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July 2, Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva wrote in a report that oil futures may trade in a narrower range this week as OPEC+ is widely expected to agree to increase production by another 411,000 barrels per day in August. OPEC+ supply is under the control of investors; however, prices seem to have digested the increase in production and are unlikely to catch the market off guard again in the short term. However, a weaker dollar could prolong any upward momentum.July 2, Goldman Sachs said that if OPEC+ decides to increase production on Sunday, the market is not expected to react much, because the general market expectations have shifted to this result. Goldman Sachs expects the August production increase to be the last, as the large influx of shale oil from non-OPEC countries affects the supply and demand balance, but the risk tends to be a further increase in OPEC+ quotas after August.Canada remains committed to removing all Trump tariffs in its trade deal with the United States, the country’s ambassador to Washington said.Goldman Sachs: If OPEC+ decides to increase production on Sunday, the market is not expected to react much as the general market expectations have shifted to this outcome.July 2, Kenanga economists said in a report that Indonesias recent export performance is expected to remain resilient, partly due to early shipments ahead of possible U.S. tariffs and a lower base than last year. Exports have grown 7.3% so far this year, reflecting strong momentum driven by strong U.S. demand. They expect Indonesias export growth rate to rise to 6.1% in 2025 from 2.3% in 2024, despite continued uncertainty in global trade.

Investors May Turn From Crypto on Fed Interest Hike Hopes

Cory Russell

Apr 20, 2022 09:51


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  • This year, the Fed may raise its rate objective to as high as 3.5 percent.

  • According to economists, being overly proactive might lead to a lengthier slump.

  • This month, crypto markets have lost more than 12% of their value.


Cryptocurrencies may have an issue with interest rates; as soon as they start to rise, trade volumes drop and markets plummet.


As the Federal Reserve of the United States increases interest rates, as it did last month, investors may be drawn to riskier assets. The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent in March, which is still a small increase but the first in almost three years.


President of the Federal Reserve Bank, James Bullard, has said that the central bank must work quickly in order to attain a rate of roughly 3.5 percent this year. According to April 18 estimates, this may be accomplished with successive half-point increments and even 75-point rises. At the Fed's meeting in early May, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated a 50-basis-point hike may be considered.

Defending Against Inflation

Central banks throughout the globe are stepping up their anti-inflation efforts, but many are expecting a lengthy and drawn-out war. Inflation in the United States is at a four-decade high of 8.5 percent, driving investors into safe-haven commodities like gold and Bitcoin (BTC).


Investor appetite for crypto assets looks to be decreasing as the interest rate recovery continues. Higher borrowing rates may also have an effect on people who are using leverage to invest in bitcoin.


On the other side, economist Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC on Monday that if the Fed raises its interest rate objective, gold and Bitcoin prices would rise.


He went on to say that the Fed may be afraid that failing to meet its objective "may force this economy into a longer-term recession, not just a short-term recession."


When fiat currencies are weak, bitcoin and crypto assets are in high demand; however, this has not been the case lately.

Cryptocurrency Markets Are In Decline

Since the beginning of the month, the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has dropped 12.3 percent. As a consequence, the space industry has lost roughly $300 billion.


The overall market capitalization is now just under $2 trillion, down 34% from its all-time high of just over $3 trillion in November.


Markets have gained a tiny 2% in the last 24 hours, but the overall trend in digital assets remains gloomy, and this trend might continue for the remainder of the year.