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July 4th - According to reports from Saudi media outlets Hadas and Al Arabiya, negotiations between the United States and Iran will take place in Pakistan on July 11th to discuss sanctions, frozen Iranian funds, and the nuclear issue. The composition of the Iranian delegation will be determined after Khameneis funeral.According to Saudi media outlets Haddad and Al Arabiya, negotiations between the United States and Iran will take place in Pakistan on July 11.July 4 - Ali Azmai, former deputy commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy, has been appointed as the commander of the IRGC Navy. Azmai previously served for a long time in the IRGC Navy.July 4th - According to the New York Times, four officials familiar with the details of the meeting revealed that in the final stages of negotiations, when Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei hesitated to approve the preliminary ceasefire agreement, Iranian President Pezechzian visited him. The Iranian president told the Supreme Leader that the economic situation was dire, the US naval blockade was strangling Iran, and he would resign if he rejected the agreement. Furthermore, the Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, Abdulnaser Hemmati, also wrote to Khamenei, stating that the country faced a severe budget crisis and that critical food and medical supplies would run out by the end of August if the naval blockade continued. Hemmati explained in the letter that Iran could not sell oil on the required scale or find alternative trade routes. These statements played a crucial role in Mojtabas eventual decision to support the agreement. In a brief public statement, he stated that although he opposed the agreement "in principle," he instructed the president to proceed if he obtained the support of the Supreme National Security Council. Pezechzian stated that the council approved the agreement by 12 out of 13 votes.July 4th - According to the China Earthquake Networks Center, a magnitude 4.3 earthquake struck Binchuan County, Dali Prefecture, Yunnan Province (25.95°N, 100.58°E) at 18:28 on July 4, 2026, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers. Following the earthquake, the China Earthquake Administration quickly activated a Level IV emergency response, coordinating with the China Earthquake Networks Center and the Yunnan Provincial Earthquake Administration to conduct emergency response, requiring relevant units to hold joint consultations, strengthen seismic monitoring and post-earthquake trend analysis, and promptly report relevant information.

NYMEX crude oil expected to rise to US$80.92

Oct 26, 2021 11:00

On Friday (October 8), international oil prices rose, with a cumulative increase of nearly 5% this week. The reason is that there are signs that some industries have begun to shift their fuel from high-priced natural gas to oil, and people doubt whether the U.S. government will move from its strategic reserves. To release oil. Look at $80.92 on NYMEX crude oil.

GMT+8 13:55, NYMEX crude oil futures rose 1.59% to 79.50 US dollars / barrel; ICE Brent crude oil futures rose 1.42% to 83.11 US dollars / barrel.


Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar said in a report: "Oil prices have risen again after the U.S. Department of Energy stated that it has no plans to use the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve to cool the hot oil market at this time."

In general, the increase in oil prices this week was driven by the surge in natural gas prices, the power industry was forced to switch to oil power generation, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia-led partners (collectively referred to as OPEC+) decided to maintain the current monthly increase of 400,000 barrels. /Day plan.

ANZ Bank Commodity Analyst said in a report: “Accelerating the conversion of natural gas to oil may increase the demand for power generation. Winter in the northern hemisphere is coming.” He added that when winter comes, it includes diesel and heating. U.S. distillate stocks, including oil, are at their lowest level since 2000.

However, there is still uncertainty about the soaring natural gas price and the extent to which the power industry will increase oil demand. JPMorgan Chase analysts pointed out that they have not heard of the large-scale switch to oil power generation in the European power sector. "This means that under normal winter conditions, the estimated demand for natural gas conversion of 750,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day may be extremely exaggerated. "

On the daily chart, U.S. oil is in an upward ((3)) wave that started from $61.74 and broke through the 23.6% target of $78.37. The upper resistance looks at the $80 mark and the ((3)) wave 38.2% target of 88.66. Dollar.

On the hourly chart, oil prices are in five upward waves starting from $74.97. The upper resistance looks at the 100% target of $79.78 and the 123.6% target of $80.92. Wave 5 is a sub-wave of the upward (1) wave that started at $61.74. (1) Waves are the sub-waves of ((3)) waves.

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