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On February 19th, the Russian Ministry of Defense issued a battle report on the 18th, stating that Russian forces had captured Kharkivka in the Sumy region and Krinichnoye in the Zaporizhzhia region, and had also attacked fuel depots, energy facilities, long-range drone launch sites used by Ukrainian forces, as well as temporary deployment points of Ukrainian armed forces and foreign mercenaries. The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated on the same day that, as of 10 PM local time on the 18th, a total of 201 battles had occurred in the front-line areas, including 16 attacks by Russian forces in the Konstantinovka direction, in which Ukrainian forces attacked Russian personnel and equipment.A Reuters poll shows that two-thirds of Japanese companies are concerned about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis fiscal discipline.Dominic LeBlanc, Canadas Minister for Canada-US Trade: (When asked if Canada had discussed any contingency plans with Mexico should the US seek a bilateral agreement) No.Dominic LeBlanc, the Canadian Minister in charge of trade with the United States and Canada: I am reassured that the Mexican Minister of Economy has expressed his willingness to work with Canada and ensure that the review of the USMCA results in a trilateral trade arrangement.Conflict Status: 1. Ukraine reportedly recaptured 201 square kilometers of land in five days. 2. Russian troops have taken control of Krinichny in eastern Ukraine. 3. Russian Foreign Ministry: Dutch mercenaries flying Ukrainian aircraft will be legal targets. Peace Negotiations: 1. Russian media: No documents were signed at the Geneva talks. 2. Head of the Russian delegation: The negotiations lasted about two hours, difficult but pragmatic. A new round of talks on the Ukraine issue will be held soon. 3. White House Press Secretary: The latest round of trilateral contacts "made meaningful progress," and all parties agreed to continue negotiations. 4. Zelensky: Differences remain in current positions; European participation in peace negotiations is crucial. 5. Zelensky: The talks at the military level were substantive; political issues need further study. He hopes the next round of negotiations will be held in February. 6. Zelensky: Ukraine and Russia are "close" to forming a document on how to monitor the ceasefire; the United States will play a leading role in monitoring the ceasefire. 7. Russian Foreign Minister: Russia and the United States have agreed to establish a bilateral economic working group to discuss trade and economic issues separately. 8. Zelensky: The next round of talks with Russia will be held in Switzerland. Other developments: 1. Zelensky: Sanctions have been imposed on Belarusian President Lukashenko. 2. Hungary and Slovakia have announced a suspension of diesel exports to Ukraine. 3. The EU has adopted a comprehensive strategy to support member states bordering Russia and Ukraine. 4. Russian oil drilling activity is projected to fall to its lowest level in three years by 2025. 5. Data shows that India imported 1.1 million barrels per day of Russian oil in January, the lowest level since November 2022.

NASDAQ Composite Treading Water Ahead of US Congressional Elections, CPI Data

Steven Zhao

Nov 08, 2022 17:10

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With many of the major players staying away ahead of Tuesday's U.S. congressional elections and Thursday's significant consumer inflation report, the major U.S. stock indices are trading mixed near the midpoint of the session on Monday.


The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading at 3262.61, up 159.39 or +0.49%, at 17:00 GMT. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite is trading at 10441.84, down 33.41 or -0.32%, while the benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 3771.75, up 1.20 or +0.03%.


If the GOP wins, a split government will result.


Republican presidential candidate Joe Biden's strategy, which may include potential broad tax increases and a windfall tax on energy companies, may be hampered by a split government, analysts say, with the GOP capturing the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate.


According to Wells Fargo economists, "in this election outcome scenario, we doubt we would make any significant revisions to our projections for GDP growth, inflation, or the federal funds rate as a result of the election."


Instead, investors see a status quo and political deadlock that prevent significant policy changes as a positive outcome for stocks.

CPI Data Available

Traders are preparing for a potential surprise in Thursday's consumer price index (CPI) report following Friday's unexpected increase in the jobless rate in the United States.


On a historical basis, economists anticipate that inflation will once more register at extraordinarily high levels.


According to FactSet, the consensus CPI report projection predicts an increase in inflation of 0.7% for October. It is anticipated that the so-called core rate of inflation, which doesn't include volatile food and energy prices, will increase by 0.5%. That would come after a reading of 0.4% for the CPI as a whole and 0.6% for the core CPI in September.


According to Factset, the consensus CPI projection calls for an annualized increase in the CPI of 8.0% and an increase in core inflation of 6.5%. From the September data, when the annual inflation rate was 8.2% overall and 6.6% for core, that would only indicate a small set of gains.