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1. Federal Reserves Daly: If the Iran conflict is resolved quickly and oil prices fall, a rate cut is "not impossible." He believes the possibility of a rate hike is lower than a rate cut or maintaining the current rate. The real question is whether the ceasefire can last; if it does, then the CPI data is irrelevant. 2. Data from the U.S. Labor Department on Friday showed that the March CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year, significantly higher than Februarys 2.4%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 2.6%, slightly below the market expectation of 2.7%. Energy prices rose 12.5% year-on-year in March, a significant acceleration from Februarys 0.5%. Gasoline prices rose 18.9%, and fuel oil rose 44.2%. The report reflects the impact of the Iran war on U.S. inflation for the first time. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted shipping and pushed up crude oil and gasoline prices last month. 3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Seasonally adjusted energy inflation in the U.S. rose 10.9% month-on-month in March, the largest increase since September 2005; unadjusted energy inflation rose 12.5% year-on-year. Seasonally adjusted gasoline inflation rose 21.2% month-over-month in March, the largest increase since records began in 1967, while unadjusted gasoline inflation rose 18.9% year-over-year. Seasonally adjusted fuel oil inflation rose 30.7% month-over-month in March, the largest increase since February 2000; unadjusted fuel oil inflation rose 44.2% year-over-year. 4. Saudi Arabia’s oil exports through the Red Sea remain stable as the impact of the drone attack on its east-west pipeline has not yet materialized. Wednesday’s attack damaged one of 11 pumping stations along the pipeline. The Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday, citing energy ministry officials, that this reduced pipeline capacity by 700,000 barrels per day. 5. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released data showing that private exporters reported sales of 125,640 tons of corn to unknown destinations for delivery in the 2025/2026 marketing year. The U.S. corn marketing year begins on September 1. 6. U.S. Vice President Vance has departed for Islamabad, Pakistan, aboard Air Force Two to participate in U.S.-Iran talks. The entourage also included US Middle East envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Kushner. Before boarding, Vance stated that he looked forward to the upcoming negotiations with Iran and believed the talks in Islamabad would be positive. 7. After data showed that gasoline prices rose due to the Iran war and US inflation accelerated in March, bond traders slightly reduced their bets on a single Federal Reserve rate cut this year. Fridays interest rate swap market pricing showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year was about one-third, little changed from before the data release. 8. A spokesperson for the Khatham Anbia Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces issued a statement on the 10th, saying that due to the repeated breaches of trust by the US and Israel in the past, the Iranian Armed Forces remain fully alert and ready to open fire at any time. 9. Data released by the LME showed that due to supply disruptions caused by the Iran war, Indian aluminum was temporarily unable to be delivered, and the proportion of Russian aluminum available in London Metal Exchange (LME) warehouses jumped from 60% in February to 92% in March.The Kuwaiti Army stated that the Iranian attack targeted National Guard facilities, resulting in multiple injuries.Palantir (PLTR.N) narrowed its losses to less than 2%, after falling 6% earlier.Market news: Asian countries are urging the United States to extend sanctions waivers on Russian oil.According to Hong Kong Stock Exchange documents, Zhuhai Baofengtang Semiconductor Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

Investors May Turn From Crypto on Fed Interest Hike Hopes

Cory Russell

Apr 20, 2022 09:51


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  • This year, the Fed may raise its rate objective to as high as 3.5 percent.

  • According to economists, being overly proactive might lead to a lengthier slump.

  • This month, crypto markets have lost more than 12% of their value.


Cryptocurrencies may have an issue with interest rates; as soon as they start to rise, trade volumes drop and markets plummet.


As the Federal Reserve of the United States increases interest rates, as it did last month, investors may be drawn to riskier assets. The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent in March, which is still a small increase but the first in almost three years.


President of the Federal Reserve Bank, James Bullard, has said that the central bank must work quickly in order to attain a rate of roughly 3.5 percent this year. According to April 18 estimates, this may be accomplished with successive half-point increments and even 75-point rises. At the Fed's meeting in early May, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated a 50-basis-point hike may be considered.

Defending Against Inflation

Central banks throughout the globe are stepping up their anti-inflation efforts, but many are expecting a lengthy and drawn-out war. Inflation in the United States is at a four-decade high of 8.5 percent, driving investors into safe-haven commodities like gold and Bitcoin (BTC).


Investor appetite for crypto assets looks to be decreasing as the interest rate recovery continues. Higher borrowing rates may also have an effect on people who are using leverage to invest in bitcoin.


On the other side, economist Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC on Monday that if the Fed raises its interest rate objective, gold and Bitcoin prices would rise.


He went on to say that the Fed may be afraid that failing to meet its objective "may force this economy into a longer-term recession, not just a short-term recession."


When fiat currencies are weak, bitcoin and crypto assets are in high demand; however, this has not been the case lately.

Cryptocurrency Markets Are In Decline

Since the beginning of the month, the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has dropped 12.3 percent. As a consequence, the space industry has lost roughly $300 billion.


The overall market capitalization is now just under $2 trillion, down 34% from its all-time high of just over $3 trillion in November.


Markets have gained a tiny 2% in the last 24 hours, but the overall trend in digital assets remains gloomy, and this trend might continue for the remainder of the year.