worrying.

New FTX chief says bankrupt crypto exchange could restart

Skylar Shaw

Jan 20, 2023 11:43

According to Chief Executive Officer John Ray, the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX is considering ways to resurrect its operations. He made the announcement to the Wall Street Journal on Thursday.


According to Ray, who took over the company's leadership in November, a task group has been established to look at reviving FTX.com, the organization's primary international exchange.


The CEO also said in an interview with the Journal that he would research if resurrecting FTX's international exchange would generate more value for the company's clients than his team could get by simply selling the platform or liquidating its assets.


Following the news, FTT, the native token of FTX, increased by around 30%.


I'm relieved Mr. Ray is now only pledging to restart the exchange after months of blocking such attempts! Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of FTX, said in a tweet.


Bankman-Fried said, "I'm still waiting for him to eventually acknowledge FTX US is solvent and return clients' money.


An inquiry for comment from Reuters was not immediately answered by an attorney representing FTX.


Bankman-Fried is accused of robbing the exchange's users of billions of dollars to settle debts accrued by his cryptocurrency-focused hedge fund, Alameda Research. He's denied the allegations of fraud.


Customer money' future, however, is still unknown. In a note to creditors earlier this week, FTX said that since declaring bankruptcy in November, hackers had stolen nearly $415 million in cryptocurrency from its worldwide and American exchanges.


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