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On May 19th, Capital Economics economists stated that although the Japanese economy had accumulated solid growth momentum before the Iran war, GDP growth is expected to stagnate this quarter and next. Capital Economics economist Marcel Tiliant pointed out that first-quarter data showed both household spending and business investment increased quarter-on-quarter, with a significant increase in exports exceeding a smaller increase in imports, providing impetus for economic growth. However, despite market speculation that fiscal policy under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi would become more accommodative, government consumption slowed quarter-on-quarter, highlighting that the supplementary budget announced last November had not had a substantial impact on government spending. Meanwhile, consumer confidence declined sharply, and the fuel price cap only temporarily curbed inflation. Tiliant added that even if the Japanese government compiles a new supplementary budget to fund gasoline subsidies, it will at best only stabilize consumer spending.Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes: Previously anticipated that long-term inflation expectations could get out of control.Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes: The committee had previously considered whether to raise interest rates by 25 basis points or keep the rate at 4.10%.Tencent Music (01698.HK) shares rose more than 5% after the company announced the completion of its acquisition of Himalaya.Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes: The Committee will take necessary measures to meet its inflation and employment targets.

Natural Gas Price Prediction: Markets Gap Upward to Start the Week

Daniel Rogers

Jul 12, 2022 14:32

 截屏2022-06-07 下午5.20.28.png

 

To begin the trading week, the natural gas markets gapped upward, then drew back to close the gap before rising once again. In the end, this market continues to exhibit a lot of erratic behavior, and quite honestly, we had been so oversold that this move was necessary. In truth, there may yet be some progress to be made, but in the end, the natural gas markets will continue to take a beating. This is due to the fact that the United States won't be providing LNG for the European Union, and the EU has now realized that it needs to find alternative energy sources. (To get an idea, look at the coal market.)

 

I believe we will move lower to test the 200 Day EMA if we are able to close Monday's session below the bottom of the candlestick. This does not necessary imply that you leap right in, but I still believe that this will resemble a case where you "fade the rallies." As a result, I believe that this market's early signals of weariness will continue to provide possibilities for shorting. Because of this, I do believe that we will go much lower, but given how far we have dropped in such a short period of time, a slight rebound makes a lot of sense.

 

The $5.34 is currently the "floor in the market," and I completely expect that we will ultimately revisit that range. The market would collapse if we can break down below that level, but I believe we need to do more before trying that.