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On August 2, Alexei Pushkov, a member of the Constitutional Committee of the Russian Federation Council, stated that the world cannot replace the amount of oil supplied by Russia, which accounts for about 10% of the global oil supply. Pushkov wrote on his social platform: "Despite Trumps warning of imposing high secondary sanctions tariffs, Indian refineries continue to purchase Russian oil. The Indian side explained that if the global market stops accepting 9.5 million barrels of oil per day from Russia, oil prices may rise to $135-140 per barrel. In fact, such a large amount of oil supply cannot be replaced at all, because Russia accounts for about 10% of the global oil supply."According to Argus on August 2, the eight core OPEC+ members will decide on August 3rd whether to fully exit their 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) crude oil production cuts in September or adopt a more cautious approach due to heightened supply and demand uncertainty. The group has already decided to implement approximately 80% of its planned 2.46 million bpd production increase (including a 300,000 bpd adjustment to the UAEs quota). Market expectations are for another 548,000 bpd increase in September, matching the accelerated increase in August and restoring production 12 months earlier than originally planned. One delegate confirmed his countrys support for completing the full production increase in September, a move long advocated by several major members, particularly given that some countries have been producing above their quotas. However, due to concerns about oil prices, at least one member favored a cautious approach, suggesting that the 548,000 bpd increase be split into smaller adjustments of 137,000 bpd per month from September to December.On August 2nd, Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler abruptly announced his resignation on Friday, giving US President Trump an opportunity to fill the Fed vacancy earlier than expected and potentially forcing him to finalize his next chairmanship months in advance. Derek Tang, an economist at the monetary policy analysis firm LH Meyer, said, "The ball is now in Trumps court. He has been pressuring the Fed to install his own candidate. Now his opportunity has arrived." While Powells term as chairman ends in May of next year, his term as a governor runs until 2028. If Powell doesnt voluntarily resign as a governor, Trump wont have another chance to fill the vacancy before 2028. In this scenario, Trump might be forced to fill Kuglers vacancy with a candidate he plans to promote as chairman. Tobin Marcus, head of US policy and political strategy at Wolfe Research, noted, "The key is that this is the only vacancy Trump can fill. If he wants to find the next Fed chair from outside, the nomination could be announced earlier."On August 2nd, Canadas retaliatory tariff increase against the United States earlier this year is leading the Trump administration to adopt a differentiated trade strategy with Mexico. Previously, Canada and Mexico enjoyed equal treatment—both were subject to a 25% base tariff and enjoyed extensive duty-free access under the USMCA. However, this situation took a sudden turn on Thursday: Trump announced a 90-day suspension of tariffs on Mexican goods, while simultaneously raising tariffs on Canadian products to 35%. Existing retaliatory measures have not only failed to curb the escalation of the conflict but have instead prompted even more severe retaliation from the United States. Economist and former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney has stated that retaliatory measures are limited in effectiveness. In fact, the Canadian government has diluted retaliatory tariffs through numerous exemptions, refrained from retaliating when the US raised steel and aluminum tariffs to 50%, and even eliminated its digital services tax at the request of the US.On August 2, the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) issued a statement today (August 2) emphasizing that "unless our national rights are fully restored, the most important of which is the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital and full sovereignty, we cannot give up armed resistance."

Is the Dollar Stronger Than the Euro?

Miriam Guzman

Feb 17, 2022 17:33

The U.S. dollar is one of the most valuable currencies worldwide. The euro is the primary competitor of the U.S. dollar in global markets. In general, more valuable currencies tend to be more powerful, primarily because weak currencies lose value in the long run. So, is the dollar stronger than the euro?

 

The euro and the dollar are both amongst the most commonly utilized currencies worldwide, however when pitted against each other, it's not uncommon to ask if the euro is stronger than the dollar-- or if the opposite is in fact the more accurate answer. In truth, there are arguments for both, but a lot of economic experts would be quick to inform you that at present, the euro is the more powerful currency.

 

The euro has a wide range of factors behind its strength, like the variety of nations utilizing it, the system in place behind it, and its currency exchange rate to the dollar, however all in all, specifically because of the global scenario due to COVID-19, the Euro gives exactly what a strong currency needs. Despite that, there are still a few things to consider when asking this question.

Where the USD and EUR Stand

With the US Dollar (USD) considered the most valuable currency in the world, and the European Euro( EUR) being its most popular competitor in worldwide markets, the EUR/USD forex currency couple stays of interest. This is particularly true when it comes to traders who are vulnerable to variations in this popular pairing. Earlier forecasts for 2021 suggested that the currency set would progressively increase towards 1.22, which does not appear too improbable provided the present standing of the pair.

 

The USD and EUR are both said to be safe-haven currencies because of their relative stability within the marketplaces and the role they play in the alobal economy.However.2020 presented an extraordinary level of uncertainty and instability, which impacted investor self-confidence and the strength of currencies across the globe.While in 2015 saw the USD weakening, 2021 seems informing a different story. Regardless of a questionable few months, the last 4 months have actually been more appealing for the USD, especially relative to the EUR.

Euro vs US dollar chart

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Discussing currency motions on a weekly or perhaps monthly basis is well known to be exceptionally tough, specifically when it concerns major economies like the United States and the countries in the eurozone. But certainly we need to take a look at what is taking place in both areas and not just one or the other. Using this basic concept, there are several descriptions for the current euro devaluation.

Elements that affect the euro's decrease

Inflation differences 

The very first explanation associates with the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) promoting their economies using quantitative easing (QE), which is essentially producing cash to buy monetary possessions such as federal government bonds from banks and other significant investors. Both reserve banks have actually been doing this thoroughly given that the start of the pandemic.

 

Nevertheless, with annual inflation in the United States now reaching a severe level of 6.2%, compared to a less bothersome 4.1% in the eurozone, the feeling is that the Fed will end its property purchases quicker. This is because increasing the money supply has the possible to stoke inflation. Indeed, the Fed has recently currently began "tapering" or decreasing the rate of QE with a view to stopping it in the second half of 2022. On the other hand, the ECB has actually been going over a replacement for its US$ 2.2 trillion (₤ 1.7 trillion) QE program when it ends in March 2022.

 

Connected to this is an increasing expectation that the United States might likewise have to start a series of rises to rates of interest from the middle of 2022 to curb inflation, while ECB president Christine Lagarde has just made it clear that the ECB is not likely to start raising rates until at least 2023. These emerging distinctions in the monetary-policy stances of the US and eurozone have actually clearly favoured a fortifying of the dollar (since QE and lower rates of interest tend to make a currency diminish).

COVID and politics

A second critical element has actually been the recent relative strength of the US economy in its recovery from the pandemic compared to the eurozone. In 2021, the US is forecast by the International Monetary Fund to grow 6% compared to 5% in the eurozone, while in 2022 they are respectively anticipated to grow 5.2% and 4.3%. Once again, this points to dollar strength.

 

More COVID lockdowns in the United States seem not likely (even though cases are rising again), though not in the eurozone location, where the rate of infections has been picking up greatly in current weeks in countries like Germany, France, the Netherlands, Austria and Belgium. Austria is now back in lockdown, and other eurozone countries might do the same.

 

A last motorist of the current strength of the dollar is greater political stability. The Biden administration still has 3 years in office and has actually recently succeeded in passing its US$ 1.7 trillion Build Back Better stimulus bundle.

 

By contrast, nations in the eurozone deal with a duration of higher political instability. Germany is seeing the 16 years of relative stability under Angela Merkel pertaining to an end. The question of whether Emmanuel Macron will be successful in the French elections in April 2022 against Marine Le Pen is likewise weighing on financiers' minds, as are the ongoing trade frictions between the EU and the UK over Brexit.

 

It is taking place at a time when Russia's build-up of forces near Ukraine raises the possibility of military dispute on the edge of Europe-- not to mention that Russia has currently been limiting the region's gas supply and one of its main pipelines goes through Ukraine. In addition, there have been substantial anti-vaccine protests in France, the Netherlands, Germany and Italy, and European federal governments are now under intense pressure to bring their spending under control.

 

So while short-term currency movements are extremely hard to predict, there are numerous reasons to believe that the current period of euro weakness will continue. This is making imports to the eurozone more expensive-- not least energy-- and while it has some benefits for a major exporter like Germany, it likewise undermines the trustworthiness of the eurozone as a worldwide economic force.

Reasan Why USD is Expected to Strengthen

One of the most significant factors for the enhancement in the strength of the USD is the recent tasks market information, which painted a more optimistic picture of the labour market. The tip of a strengthening labour market was more supported by Alvin Tan. Tan was estimated as saying," A strong United States employment report activated a jump in United States bond yields, supporting the US Dollar greater."

The Factor That Determines Whether the Dollar or the Euro is Stronger

The Value of Money

The very first indicate keep in mind in this debate of economics is that as far as value is concerned, people are quick to state the euro is worth more than the dollar. Now although the euro exchanges for more than one dollar, that isn't necessarily to say that this makes it worth more-- and there are a variety of factors for this.

 

First of all, there is the strength of the US Dollar. There are numerous aspects at play that back the dollars worth strongly, and they are one of the biggest factors that this debate exists in the first place. Specifically, they are the popularity of the currency and the consistency that goes along with it.

 

With these aside, however, the most important thing to in fact keep in mind is that aside from trying to make money from exchanging money, the worth of a currency is really a bit unimportant. Whatever the exchange rate is at an average is normally a sign of the very same value. For example, whether you have 100 dollars of 115 euros (if the exchange rate is 1:1.15), the worth of this money is the same. There might be different tax impacting the expense of what you're investing it on, however the cash itself deserves the exact same thing like if a cars and truck drives 60 miles or 95(.56) kilometres-- the units are various agents of the very same thing.

 

It's excellent to keep in mind this with this discussion, even if either one can still fluctuate and affect the weight of the other system in total.

Fluctuation

The next thing to remember when it pertains to currency strength is that the euro is far more susceptible to fluctuation than the dollar is in terms of its representative value (i.e., exchange rate). It alters quite significantly in contrast to other currencies of comparable strength like the GBP and USD.

 

The nature of the euro and the Eurozone, along with the politics, policies, and trading that go on within it, all imply that the exchange rate for the euro modifications regularly. When looking at the strength of a currency, a big part of its strength depends on the dependability that it provides. Changes like this are detrimental to that, and even with a positive exchange rate for the euro in comparison to the USD, that doesn't always give it the strength that is often attributed to it.

Popularity

Another large factor to consider for euros being stronger or weaker than the dollar is that the euro, albeit more commonly utilized geographically given that there are many different nations in Europe using it, is still not as frequently utilized internationally as the US dollar is, and for a range of reasons, like the worth changes it typically has.

 

According to the triennial reserve bank survey, the euro is actually utilized 50% less than the dollar is for global trades, which is both a demonstrator of the strength of the dollar against the euro, along with an element that will make it even stronger in the future too. Much of the biggest business in the world likewise run with USD in the stock exchange and are American-based, making the argument in favor of the dollar's strength even more evident.

Exchange rate

Finally, naturally, there is the distinction in currency exchange rate that exists for the euro and the dollar, and this is an unassailable argument that the euro is typically considered to be stronger than the dollar is. The exchange rate is in favor of the euro and has actually been considering that its conception in 1999, mostly because that is precisely what it was produced to do.

 

As mentioned formerly, the exchange rate varies, however as far as strength goes, this is one of the most internationally accepted signals of currency strength. The dollar has actually never ever been worth more than the euro in terms of the exchange rate. Both in regards to trading with forex, taking a trip, and worldwide service, this can have a large impact on the finances of businesses all around.

7 Currencies Worth More Than the U.S. Dollar

Euro: 1 EUR = 1.13 USD 

As of November 2021, the euro (EUR) to U.S. dollar (USD) exchange rate was about 1 euro for $1.13.1.

 

The U.S. dollar generally enhanced versus the euro in 2020 and 2021. This strength makes European imports relatively cheaper in the U.S., but a weak currency is not constantly bad because it can help boost American exports. The European Central Bank (ECB), which sets monetary policy for the eurozone, has more independence from national governments than most other central banks since it supervises the entire Continent's monetary policy. That self-reliance helps keep the euro strong, however it likewise added to the European sovereign financial obligation crisis, in which some specific countries (such as Greece and Italy) discovered it tough to enact specific policies (such as printing more cash) to help stimulate their economies.

Cayman Islands Dollar: 1 KYD = 1.20 USD

The Cayman Islands dollar (KYD) was set by means of a fixed peg at 1.20 USD back in the 1970s. That seems like an easy way to make a currency worth more than the U.S. dollar, however it is more difficult than it looks. A currency peg like that can be difficult to maintain when local economic conditions are poor and the U.S. is raising rate of interest. The country's status as a tax sanctuary helps to support the value of the Cayman Islands dollar.

British Pound: 1 GBP = 1.34 USD

Bank of England (BOE) policymakers usually kept pace with advancements in other countries over the past numerous years and kept the pound better than the U.S. dollar. The British pound (GBP) was generally worth more than the U.S. dollar, but it declined during much of the 20th century. This decrease reversed during the 1980s, and the British pound restored its old benefit over the U.S. dollar.

Jordanian Dinar: 1 JOD = 1.41 USD

Like the Cayman Islands Dollar, the Jordanian Dinar (JOD) has actually been pegged to the U.S. dollar at a greater value. The idea was that a steady exchange would help to draw in U.S. investment in Jordan. It is vital to bear in mind that any country can peg its currency to the dollar at any value. Nevertheless, the currency must keep its worth relative to the U.S. dollar to keep that peg. Jordan successfully did that throughout the first two decades of the 21st century.

Omani Rial: 1 OMR = 2.60 USD

Oman is yet another nation that pegged its currency to the U.S. dollar at a fixed exchange rate, here at 1.60:1. The Omani rial (OMR) maintained its worth versus the dollar due to Oman's traditionally tight financial policy and financial restrictions. Omani policymakers have typically limited the money supply to safeguard the country against war and conflict in the Middle East. That has actually affected the country's inflation rate, and financing practices in Oman tend to prefer risk-averse companies and organization endeavors.

Bahraini Dinar: 1 BHD = 2.65 USD

The Bahraini dinar (BHD) was pegged to the U.S. dollar at a slightly greater value than the Omani rial. The Bahraini dinar's annual average has remained close to its existing exchange rate given that 2011 regardless of the substantial result that low oil costs had on Bahrain's economy. Bahrain's inflation rate was also modest and relatively steady.

Kuwaiti Dinar: 1 KWD = 3.30 USD

The Kuwaiti dinar (KWD) is typically the most important foreign currency, and it does not rely on a peg; it is easily drifting. Considerable oil production assisted augment Kuwait's wealth and support the value of the Kuwaiti dinar. For many years, Kuwait amassed a considerable sovereign wealth fund. The Kuwait Investment Authority manages this fund and helps to ensure that Kuwait stays thriving.

US Dollar and Euro FAQs

SHOULD I BUY EURO BEFORE MY TRIP?

Should I buy euros before I go on holiday? This depends upon how you like to spend. Lots of people don't get currency prior to they go, and rely on using a card at an ATM once on their trip to get the regional currency. This can typically net you a great exchange rate, especially if you have a top abroad credit or debit card.

SHOULD I CONVERT MONEY BEFORE GOING TO EUROPE?

Prevent (or at least decrease) money exchange.

 

In general, I avoid exchanging money in Europe; it's a big rip-off. On average, at a bank you lose about 8 percent when you change dollars to euros or another foreign currency 

JUST HOW MUCH MONEY DO YOU LOSE WHEN YOU EXCHANGE CURRENCY?

You might be surprised to find that the fees are as high as 13%. That's on a round-trip exchange, indicating if you altered the money then changed it back you would lose 13%.

IS IT A GOOD TIME TO SELL EUROS?

The best time to offer euros is when the euro is performing strongly relative to the pound. That's the technically-correct answer, however it's not very practical.

WHY IS EURO STRONGER THAN DOLLAR?

A more powerful Euro indicates that each private Euro deserves more than each private dollar, easy as that. The factor is since based on the need of each currency, the supply for Euros is relatively lower. Less Euros imply each specific Euro is worth more.

IS POUND OR DOLLAR STRONGER?

Is GBP stronger than USD? In basic terms, yes, ₤ 1 is worth more than $1. So at face value, you could say the British Pound is more powerful than the US Dollar. However, the value of one currency compared to another is not a real indicator of strength, wealth or power. 

WHAT IS THE CHEAPEST CURRENCY IN THE WORLD?

Iranian Rial. The Iranian Rial is the least valued currency in the world. It is the lowest currency to USD.

IS MONEY LOSING ITS VALUE?

Your cash has actually hence lost value. Cash declines when its buying power falls. Because inflation is a rise in the level of prices, the amount of items and services a given amount of cash can purchase falls with inflation. Just as inflation reduces the value of money, it reduces the value of future claims on cash.

WHAT IS THE CHEAPEST WAY TO GET EUROS?

The most inexpensive places to buy Euros abroad are usually banks. European banks will take foreign cash and alter it to Euros utilizing the most current exchange rate. The majority of banks do not charge a transaction cost for the service; if they do, it will normally be smaller sized than an ATM's or a currency exchange's.

Conclusion

All in all, the euro is thought about to be a more powerful currency by numerous, simply because of the exchange rate it presently has and together with never ever having dropped below one dollar. Nevertheless, this doesn't indicate that it's the stronger currency in every sense.

 

The dollar is still the most frequently secondhand currency worldwide according to data, and this is simply among numerous factors that make it such a strong currency itself. It's an attempted and tested, trusted currency that numerous still feel most comfortable utilizing both personally and professionally, and this is not likely to alter in the future offering the COVID crisis in the U.S isn't continually harmful.