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May 5th - According to three sources familiar with the matter, US intelligence assessments indicate that the timeline for Iran to develop nuclear weapons has remained unchanged since last summer. At that time, analysts estimated that the joint US-Israeli strikes had delayed this timeline by up to a year. This unchanged timeline suggests that effectively stopping Irans nuclear program may require the destruction or removal of Irans remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium (HEU). The sources stated that US intelligence agencies concluded before the 12-day war in June of last year that Iran was likely to produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear weapon within three to six months. Following the June airstrikes, US intelligence assessments pushed this timeline back to approximately nine months to a year.According to the Wall Street Journal, "Big Short" Michael Burry has sold off his entire stake in GameStop (GME.N), after GameStop announced its intention to acquire eBay (EBAY.O).Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: With Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Warsh now serving as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, I believe the Feds culture and behavior will continue as they have been.US President Trump: Hundreds of millions of barrels of oil are flowing out of Venezuela.On May 5th, New York Federal Reserve President Williams stated that the Feds current accommodative stance reflects the likely long-term direction of monetary policy, while inflation dynamics have not yet reached the point where a rate hike needs to be discussed. Speaking to reporters after a speech in New York City, Williams said, "I dont see any indication from todays data that a rate hike is necessary in the near term." However, he added that given the current level of uncertainty, he believes "we cannot yet provide clear guidance on the direction of interest rates at the next few meetings."

Investors May Turn From Crypto on Fed Interest Hike Hopes

Cory Russell

Apr 20, 2022 09:51


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  • This year, the Fed may raise its rate objective to as high as 3.5 percent.

  • According to economists, being overly proactive might lead to a lengthier slump.

  • This month, crypto markets have lost more than 12% of their value.


Cryptocurrencies may have an issue with interest rates; as soon as they start to rise, trade volumes drop and markets plummet.


As the Federal Reserve of the United States increases interest rates, as it did last month, investors may be drawn to riskier assets. The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent in March, which is still a small increase but the first in almost three years.


President of the Federal Reserve Bank, James Bullard, has said that the central bank must work quickly in order to attain a rate of roughly 3.5 percent this year. According to April 18 estimates, this may be accomplished with successive half-point increments and even 75-point rises. At the Fed's meeting in early May, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated a 50-basis-point hike may be considered.

Defending Against Inflation

Central banks throughout the globe are stepping up their anti-inflation efforts, but many are expecting a lengthy and drawn-out war. Inflation in the United States is at a four-decade high of 8.5 percent, driving investors into safe-haven commodities like gold and Bitcoin (BTC).


Investor appetite for crypto assets looks to be decreasing as the interest rate recovery continues. Higher borrowing rates may also have an effect on people who are using leverage to invest in bitcoin.


On the other side, economist Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC on Monday that if the Fed raises its interest rate objective, gold and Bitcoin prices would rise.


He went on to say that the Fed may be afraid that failing to meet its objective "may force this economy into a longer-term recession, not just a short-term recession."


When fiat currencies are weak, bitcoin and crypto assets are in high demand; however, this has not been the case lately.

Cryptocurrency Markets Are In Decline

Since the beginning of the month, the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has dropped 12.3 percent. As a consequence, the space industry has lost roughly $300 billion.


The overall market capitalization is now just under $2 trillion, down 34% from its all-time high of just over $3 trillion in November.


Markets have gained a tiny 2% in the last 24 hours, but the overall trend in digital assets remains gloomy, and this trend might continue for the remainder of the year.